مدرسة الاحتمالات

Baltimore Orioles v Chicago Cubs

البداية: 2026-07-08 22:36 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Baltimore Orioles 7–9 Chicago Cubs

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

63 شركة مراهنات (21 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Baltimore Orioles (المضيف)

التنبؤ 53.79%1.86السعر العادل
EV -1.57%
الأفضلية -0.858%
Kelly -1.89%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.83

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
52.00%53.75%53.75%56.19%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.661.761.771.8360.24%56.74%56.50%54.64%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Chicago Cubs (الضيف)

التنبؤ 46.21%2.16السعر العادل
EV +0.746%
الأفضلية +0.342%
Kelly +0.632%
النمو +0.005%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.18

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
43.81%46.25%46.25%48.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.952.092.082.1851.28%47.89%48.08%45.87%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (63 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
Unibet (NL)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -8.03%E -4.69%K -11.30%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV +0.746%E +0.342%K +0.632%G +0.005%4.4%2026-07-08 22:35
Unibet (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -8.03%E -4.69%K -11.30%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV +0.746%E +0.342%K +0.632%G +0.005%4.4%2026-07-08 22:35
Svenska Spel1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -8.03%E -4.69%K -11.30%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV +0.746%E +0.342%K +0.632%G +0.005%4.4%2026-07-08 22:35
Casumo1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -8.56%E -5.04%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV +0.746%E +0.342%K +0.632%G +0.005%4.7%2026-07-08 22:35
Unibet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -8.56%E -5.04%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV +0.746%E +0.342%K +0.632%G +0.005%4.7%2026-07-08 22:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -8.56%E -5.04%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV +0.746%E +0.342%K +0.632%G +0.005%4.7%2026-07-08 22:35
Bally Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -8.56%E -5.04%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV +0.746%E +0.342%K +0.632%G +0.005%4.7%2026-07-08 22:35
betPARX1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -8.56%E -5.04%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV +0.746%E +0.342%K +0.632%G +0.005%4.7%2026-07-08 22:35
ATG (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -8.56%E -5.04%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV +0.746%E +0.342%K +0.632%G +0.005%4.7%2026-07-08 22:35
GTbets1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -3.72%E -2.08%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV +0.284%E +0.131%K +0.242%G +0.001%1.9%2026-07-08 22:35
BetRivers1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -8.56%E -5.04%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV +0.284%E +0.131%K +0.242%G +0.001%4.9%2026-07-08 22:35
LiveScore Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -8.56%E -5.04%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV +0.284%E +0.131%K +0.242%G +0.001%4.9%2026-07-08 22:35
Virgin Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -8.56%E -5.04%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV +0.284%E +0.131%K +0.242%G +0.001%4.9%2026-07-08 22:35
TABtouch1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -8.56%E -5.04%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV +0.284%E +0.131%K +0.242%G +0.001%4.9%2026-07-08 22:35
Pinnacle1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -3.18%E -1.77%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -0.641%E -0.298%K -0.557%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-08 22:15
Everygame1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -3.18%E -1.77%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -0.641%E -0.298%K -0.557%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-08 22:19
LowVig.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -3.72%E -2.08%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -0.641%E -0.298%K -0.557%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-08 22:35
BetOnline.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -3.72%E -2.08%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -0.641%E -0.298%K -0.557%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-08 22:35
BetUS1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -3.72%E -2.08%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -0.641%E -0.298%K -0.557%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-08 22:35
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -6.41%E -3.68%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -0.641%E -0.298%K -0.557%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-08 20:14
1xBet1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%EV -2.11%E -1.16%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%EV -1.56%E -0.735%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-08 21:50
Bovada1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -5.87%E -3.36%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -2.03%E -0.956%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-08 22:09
Grosvenor1.66I 60.24%NM 56.08%EV -10.71%E -6.45%K -16.23%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -2.03%E -0.956%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-08 22:35
BetAnything1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -1.57%E -0.858%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.95%E -1.41%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-08 21:50
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.80%E -2.71%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.95%E -1.41%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-08 20:15
Hard Rock Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.80%E -2.71%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.95%E -1.41%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-08 05:05
Caesars1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.80%E -2.71%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.95%E -1.41%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-08 21:45
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.80%E -2.71%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.95%E -1.41%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-08 02:30
Dabble (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.87%E -3.36%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.95%E -1.41%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-08 22:25
MyBookie.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -4.26%E -2.39%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -3.41%E -1.63%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-08 19:54
FanDuel1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -3.72%E -2.08%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -3.88%E -1.86%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-08 14:50
