Langue:Français
Baltimore Orioles v Chicago Cubs
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Baltimore Orioles (Local)
Prévision 53.79%1.86cote équitable
EV -1.57%
Avantage -0.858%
Kelly -1.89%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.83
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.00%53.75%53.75%56.19%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.661.761.771.8360.24%56.74%56.50%54.64%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Chicago Cubs (Visiteur)
Prévision 46.21%2.16cote équitable
EV +0.746%
Avantage +0.342%
Kelly +0.632%
Croissance +0.005%
avec la cote maximale 2.18
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.81%46.25%46.25%48.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.952.092.082.1851.28%47.89%48.08%45.87%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Baltimore Orioles (Local) : 53.79% ; Chicago Cubs (Visiteur) : 46.21%. Pour Chicago Cubs (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.16. 14 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.18, soit une espérance positive de +0.746%.
Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -8.03%E -4.69%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV +0.746%E +0.342%K +0.632%G +0.005% | 4.4% | 2026-07-08 22:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -8.03%E -4.69%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV +0.746%E +0.342%K +0.632%G +0.005% | 4.4% | 2026-07-08 22:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -8.03%E -4.69%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV +0.746%E +0.342%K +0.632%G +0.005% | 4.4% | 2026-07-08 22:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -8.56%E -5.04%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV +0.746%E +0.342%K +0.632%G +0.005% | 4.7% | 2026-07-08 22:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -8.56%E -5.04%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV +0.746%E +0.342%K +0.632%G +0.005% | 4.7% | 2026-07-08 22:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -8.56%E -5.04%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV +0.746%E +0.342%K +0.632%G +0.005% | 4.7% | 2026-07-08 22:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -8.56%E -5.04%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV +0.746%E +0.342%K +0.632%G +0.005% | 4.7% | 2026-07-08 22:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -8.56%E -5.04%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV +0.746%E +0.342%K +0.632%G +0.005% | 4.7% | 2026-07-08 22:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -8.56%E -5.04%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV +0.746%E +0.342%K +0.632%G +0.005% | 4.7% | 2026-07-08 22:35 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -3.72%E -2.08%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV +0.284%E +0.131%K +0.242%G +0.001% | 1.9% | 2026-07-08 22:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -8.56%E -5.04%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV +0.284%E +0.131%K +0.242%G +0.001% | 4.9% | 2026-07-08 22:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -8.56%E -5.04%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV +0.284%E +0.131%K +0.242%G +0.001% | 4.9% | 2026-07-08 22:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -8.56%E -5.04%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV +0.284%E +0.131%K +0.242%G +0.001% | 4.9% | 2026-07-08 22:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -8.56%E -5.04%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV +0.284%E +0.131%K +0.242%G +0.001% | 4.9% | 2026-07-08 22:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -3.18%E -1.77%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -0.641%E -0.298%K -0.557%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-08 22:15 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -3.18%E -1.77%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -0.641%E -0.298%K -0.557%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-08 22:19 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -3.72%E -2.08%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -0.641%E -0.298%K -0.557%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-08 22:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -3.72%E -2.08%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -0.641%E -0.298%K -0.557%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-08 22:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -3.72%E -2.08%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -0.641%E -0.298%K -0.557%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-08 22:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -6.41%E -3.68%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -0.641%E -0.298%K -0.557%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-08 20:14 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%EV -2.11%E -1.16%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%EV -1.56%E -0.735%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-07-08 21:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -5.87%E -3.36%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -2.03%E -0.956%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-08 22:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.08%EV -10.71%E -6.45%K -16.23%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -2.03%E -0.956%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-08 22:35 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -1.57%E -0.858%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.95%E -1.41%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-08 21:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.80%E -2.71%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.95%E -1.41%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-08 20:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.80%E -2.71%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.95%E -1.41%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-08 05:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.80%E -2.71%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.95%E -1.41%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-08 21:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.80%E -2.71%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.95%E -1.41%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-08 02:30 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.87%E -3.36%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.95%E -1.41%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-08 22:25 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -4.26%E -2.39%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -3.41%E -1.63%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-08 19:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -3.72%E -2.08%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -3.88%E -1.86%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-08 14:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.87%E -3.36%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.88%E -1.86%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-08 22:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.80%E -2.71%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.80%E -2.33%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-08 14:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.80%E -2.71%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.80%E -2.33%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-08 21:49 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.18%E -1.77%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.26%E -2.57%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-08 19:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.18%E -1.77%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.26%E -2.57%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-08 21:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.18%E -1.77%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.26%E -2.57%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-08 21:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.18%E -1.77%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.26%E -2.57%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-08 21:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.18%E -1.77%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.26%E -2.57%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-08 20:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.18%E -1.77%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.26%E -2.57%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-08 21:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -3.72%E -2.08%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -5.26%E -2.57%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-08 19:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.26%E -2.39%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.26%E -2.57%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-08 21:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.26%E -2.39%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.26%E -2.57%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-08 21:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.26%E -2.39%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.26%E -2.57%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-08 21:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.80%E -2.71%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.26%E -2.57%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-08 22:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.80%E -2.71%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.26%E -2.57%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-08 22:34 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.34%E -3.03%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.26%E -2.57%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-08 02:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.87%E -3.36%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.26%E -2.57%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-08 21:49 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.87%E -3.36%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.26%E -2.57%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-08 21:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.87%E -3.36%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.26%E -2.57%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-08 21:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.95%E -4.02%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.26%E -2.57%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-08 06:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.26%E -2.39%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -6.19%E -3.05%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-08 22:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.26%E -2.39%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -6.19%E -3.05%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-08 22:33 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -1.57%E -0.858%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -6.65%E -3.29%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-08 22:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.18%E -1.77%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.57%E -3.79%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-08 22:35 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.18%E -1.77%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.57%E -3.79%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-08 22:29 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.18%E -1.77%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.57%E -3.79%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-08 20:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.18%E -1.77%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.57%E -3.79%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-08 22:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.80%E -2.71%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.57%E -3.79%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-08 19:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.87%E -3.36%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.57%E -3.79%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-08 20:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.49%EV -6.95%E -4.02%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.51%EV -8.03%E -4.04%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-08 22:12 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -3.18%E -1.77%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -8.50%E -4.29%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-08 22:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.18%E -1.77%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.88%E -5.07%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-08 22:28 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (10)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.59% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.41% | 0.1% | 2026-07-08 22:34 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14% | 0.7% | 2026-07-08 22:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50% | 0.8% | 2026-07-08 22:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00% | 1.0% | 2026-07-08 22:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00% | 1.0% | 2026-07-08 22:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61% | 1.0% | 2026-07-08 22:05 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61% | 1.0% | 2026-07-08 19:35 |
| Novig◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86% | 1.3% | 2026-07-08 22:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86% | 1.3% | 2026-07-08 22:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.22% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.78% | 3.0% | 2026-07-08 22:35 |