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Baltimore Orioles v Chicago Cubs
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Baltimore Orioles (Local)
Prediction 53.95%1.85fair odd
EV -1.27%
Edge -0.694%
Kelly -1.53%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.83
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%53.85%53.95%55.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.001.761.771.83100.00%56.89%56.50%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Chicago Cubs (Visit)
Prediction 46.05%2.17fair odd
EV -0.994%
Edge -0.462%
Kelly -0.864%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.15
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.74%46.15%46.05%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.002.062.082.15100.00%48.59%48.19%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -1.27%E -0.694%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-09 16:48 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.71%EV -1.27%E -0.694%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.29%EV -6.06%E -2.97%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-09 17:35 |
| Pinnacle | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.18%EV -2.35%E -1.30%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.82%EV -1.45%E -0.680%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-07-09 17:34 |
| GTbets | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -2.35%E -1.30%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -1.91%E -0.899%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-07-09 17:34 |
| BetAnything | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -2.35%E -1.30%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -2.38%E -1.12%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-09 17:35 |
| BetUS | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -2.35%E -1.30%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -2.38%E -1.12%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-09 17:24 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -2.35%E -1.30%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -2.38%E -1.12%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-09 17:35 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -2.35%E -1.30%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -2.38%E -1.12%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-09 17:34 |
| Everygame | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.89%E -1.60%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -0.994%E -0.462%K -0.864%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-09 16:15 |
| Bet Victor | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -2.89%E -1.60%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-09 14:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -2.89%E -1.60%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-09 10:40 |
| Fanatics | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.89%E -1.60%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.60%E -2.73%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-09 17:29 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.89%E -1.60%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.60%E -2.73%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-09 14:55 |
| Betway | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.89%E -1.60%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.90%E -3.95%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-09 17:35 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -3.97%E -2.23%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -3.76%E -1.80%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-09 16:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -3.97%E -2.23%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -4.22%E -2.03%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-09 17:05 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -3.97%E -2.23%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -4.22%E -2.03%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-09 17:05 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -3.97%E -2.23%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -4.22%E -2.03%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-09 17:05 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -3.97%E -2.23%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -6.06%E -2.97%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-09 16:45 |
| FanDuel | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.51%E -2.55%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-09 10:40 |
| Caesars | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.51%E -2.55%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-09 16:15 |
| BetMGM | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.51%E -2.55%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-09 16:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.51%E -2.55%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-09 11:00 |
| ReBet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.51%E -2.55%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-09 16:30 |
| theScore Bet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.51%E -2.55%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-09 04:50 |
| Bovada | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.51%E -2.55%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -4.22%E -2.03%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-09 17:34 |
| DraftKings | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.51%E -2.55%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -4.22%E -2.03%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-09 17:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -4.51%E -2.55%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -4.68%E -2.26%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-09 17:05 |
| Unibet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -4.51%E -2.55%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -4.68%E -2.26%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-09 17:04 |
| Casumo | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -4.51%E -2.55%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -4.68%E -2.26%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-09 17:05 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -4.51%E -2.55%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -4.68%E -2.26%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-09 17:04 |
| Bally Bet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -4.51%E -2.55%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -4.68%E -2.26%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-09 17:05 |
| betPARX | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -4.51%E -2.55%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -4.68%E -2.26%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-09 17:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.51%E -2.55%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.60%E -2.73%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-09 16:15 |
| Neds | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.51%E -2.55%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.60%E -2.73%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-09 16:15 |
| Fliff | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.51%E -2.55%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.60%E -2.73%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-09 17:34 |
| PlayUp | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.51%E -2.55%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.60%E -2.73%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-09 14:54 |
| Bet Right | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.05%E -2.87%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.22%E -2.03%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-09 16:15 |
| Coolbet | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.05%E -2.87%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.22%E -2.03%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-09 16:50 |
| NordicBet | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.05%E -2.87%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.68%E -2.26%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-09 17:24 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -5.05%E -2.87%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -5.14%E -2.49%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-09 17:05 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -5.05%E -2.87%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -5.14%E -2.49%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-09 17:05 |
| BetRivers | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -5.05%E -2.87%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -5.14%E -2.49%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-09 17:05 |
| TABtouch | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -5.05%E -2.87%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -5.14%E -2.49%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-09 17:05 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.05%E -2.87%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.60%E -2.73%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-09 16:29 |
| Coral | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.59%E -3.19%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-09 16:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.59%E -3.19%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-09 16:15 |
| TAB | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.59%E -3.19%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-09 17:23 |
| SportsBet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.59%E -3.19%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.22%E -2.03%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-09 10:40 |
| LeoVegas | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.59%E -3.19%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.22%E -2.03%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-09 16:29 |
| 888sport | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.59%E -3.19%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.60%E -2.73%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-09 15:15 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.59%E -3.19%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.60%E -2.73%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-09 15:15 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.59%E -3.19%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.60%E -2.73%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-09 15:15 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.59%E -3.19%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.60%E -2.73%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-09 17:24 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -6.13%E -3.52%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -7.90%E -3.95%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-09 16:29 |
| William Hill | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.67%E -3.85%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-09 17:05 |
| Paddy Power | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.67%E -3.85%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.60%E -2.73%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-09 15:09 |
| BoyleSports | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.67%E -3.85%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.60%E -2.73%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-09 16:30 |
| Grosvenor | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.87%EV -6.67%E -3.85%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.13%EV -6.98%E -3.46%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-09 17:05 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -7.20%E -4.19%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -7.90%E -3.95%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-09 17:09 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -8.28%E -4.87%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-09 16:35 |
| Betsson | 1.00I 100.00%NM 50.00%EV -46.05%E -46.05%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 1.00I 100.00%NM 50.00%EV -53.95%E -53.95%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 100.0% | 2026-07-09 17:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly | 1.89I 52.91%NM 53.33% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.67% | -0.8% | 2026-07-09 17:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.23% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.77% | 0.2% | 2026-07-09 17:35 |
| Novig | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.25% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.75% | 0.4% | 2026-07-09 17:34 |
| ProphetX | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.11% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.89% | 0.4% | 2026-07-09 17:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00% | 0.6% | 2026-07-09 17:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00% | 0.6% | 2026-07-09 17:35 |
| Matchbook | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00% | 0.6% | 2026-07-09 17:10 |
| Polymarket | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.0% | 2026-07-09 16:34 |
| Kalshi | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61% | 1.0% | 2026-07-09 11:50 |
| Smarkets | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19% | 2.1% | 2026-07-09 16:55 |