Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Baltimore Orioles v Chicago Cubs

Inizio: 2026-07-08 22:36 UTC

Finale: Baltimore Orioles 7–9 Chicago Cubs

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

63 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Baltimore Orioles (Casa)

Previsione 53.79%1.86quota equa
EV -1.57%
Vantaggio -0.858%
Kelly -1.89%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.83

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
52.00%53.75%53.75%56.19%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.661.761.771.8360.24%56.74%56.50%54.64%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Chicago Cubs (Trasferta)

Previsione 46.21%2.16quota equa
EV +0.746%
Vantaggio +0.342%
Kelly +0.632%
Crescita +0.005%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.18

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
43.81%46.25%46.25%48.00%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.952.092.082.1851.28%47.89%48.08%45.87%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Baltimore Orioles (Casa): 53.79%; Chicago Cubs (Trasferta): 46.21%. Per Chicago Cubs (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 2.16. 14 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 2.18, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +0.746%.

Quote dei bookmaker (63 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
Unibet (NL)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -8.03%E -4.69%K -11.30%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV +0.746%E +0.342%K +0.632%G +0.005%4.4%2026-07-08 22:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -8.03%E -4.69%K -11.30%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV +0.746%E +0.342%K +0.632%G +0.005%4.4%2026-07-08 22:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -8.03%E -4.69%K -11.30%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV +0.746%E +0.342%K +0.632%G +0.005%4.4%2026-07-08 22:35
Casumo🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -8.56%E -5.04%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV +0.746%E +0.342%K +0.632%G +0.005%4.7%2026-07-08 22:35
Unibet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -8.56%E -5.04%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV +0.746%E +0.342%K +0.632%G +0.005%4.7%2026-07-08 22:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -8.56%E -5.04%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV +0.746%E +0.342%K +0.632%G +0.005%4.7%2026-07-08 22:35
Bally Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -8.56%E -5.04%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV +0.746%E +0.342%K +0.632%G +0.005%4.7%2026-07-08 22:35
betPARX🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -8.56%E -5.04%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV +0.746%E +0.342%K +0.632%G +0.005%4.7%2026-07-08 22:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -8.56%E -5.04%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV +0.746%E +0.342%K +0.632%G +0.005%4.7%2026-07-08 22:35
GTbets🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -3.72%E -2.08%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV +0.284%E +0.131%K +0.242%G +0.001%1.9%2026-07-08 22:35
BetRivers🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -8.56%E -5.04%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV +0.284%E +0.131%K +0.242%G +0.001%4.9%2026-07-08 22:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -8.56%E -5.04%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV +0.284%E +0.131%K +0.242%G +0.001%4.9%2026-07-08 22:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -8.56%E -5.04%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV +0.284%E +0.131%K +0.242%G +0.001%4.9%2026-07-08 22:35
TABtouch🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -8.56%E -5.04%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV +0.284%E +0.131%K +0.242%G +0.001%4.9%2026-07-08 22:35
Pinnacle🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -3.18%E -1.77%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -0.641%E -0.298%K -0.557%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-08 22:15
Everygame🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -3.18%E -1.77%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -0.641%E -0.298%K -0.557%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-08 22:19
LowVig.ag🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -3.72%E -2.08%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -0.641%E -0.298%K -0.557%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-08 22:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -3.72%E -2.08%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -0.641%E -0.298%K -0.557%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-08 22:35
BetUS🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -3.72%E -2.08%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -0.641%E -0.298%K -0.557%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-08 22:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -6.41%E -3.68%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -0.641%E -0.298%K -0.557%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-08 20:14
1xBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%EV -2.11%E -1.16%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%EV -1.56%E -0.735%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-08 21:50
Bovada🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -5.87%E -3.36%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -2.03%E -0.956%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-08 22:09
Grosvenor🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.08%EV -10.71%E -6.45%K -16.23%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -2.03%E -0.956%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-08 22:35
BetAnything🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -1.57%E -0.858%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.95%E -1.41%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-08 21:50
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.80%E -2.71%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.95%E -1.41%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-08 20:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.80%E -2.71%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.95%E -1.41%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-08 05:05
Caesars🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.80%E -2.71%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.95%E -1.41%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-08 21:45
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.80%E -2.71%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.95%E -1.41%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-08 02:30
Dabble (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.87%E -3.36%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.95%E -1.41%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-08 22:25
MyBookie.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -4.26%E -2.39%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -3.41%E -1.63%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-08 19:54
