StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Baltimore Orioles v Chicago Cubs

Matchstart: 2026-07-08 22:36 UTC

Slutresultat: Baltimore Orioles 7–9 Chicago Cubs

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

63 spelbolag (21 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Baltimore Orioles (Hemma)

Prognos 53.79%1.86rättvist odds
EV -1.57%
Fördel -0.858%
Kelly -1.89%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.83

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
52.00%53.75%53.75%56.19%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.661.761.771.8360.24%56.74%56.50%54.64%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Chicago Cubs (Borta)

Prognos 46.21%2.16rättvist odds
EV +0.746%
Fördel +0.342%
Kelly +0.632%
Tillväxt +0.005%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.18

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
43.81%46.25%46.25%48.00%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.952.092.082.1851.28%47.89%48.08%45.87%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Baltimore Orioles (Hemma): 53.79%; Chicago Cubs (Borta): 46.21%. För Chicago Cubs (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 2.16. 14 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 2.18, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +0.746%.

Spelbolagsodds (63 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
Unibet (NL)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -8.03%E -4.69%K -11.30%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV +0.746%E +0.342%K +0.632%G +0.005%4.4%2026-07-08 22:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -8.03%E -4.69%K -11.30%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV +0.746%E +0.342%K +0.632%G +0.005%4.4%2026-07-08 22:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -8.03%E -4.69%K -11.30%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV +0.746%E +0.342%K +0.632%G +0.005%4.4%2026-07-08 22:35
Casumo🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -8.56%E -5.04%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV +0.746%E +0.342%K +0.632%G +0.005%4.7%2026-07-08 22:35
Unibet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -8.56%E -5.04%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV +0.746%E +0.342%K +0.632%G +0.005%4.7%2026-07-08 22:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -8.56%E -5.04%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV +0.746%E +0.342%K +0.632%G +0.005%4.7%2026-07-08 22:35
Bally Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -8.56%E -5.04%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV +0.746%E +0.342%K +0.632%G +0.005%4.7%2026-07-08 22:35
betPARX🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -8.56%E -5.04%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV +0.746%E +0.342%K +0.632%G +0.005%4.7%2026-07-08 22:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -8.56%E -5.04%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV +0.746%E +0.342%K +0.632%G +0.005%4.7%2026-07-08 22:35
GTbets🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -3.72%E -2.08%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV +0.284%E +0.131%K +0.242%G +0.001%1.9%2026-07-08 22:35
BetRivers🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -8.56%E -5.04%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV +0.284%E +0.131%K +0.242%G +0.001%4.9%2026-07-08 22:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -8.56%E -5.04%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV +0.284%E +0.131%K +0.242%G +0.001%4.9%2026-07-08 22:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -8.56%E -5.04%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV +0.284%E +0.131%K +0.242%G +0.001%4.9%2026-07-08 22:35
TABtouch🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -8.56%E -5.04%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV +0.284%E +0.131%K +0.242%G +0.001%4.9%2026-07-08 22:35
Pinnacle🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -3.18%E -1.77%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -0.641%E -0.298%K -0.557%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-08 22:15
Everygame🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -3.18%E -1.77%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -0.641%E -0.298%K -0.557%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-08 22:19
LowVig.ag🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -3.72%E -2.08%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -0.641%E -0.298%K -0.557%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-08 22:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -3.72%E -2.08%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -0.641%E -0.298%K -0.557%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-08 22:35
BetUS🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -3.72%E -2.08%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -0.641%E -0.298%K -0.557%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-08 22:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -6.41%E -3.68%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -0.641%E -0.298%K -0.557%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-08 20:14
1xBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%EV -2.11%E -1.16%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%EV -1.56%E -0.735%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-08 21:50
Bovada🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -5.87%E -3.36%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -2.03%E -0.956%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-08 22:09
Grosvenor🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.08%EV -10.71%E -6.45%K -16.23%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -2.03%E -0.956%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-08 22:35
BetAnything🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -1.57%E -0.858%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.95%E -1.41%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-08 21:50
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.80%E -2.71%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.95%E -1.41%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-08 20:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.80%E -2.71%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.95%E -1.41%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-08 05:05
Caesars🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.80%E -2.71%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.95%E -1.41%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-08 21:45
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.80%E -2.71%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.95%E -1.41%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-08 02:30
Dabble (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.87%E -3.36%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.95%E -1.41%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-08 22:25
MyBookie.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -4.26%E -2.39%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -3.41%E -1.63%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-08 19:54