Marathon Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.87%E -3.36%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.88%E -1.86%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-08 22:34
SportsBet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.80%E -2.71%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.80%E -2.33%K -4.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-08 14:50
Bet Right1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.80%E -2.71%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.80%E -2.33%K -4.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-08 21:49
ReBet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.18%E -1.77%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.26%E -2.57%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-08 19:54
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.18%E -1.77%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.26%E -2.57%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-08 21:50
BetMGM1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.18%E -1.77%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.26%E -2.57%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-08 21:49
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.18%E -1.77%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.26%E -2.57%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-08 21:49
LeoVegas1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.18%E -1.77%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.26%E -2.57%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-08 20:10
TAB1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.18%E -1.77%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.26%E -2.57%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-08 21:50
DraftKings1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -3.72%E -2.08%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -5.26%E -2.57%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-08 19:49
Ladbrokes (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.26%E -2.39%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.26%E -2.57%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-08 21:50
Neds1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.26%E -2.39%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.26%E -2.57%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-08 21:50
Coolbet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.26%E -2.39%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.26%E -2.57%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-08 21:50
Unibet (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.80%E -2.71%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.26%E -2.57%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 22:24
PlayUp1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.80%E -2.71%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.26%E -2.57%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 22:34
Betr (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.34%E -3.03%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.26%E -2.57%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-08 02:05
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.87%E -3.36%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.26%E -2.57%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-08 21:49
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.87%E -3.36%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.26%E -2.57%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-08 21:49
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.87%E -3.36%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.26%E -2.57%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-08 21:50
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.95%E -4.02%K -9.52%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.26%E -2.57%K -5.01%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-08 06:29
Betsson1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.26%E -2.39%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -6.19%E -3.05%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-08 22:35
NordicBet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.26%E -2.39%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -6.19%E -3.05%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-08 22:33
Unibet (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -1.57%E -0.858%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -6.65%E -3.29%K -6.52%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-08 22:35
Winamax (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.18%E -1.77%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.57%E -3.79%K -7.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-08 22:35
Fliff1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.18%E -1.77%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.57%E -3.79%K -7.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-08 22:29
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.18%E -1.77%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.57%E -3.79%K -7.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-08 20:49
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.18%E -1.77%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.57%E -3.79%K -7.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-08 22:35
Tipico (DE)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.80%E -2.71%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.57%E -3.79%K -7.57%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-08 19:54
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.87%E -3.36%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.57%E -3.79%K -7.57%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-08 20:10
Betclic (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.49%EV -6.95%E -4.02%K -9.52%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 46.51%EV -8.03%E -4.04%K -8.12%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-08 22:12
Winamax (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -3.18%E -1.77%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -8.50%E -4.29%K -8.67%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-08 22:35
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.18%E -1.77%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.88%E -5.07%K -10.40%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-08 22:28
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
BetOpenly1.83I 54.64%NM 54.59%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.41%0.1%2026-07-08 22:34
ProphetX1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%0.7%2026-07-08 22:35
Smarkets1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50%0.8%2026-07-08 22:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%1.0%2026-07-08 22:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%1.0%2026-07-08 22:30
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-07-08 22:05
Polymarket1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-07-08 19:35
Novig1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86%1.3%2026-07-08 22:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86%1.3%2026-07-08 22:35
Matchbook1.79I 55.87%NM 54.22%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.78%3.0%2026-07-08 22:35