FanDuel🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -3.72%E -2.08%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -3.88%E -1.86%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-08 14:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.87%E -3.36%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.88%E -1.86%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-08 22:34
SportsBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.80%E -2.71%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.80%E -2.33%K -4.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-08 14:50
Bet Right🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.80%E -2.71%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.80%E -2.33%K -4.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-08 21:49
ReBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.18%E -1.77%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.26%E -2.57%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-08 19:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.18%E -1.77%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.26%E -2.57%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-08 21:50
BetMGM🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.18%E -1.77%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.26%E -2.57%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-08 21:49
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.18%E -1.77%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.26%E -2.57%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-08 21:49
LeoVegas🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.18%E -1.77%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.26%E -2.57%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-08 20:10
TAB🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.18%E -1.77%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.26%E -2.57%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-08 21:50
DraftKings🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -3.72%E -2.08%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -5.26%E -2.57%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-08 19:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.26%E -2.39%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.26%E -2.57%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-08 21:50
Neds🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.26%E -2.39%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.26%E -2.57%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-08 21:50
Coolbet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.26%E -2.39%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.26%E -2.57%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-08 21:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.80%E -2.71%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.26%E -2.57%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 22:24
PlayUp🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.80%E -2.71%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.26%E -2.57%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 22:34
Betr (AU)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.34%E -3.03%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.26%E -2.57%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-08 02:05
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.87%E -3.36%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.26%E -2.57%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-08 21:49
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.87%E -3.36%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.26%E -2.57%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-08 21:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.87%E -3.36%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.26%E -2.57%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-08 21:50
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.95%E -4.02%K -9.52%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.26%E -2.57%K -5.01%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-08 06:29
Betsson🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.26%E -2.39%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -6.19%E -3.05%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-08 22:35
NordicBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.26%E -2.39%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -6.19%E -3.05%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-08 22:33
Unibet (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -1.57%E -0.858%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -6.65%E -3.29%K -6.52%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-08 22:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.18%E -1.77%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.57%E -3.79%K -7.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-08 22:35
Fliff🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.18%E -1.77%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.57%E -3.79%K -7.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-08 22:29
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.18%E -1.77%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.57%E -3.79%K -7.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-08 20:49
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.18%E -1.77%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.57%E -3.79%K -7.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-08 22:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.80%E -2.71%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.57%E -3.79%K -7.57%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-08 19:54
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.87%E -3.36%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.57%E -3.79%K -7.57%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-08 20:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.49%EV -6.95%E -4.02%K -9.52%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 46.51%EV -8.03%E -4.04%K -8.12%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-08 22:12
Winamax (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -3.18%E -1.77%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -8.50%E -4.29%K -8.67%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-08 22:35
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.18%E -1.77%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.88%E -5.07%K -10.40%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-08 22:28
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (10)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
BetOpenly1.83I 54.64%NM 54.59%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.41%0.1%2026-07-08 22:34
ProphetX1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%0.7%2026-07-08 22:35
Smarkets1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50%0.8%2026-07-08 22:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%1.0%2026-07-08 22:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%1.0%2026-07-08 22:30
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-07-08 22:05
Polymarket1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-07-08 19:35
Novig1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86%1.3%2026-07-08 22:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86%1.3%2026-07-08 22:35
Matchbook1.79I 55.87%NM 54.22%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.78%3.0%2026-07-08 22:35