مدرسة الاحتمالات

Baltimore Orioles v Chicago Cubs

البداية: 2026-07-09 17:36 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Baltimore Orioles 3–2 Chicago Cubs

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

62 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Baltimore Orioles (المضيف)

التنبؤ 53.95%1.85السعر العادل
EV -1.27%
الأفضلية -0.694%
Kelly -1.53%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.83

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
50.00%53.85%53.95%55.26%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.001.761.771.83100.00%56.89%56.50%54.64%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Chicago Cubs (الضيف)

التنبؤ 46.05%2.17السعر العادل
EV -0.994%
الأفضلية -0.462%
Kelly -0.864%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.15

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
44.74%46.15%46.05%50.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.002.062.082.15100.00%48.59%48.19%46.51%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (62 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -1.27%E -0.694%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-09 16:48
Unibet (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.71%EV -1.27%E -0.694%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.29%EV -6.06%E -2.97%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-09 17:35
Pinnacle1.81I 55.25%NM 54.18%EV -2.35%E -1.30%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.82%EV -1.45%E -0.680%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-09 17:34
GTbets1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -2.35%E -1.30%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -1.91%E -0.899%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-09 17:34
BetAnything1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -2.35%E -1.30%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -2.38%E -1.12%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-09 17:35
BetUS1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -2.35%E -1.30%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -2.38%E -1.12%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-09 17:24
BetOnline.ag1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -2.35%E -1.30%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -2.38%E -1.12%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-09 17:35
LowVig.ag1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -2.35%E -1.30%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -2.38%E -1.12%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-09 17:34
Everygame1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.89%E -1.60%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -0.994%E -0.462%K -0.864%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-09 16:15
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -2.89%E -1.60%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-09 14:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -2.89%E -1.60%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-09 10:40
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.89%E -1.60%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.60%E -2.73%K -5.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-09 17:29
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.89%E -1.60%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.60%E -2.73%K -5.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-09 14:55
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.89%E -1.60%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.90%E -3.95%K -7.90%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-09 17:35
MyBookie.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -3.97%E -2.23%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -3.76%E -1.80%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-09 16:55
Unibet (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -3.97%E -2.23%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -4.22%E -2.03%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-09 17:05
Unibet (NL)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -3.97%E -2.23%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -4.22%E -2.03%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-09 17:05
Svenska Spel1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -3.97%E -2.23%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -4.22%E -2.03%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-09 17:05
Marathon Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -3.97%E -2.23%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -6.06%E -2.97%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-09 16:45
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.51%E -2.55%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-09 10:40
Caesars1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.51%E -2.55%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-09 16:15
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.51%E -2.55%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-09 16:15
Hard Rock Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.51%E -2.55%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-09 11:00
ReBet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.51%E -2.55%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-09 16:30
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.51%E -2.55%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-09 04:50
Bovada1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.51%E -2.55%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -4.22%E -2.03%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-09 17:34
DraftKings1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.51%E -2.55%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -4.22%E -2.03%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-09 17:09
LeoVegas (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -4.51%E -2.55%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -4.68%E -2.26%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-09 17:05
Unibet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -4.51%E -2.55%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -4.68%E -2.26%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-09 17:04
Casumo1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -4.51%E -2.55%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -4.68%E -2.26%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-09 17:05
ATG (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -4.51%E -2.55%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -4.68%E -2.26%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-09 17:04
Bally Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -4.51%E -2.55%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -4.68%E -2.26%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-09 17:05
betPARX1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -4.51%E -2.55%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -4.68%E -2.26%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-09 17:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.51%E -2.55%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.60%E -2.73%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-09 16:15
Neds1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.51%E -2.55%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.60%E -2.73%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-09 16:15
Fliff1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.51%E -2.55%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.60%E -2.73%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-09 17:34
PlayUp1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.51%E -2.55%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.60%E -2.73%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-09 14:54
Bet Right1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.05%E -2.87%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.22%E -2.03%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-09 16:15
Coolbet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.05%E -2.87%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.22%E -2.03%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-09 16:50
NordicBet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.05%E -2.87%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.68%E -2.26%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-09 17:24
LiveScore Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -5.05%E -2.87%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -5.14%E -2.49%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-09 17:05
Virgin Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -5.05%E -2.87%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -5.14%E -2.49%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-09 17:05
BetRivers1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -5.05%E -2.87%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -5.14%E -2.49%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-09 17:05
TABtouch1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -5.05%E -2.87%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -5.14%E -2.49%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-09 17:05
Winamax (DE)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.05%E -2.87%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.60%E -2.73%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-09 16:29
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.59%E -3.19%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-09 16:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.59%E -3.19%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-09 16:15
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.59%E -3.19%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-09 17:23
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.59%E -3.19%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.22%E -2.03%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-09 10:40
LeoVegas1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.59%E -3.19%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.22%E -2.03%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-09 16:29
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.59%E -3.19%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.60%E -2.73%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-09 15:15
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.59%E -3.19%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.60%E -2.73%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-09 15:15
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.59%E -3.19%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.60%E -2.73%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-09 15:15
Unibet (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.59%E -3.19%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.60%E -2.73%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-09 17:24
Winamax (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -6.13%E -3.52%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -7.90%E -3.95%K -7.90%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-09 16:29
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.67%E -3.85%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-09 17:05
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.67%E -3.85%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.60%E -2.73%K -5.33%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-09 15:09
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.67%E -3.85%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.60%E -2.73%K -5.33%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-09 16:30
Grosvenor1.73I 57.80%NM 53.87%EV -6.67%E -3.85%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.13%EV -6.98%E -3.46%K -6.84%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-09 17:05
Betclic (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -7.20%E -4.19%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -7.90%E -3.95%K -7.90%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-09 17:09
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -8.28%E -4.87%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-09 16:35
Betsson1.00I 100.00%NM 50.00%EV -46.05%E -46.05%K +0.000%G +0.000%1.00I 100.00%NM 50.00%EV -53.95%E -53.95%K +0.000%G +0.000%100.0%2026-07-09 17:35
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
BetOpenly1.89I 52.91%NM 53.33%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.67%-0.8%2026-07-09 17:34
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.84I 54.35%NM 54.23%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.77%0.2%2026-07-09 17:35
Novig1.87I 53.48%NM 53.25%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.75%0.4%2026-07-09 17:34
ProphetX1.84I 54.35%NM 54.11%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.89%0.4%2026-07-09 17:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%0.6%2026-07-09 17:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%0.6%2026-07-09 17:35
Matchbook1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%0.6%2026-07-09 17:10
Polymarket1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-07-09 16:34
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-07-09 11:50
Smarkets1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%2.1%2026-07-09 16:55