L’École des cotesFrançais
Baltimore Orioles v Chicago Cubs
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Baltimore Orioles (Local)
Prévision 53.95%1.85cote équitable
EV -1.27%
Avantage -0.694%
Kelly -1.53%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.83
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.00%53.85%53.95%55.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.001.761.771.83100.00%56.89%56.50%54.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Chicago Cubs (Visiteur)
Prévision 46.05%2.17cote équitable
EV -0.994%
Avantage -0.462%
Kelly -0.864%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.15
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.74%46.15%46.05%50.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.002.062.082.15100.00%48.59%48.19%46.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -1.27%E -0.694%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-09 16:48 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.71%EV -1.27%E -0.694%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.29%EV -6.06%E -2.97%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-09 17:35 |
| Pinnacle | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.18%EV -2.35%E -1.30%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.82%EV -1.45%E -0.680%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-07-09 17:34 |
| GTbets | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -2.35%E -1.30%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -1.91%E -0.899%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-07-09 17:34 |
| BetAnything | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -2.35%E -1.30%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -2.38%E -1.12%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-09 17:35 |
| BetUS | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -2.35%E -1.30%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -2.38%E -1.12%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-09 17:24 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -2.35%E -1.30%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -2.38%E -1.12%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-09 17:35 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -2.35%E -1.30%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -2.38%E -1.12%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-09 17:34 |
| Everygame | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.89%E -1.60%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -0.994%E -0.462%K -0.864%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-09 16:15 |
| Bet Victor | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -2.89%E -1.60%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-09 14:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -2.89%E -1.60%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-09 10:40 |
| Fanatics | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.89%E -1.60%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.60%E -2.73%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-09 17:29 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.89%E -1.60%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.60%E -2.73%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-09 14:55 |
| Betway | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.89%E -1.60%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.90%E -3.95%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-09 17:35 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -3.97%E -2.23%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -3.76%E -1.80%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-09 16:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -3.97%E -2.23%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -4.22%E -2.03%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-09 17:05 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -3.97%E -2.23%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -4.22%E -2.03%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-09 17:05 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -3.97%E -2.23%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -4.22%E -2.03%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-09 17:05 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -3.97%E -2.23%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -6.06%E -2.97%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-09 16:45 |
| FanDuel | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.51%E -2.55%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-09 10:40 |
| Caesars | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.51%E -2.55%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-09 16:15 |
| BetMGM | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.51%E -2.55%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-09 16:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.51%E -2.55%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-09 11:00 |
| ReBet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.51%E -2.55%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-09 16:30 |
| theScore Bet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.51%E -2.55%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-09 04:50 |
| Bovada | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.51%E -2.55%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -4.22%E -2.03%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-09 17:34 |
| DraftKings | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.51%E -2.55%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -4.22%E -2.03%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-09 17:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -4.51%E -2.55%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -4.68%E -2.26%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-09 17:05 |
| Unibet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -4.51%E -2.55%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -4.68%E -2.26%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-09 17:04 |
| Casumo | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -4.51%E -2.55%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -4.68%E -2.26%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-09 17:05 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -4.51%E -2.55%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -4.68%E -2.26%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-09 17:04 |
| Bally Bet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -4.51%E -2.55%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -4.68%E -2.26%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-09 17:05 |
| betPARX | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -4.51%E -2.55%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -4.68%E -2.26%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-09 17:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.51%E -2.55%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.60%E -2.73%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-09 16:15 |
| Neds | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.51%E -2.55%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.60%E -2.73%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-09 16:15 |
| Fliff | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.51%E -2.55%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.60%E -2.73%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-09 17:34 |
| PlayUp | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.51%E -2.55%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.60%E -2.73%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-09 14:54 |
| Bet Right | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.05%E -2.87%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.22%E -2.03%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-09 16:15 |
| Coolbet | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.05%E -2.87%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.22%E -2.03%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-09 16:50 |
| NordicBet | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.05%E -2.87%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.68%E -2.26%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-09 17:24 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -5.05%E -2.87%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -5.14%E -2.49%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-09 17:05 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -5.05%E -2.87%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -5.14%E -2.49%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-09 17:05 |
| BetRivers | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -5.05%E -2.87%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -5.14%E -2.49%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-09 17:05 |
| TABtouch | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -5.05%E -2.87%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -5.14%E -2.49%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-09 17:05 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.05%E -2.87%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.60%E -2.73%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-09 16:29 |
| Coral | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.59%E -3.19%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-09 16:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.59%E -3.19%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-09 16:15 |
| TAB | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.59%E -3.19%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-09 17:23 |
| SportsBet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.59%E -3.19%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.22%E -2.03%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-09 10:40 |
| LeoVegas | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.59%E -3.19%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.22%E -2.03%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-09 16:29 |
| 888sport | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.59%E -3.19%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.60%E -2.73%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-09 15:15 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.59%E -3.19%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.60%E -2.73%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-09 15:15 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.59%E -3.19%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.60%E -2.73%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-09 15:15 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.59%E -3.19%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.60%E -2.73%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-09 17:24 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -6.13%E -3.52%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -7.90%E -3.95%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-09 16:29 |
| William Hill | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.67%E -3.85%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-09 17:05 |
| Paddy Power | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.67%E -3.85%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.60%E -2.73%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-09 15:09 |
| BoyleSports | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.67%E -3.85%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.60%E -2.73%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-09 16:30 |
| Grosvenor | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.87%EV -6.67%E -3.85%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.13%EV -6.98%E -3.46%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-09 17:05 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -7.20%E -4.19%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -7.90%E -3.95%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-09 17:09 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -8.28%E -4.87%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-09 16:35 |
| Betsson | 1.00I 100.00%NM 50.00%EV -46.05%E -46.05%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 1.00I 100.00%NM 50.00%EV -53.95%E -53.95%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 100.0% | 2026-07-09 17:35 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (10)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly | 1.89I 52.91%NM 53.33% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.67% | -0.8% | 2026-07-09 17:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.23% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.77% | 0.2% | 2026-07-09 17:35 |
| Novig | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.25% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.75% | 0.4% | 2026-07-09 17:34 |
| ProphetX | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.11% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.89% | 0.4% | 2026-07-09 17:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00% | 0.6% | 2026-07-09 17:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00% | 0.6% | 2026-07-09 17:35 |
| Matchbook | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00% | 0.6% | 2026-07-09 17:10 |
| Polymarket | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.0% | 2026-07-09 16:34 |
| Kalshi | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61% | 1.0% | 2026-07-09 11:50 |
| Smarkets | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19% | 2.1% | 2026-07-09 16:55 |