The School of Odds

Baltimore Orioles v Chicago Cubs

2026-07-08 22:36 — MLB

Head to Head

51 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Option 1: Baltimore Orioles (Local)

1.7557.14%Min
1.8155.14%Mean
1.8254.95%Median
1.8753.48%Max
51.05%1.959Min
54.31%1.841Max
52.49%1.905Mean
52.46%1.906Median
52.42%1.908IQM
52.50%1.905Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.87 under the IQM model: 52.42%

EV -1.98%Edge -1.06%Kelly -2.27%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Chicago Cubs (Visit)

1.9351.81%Min
2.0149.76%Mean
2.0050.00%Median
2.1047.62%Max
45.69%2.189Min
48.95%2.043Max
47.51%2.105Mean
47.54%2.104Median
47.58%2.102IQM
47.50%2.105Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.10 under the IQM model: 47.58%

EV -0.080%Edge -0.038%Kelly -0.073%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)

BookmakerBaltimore Orioles (Local) ▼Chicago Cubs (Visit)MarginUpdated
1xBet1.87I 53.48% NM 52.42%EV -1.98% E -1.06% K -2.27% G +0.000%2.06I 48.54% NM 47.58%EV -1.98% E -0.963% K -1.87% G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-08 00:15
GTbets1.87I 53.48% NM 52.30%EV -1.98% E -1.06% K -2.27% G +0.000%2.05I 48.78% NM 47.70%EV -2.46% E -1.20% K -2.34% G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-07 20:30
BetUS1.87I 53.48% NM 52.30%EV -1.98% E -1.06% K -2.27% G +0.000%2.05I 48.78% NM 47.70%EV -2.46% E -1.20% K -2.34% G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-07 23:40
LowVig.ag1.87I 53.48% NM 52.17%EV -1.98% E -1.06% K -2.27% G +0.000%2.04I 49.02% NM 47.83%EV -2.94% E -1.44% K -2.82% G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-07 20:30
BetOnline.ag1.87I 53.48% NM 52.17%EV -1.98% E -1.06% K -2.27% G +0.000%2.04I 49.02% NM 47.83%EV -2.94% E -1.44% K -2.82% G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-07 20:30
PointsBet (AU)1.87I 53.48% NM 51.05%EV -1.98% E -1.06% K -2.27% G +0.000%1.95I 51.28% NM 48.95%EV -7.22% E -3.70% K -7.60% G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-07 20:30
MyBookie.ag1.83I 54.64% NM 52.59%EV -4.07% E -2.23% K -4.91% G +0.000%2.03I 49.26% NM 47.41%EV -3.41% E -1.68% K -3.31% G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-08 00:14
Fanatics1.83I 54.64% NM 52.22%EV -4.07% E -2.23% K -4.91% G +0.000%2.00I 50.00% NM 47.78%EV -4.84% E -2.42% K -4.84% G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-08 00:15
Hard Rock Bet1.83I 54.64% NM 52.22%EV -4.07% E -2.23% K -4.91% G +0.000%2.00I 50.00% NM 47.78%EV -4.84% E -2.42% K -4.84% G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-08 00:05
Caesars1.83I 54.64% NM 52.22%EV -4.07% E -2.23% K -4.91% G +0.000%2.00I 50.00% NM 47.78%EV -4.84% E -2.42% K -4.84% G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-07 20:29
DraftKings1.83I 54.64% NM 52.22%EV -4.07% E -2.23% K -4.91% G +0.000%2.00I 50.00% NM 47.78%EV -4.84% E -2.42% K -4.84% G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-08 00:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64% NM 52.22%EV -4.07% E -2.23% K -4.91% G +0.000%2.00I 50.00% NM 47.78%EV -4.84% E -2.42% K -4.84% G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-08 00:00
BetMGM1.83I 54.64% NM 52.22%EV -4.07% E -2.23% K -4.91% G +0.000%2.00I 50.00% NM 47.78%EV -4.84% E -2.42% K -4.84% G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-08 00:00
Coral1.83I 54.64% NM 52.22%EV -4.07% E -2.23% K -4.91% G +0.000%2.00I 50.00% NM 47.78%EV -4.84% E -2.42% K -4.84% G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-08 00:00
Bet Right1.82I 54.95% NM 52.60%EV -4.60% E -2.53% K -5.61% G +0.000%2.02I 49.50% NM 47.40%EV -3.89% E -1.92% K -3.81% G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-08 00:10