FanDuel🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -3.72%E -2.08%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -3.88%E -1.86%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-08 14:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.87%E -3.36%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.88%E -1.86%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-08 22:34
SportsBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.80%E -2.71%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.80%E -2.33%K -4.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-08 14:50
Bet Right🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.80%E -2.71%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.80%E -2.33%K -4.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-08 21:49
ReBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.18%E -1.77%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.26%E -2.57%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-08 19:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.18%E -1.77%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.26%E -2.57%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-08 21:50
BetMGM🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.18%E -1.77%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.26%E -2.57%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-08 21:49
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.18%E -1.77%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.26%E -2.57%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-08 21:49
LeoVegas🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.18%E -1.77%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.26%E -2.57%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-08 20:10
TAB🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.18%E -1.77%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.26%E -2.57%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-08 21:50
DraftKings🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -3.72%E -2.08%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -5.26%E -2.57%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-08 19:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.26%E -2.39%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.26%E -2.57%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-08 21:50
Neds🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.26%E -2.39%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.26%E -2.57%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-08 21:50
Coolbet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.26%E -2.39%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.26%E -2.57%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-08 21:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.80%E -2.71%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.26%E -2.57%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 22:24
PlayUp🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.80%E -2.71%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.26%E -2.57%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 22:34
Betr (AU)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.34%E -3.03%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.26%E -2.57%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-08 02:05
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.87%E -3.36%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.26%E -2.57%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-08 21:49
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.87%E -3.36%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.26%E -2.57%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-08 21:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.87%E -3.36%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.26%E -2.57%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-08 21:50
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.95%E -4.02%K -9.52%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.26%E -2.57%K -5.01%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-08 06:29
Betsson🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.26%E -2.39%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -6.19%E -3.05%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-08 22:35
NordicBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.26%E -2.39%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -6.19%E -3.05%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-08 22:33
Unibet (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -1.57%E -0.858%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -6.65%E -3.29%K -6.52%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-08 22:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.18%E -1.77%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.57%E -3.79%K -7.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-08 22:35
Fliff🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.18%E -1.77%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.57%E -3.79%K -7.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-08 22:29
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.18%E -1.77%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.57%E -3.79%K -7.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-08 20:49
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.18%E -1.77%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.57%E -3.79%K -7.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-08 22:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.80%E -2.71%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.57%E -3.79%K -7.57%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-08 19:54
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.87%E -3.36%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.57%E -3.79%K -7.57%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-08 20:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.49%EV -6.95%E -4.02%K -9.52%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 46.51%EV -8.03%E -4.04%K -8.12%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-08 22:12
Winamax (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -3.18%E -1.77%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -8.50%E -4.29%K -8.67%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-08 22:35
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.18%E -1.77%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.88%E -5.07%K -10.40%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-08 22:28
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (10)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
BetOpenly1.83I 54.64%NM 54.59%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.41%0.1%2026-07-08 22:34
ProphetX1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%0.7%2026-07-08 22:35
Smarkets1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50%0.8%2026-07-08 22:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%1.0%2026-07-08 22:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%1.0%2026-07-08 22:30
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-07-08 22:05
Polymarket1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-07-08 19:35
Novig1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86%1.3%2026-07-08 22:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86%1.3%2026-07-08 22:35
Matchbook1.79I 55.87%NM 54.22%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.78%3.0%2026-07-08 22:35