Unibet (NL)1.82I 54.95% NM 52.60%EV -4.60% E -2.53% K -5.61% G +0.000%2.02I 49.50% NM 47.40%EV -3.89% E -1.92% K -3.81% G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-08 00:40
Casumo1.82I 54.95% NM 52.60%EV -4.60% E -2.53% K -5.61% G +0.000%2.02I 49.50% NM 47.40%EV -3.89% E -1.92% K -3.81% G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-08 00:40
Unibet (SE)1.82I 54.95% NM 52.60%EV -4.60% E -2.53% K -5.61% G +0.000%2.02I 49.50% NM 47.40%EV -3.89% E -1.92% K -3.81% G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-08 00:40
Unibet1.82I 54.95% NM 52.60%EV -4.60% E -2.53% K -5.61% G +0.000%2.02I 49.50% NM 47.40%EV -3.89% E -1.92% K -3.81% G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-08 00:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.82I 54.95% NM 52.60%EV -4.60% E -2.53% K -5.61% G +0.000%2.02I 49.50% NM 47.40%EV -3.89% E -1.92% K -3.81% G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-08 00:40
Bally Bet1.82I 54.95% NM 52.60%EV -4.60% E -2.53% K -5.61% G +0.000%2.02I 49.50% NM 47.40%EV -3.89% E -1.92% K -3.81% G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-08 00:40
Svenska Spel1.82I 54.95% NM 52.60%EV -4.60% E -2.53% K -5.61% G +0.000%2.02I 49.50% NM 47.40%EV -3.89% E -1.92% K -3.81% G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-08 00:40
betPARX1.82I 54.95% NM 52.60%EV -4.60% E -2.53% K -5.61% G +0.000%2.02I 49.50% NM 47.40%EV -3.89% E -1.92% K -3.81% G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-08 00:40
ATG (SE)1.82I 54.95% NM 52.60%EV -4.60% E -2.53% K -5.61% G +0.000%2.02I 49.50% NM 47.40%EV -3.89% E -1.92% K -3.81% G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-08 00:40
PlayUp1.82I 54.95% NM 52.36%EV -4.60% E -2.53% K -5.61% G +0.000%2.00I 50.00% NM 47.64%EV -4.84% E -2.42% K -4.84% G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-08 00:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.82I 54.95% NM 52.36%EV -4.60% E -2.53% K -5.61% G +0.000%2.00I 50.00% NM 47.64%EV -4.84% E -2.42% K -4.84% G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-08 00:00
Neds1.82I 54.95% NM 52.36%EV -4.60% E -2.53% K -5.61% G +0.000%2.00I 50.00% NM 47.64%EV -4.84% E -2.42% K -4.84% G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-08 00:00
Marathon Bet1.81I 55.25% NM 52.49%EV -5.12% E -2.83% K -6.32% G +0.000%2.00I 50.00% NM 47.51%EV -4.84% E -2.42% K -4.84% G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-08 00:10
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56% NM 53.25%EV -5.65% E -3.14% K -7.06% G +0.000%2.05I 48.78% NM 46.75%EV -2.46% E -1.20% K -2.34% G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-08 00:05
Coolbet1.80I 55.56% NM 52.88%EV -5.65% E -3.14% K -7.06% G +0.000%2.02I 49.50% NM 47.12%EV -3.89% E -1.92% K -3.81% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-08 00:40
Unibet (UK)1.80I 55.56% NM 52.63%EV -5.65% E -3.14% K -7.06% G +0.000%2.00I 50.00% NM 47.37%EV -4.84% E -2.42% K -4.84% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-08 00:10
Winamax (DE)1.80I 55.56% NM 52.63%EV -5.65% E -3.14% K -7.06% G +0.000%2.00I 50.00% NM 47.37%EV -4.84% E -2.42% K -4.84% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-08 00:10
Fliff1.80I 55.56% NM 52.63%EV -5.65% E -3.14% K -7.06% G +0.000%2.00I 50.00% NM 47.37%EV -4.84% E -2.42% K -4.84% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-07 18:10
ReBet1.80I 55.56% NM 52.63%EV -5.65% E -3.14% K -7.06% G +0.000%2.00I 50.00% NM 47.37%EV -4.84% E -2.42% K -4.84% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-08 00:10
888sport1.80I 55.56% NM 52.63%EV -5.65% E -3.14% K -7.06% G +0.000%2.00I 50.00% NM 47.37%EV -4.84% E -2.42% K -4.84% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-07 20:35
Betr (AU)1.80I 55.56% NM 52.63%EV -5.65% E -3.14% K -7.06% G +0.000%2.00I 50.00% NM 47.37%EV -4.84% E -2.42% K -4.84% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-08 00:05
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56% NM 52.63%EV -5.65% E -3.14% K -7.06% G +0.000%2.00I 50.00% NM 47.37%EV -4.84% E -2.42% K -4.84% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-07 20:35
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56% NM 52.63%EV -5.65% E -3.14% K -7.06% G +0.000%2.00I 50.00% NM 47.37%EV -4.84% E -2.42% K -4.84% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-07 20:35
William Hill1.80I 55.56% NM 52.63%EV -5.65% E -3.14% K -7.06% G +0.000%2.00I 50.00% NM 47.37%EV -4.84% E -2.42% K -4.84% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-07 20:39
BetRivers1.80I 55.56% NM 52.63%EV -5.65% E -3.14% K -7.06% G +0.000%2.00I 50.00% NM 47.37%EV -4.84% E -2.42% K -4.84% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-08 00:40
LiveScore Bet1.80I 55.56% NM 52.63%EV -5.65% E -3.14% K -7.06% G +0.000%2.00I 50.00% NM 47.37%EV -4.84% E -2.42% K -4.84% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-08 00:40
Virgin Bet1.80I 55.56% NM 52.63%EV -5.65% E -3.14% K -7.06% G +0.000%2.00I 50.00% NM 47.37%EV -4.84% E -2.42% K -4.84% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-08 00:40
TABtouch1.80I 55.56% NM 52.63%EV -5.65% E -3.14% K -7.06% G +0.000%2.00I 50.00% NM 47.37%EV -4.84% E -2.42% K -4.84% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-08 00:40
Betclic (FR)1.80I 55.56% NM 52.51%EV -5.65% E -3.14% K -7.06% G +0.000%1.99I 50.25% NM 47.49%EV -5.31% E -2.67% K -5.37% G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-08 00:09
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56% NM 52.00%EV -5.65% E -3.14% K -7.06% G +0.000%1.95I 51.28% NM 48.00%EV -7.22% E -3.70% K -7.60% G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-08 00:00
Grosvenor1.78I 56.18% NM 52.53%EV -6.69% E -3.76% K -8.58% G +0.000%1.97I 50.76% NM 47.47%EV -6.27% E -3.18% K -6.46% G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-08 00:40
FanDuel1.77I 56.50% NM 54.26%EV -7.22% E -4.08% K -9.37% G +0.000%2.10I 47.62% NM 45.74%EV -0.080% E -0.038% K -0.073% G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-08 00:05
Winamax (FR)1.76I 56.82% NM 52.43%EV -7.74% E -4.40% K -10.19% G +0.000%1.94I 51.55% NM 47.57%EV -7.69% E -3.97% K -8.18% G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-08 00:10
SportsBet1.75I 57.14% NM 54.31%EV -8.27% E -4.72% K -11.02% G +0.000%2.08I 48.08% NM 45.69%EV -1.03% E -0.496% K -0.955% G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-08 00:05
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14% NM 53.95%EV -8.27% E -4.72% K -11.02% G +0.000%2.05I 48.78% NM 46.05%EV -2.46% E -1.20% K -2.34% G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-08 01:08
Unibet (FR)1.75I 57.14% NM 52.45%EV -8.27% E -4.72% K -11.02% G +0.000%1.93I 51.81% NM 47.55%EV -8.17% E -4.23% K -8.78% G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-08 00:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerBaltimore Orioles (Local)Chicago Cubs (Visit)Margin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.89I 52.91% NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08% NM 47.61%1.0%2026-07-07 18:10
Polymarket1.89I 52.91% NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08% NM 47.61%1.0%2026-07-08 00:00
Novig1.85I 54.05% NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95% NM 46.48%1.0%2026-07-08 00:20
ProphetX1.82I 54.95% NM 53.09%2.06I 48.54% NM 46.91%3.5%2026-07-08 00:50
Smarkets1.74I 57.47% NM 52.33%1.91I 52.36% NM 47.67%9.8%2026-07-08 00:10
Matchbook1.65I 60.61% NM 53.13%1.87I 53.48% NM 46.88%14.1%2026-07-07 23:45