A Escola das Odds

Baltimore Orioles v Chicago Cubs

Início: 2026-07-09 17:36 UTC

Final: Baltimore Orioles 3–2 Chicago Cubs

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

62 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Baltimore Orioles (Local)

Previsão 53.95%1.85odd justa
EV -1.27%
Vantagem -0.694%
Kelly -1.53%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.83

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
50.00%53.85%53.95%55.26%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.001.761.771.83100.00%56.89%56.50%54.64%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Chicago Cubs (Visitante)

Previsão 46.05%2.17odd justa
EV -0.994%
Vantagem -0.462%
Kelly -0.864%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.15

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
44.74%46.15%46.05%50.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.002.062.082.15100.00%48.59%48.19%46.51%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (62 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
1xBet1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -1.27%E -0.694%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-09 16:48
Unibet (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.71%EV -1.27%E -0.694%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.29%EV -6.06%E -2.97%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-09 17:35
Pinnacle1.81I 55.25%NM 54.18%EV -2.35%E -1.30%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.82%EV -1.45%E -0.680%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-09 17:34
GTbets1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -2.35%E -1.30%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -1.91%E -0.899%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-09 17:34
BetAnything1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -2.35%E -1.30%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -2.38%E -1.12%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-09 17:35
BetUS1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -2.35%E -1.30%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -2.38%E -1.12%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-09 17:24
BetOnline.ag1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -2.35%E -1.30%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -2.38%E -1.12%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-09 17:35
LowVig.ag1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -2.35%E -1.30%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -2.38%E -1.12%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-09 17:34
Everygame1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.89%E -1.60%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -0.994%E -0.462%K -0.864%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-09 16:15
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -2.89%E -1.60%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-09 14:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -2.89%E -1.60%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-09 10:40
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.89%E -1.60%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.60%E -2.73%K -5.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-09 17:29
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.89%E -1.60%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.60%E -2.73%K -5.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-09 14:55
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.89%E -1.60%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.90%E -3.95%K -7.90%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-09 17:35
MyBookie.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -3.97%E -2.23%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -3.76%E -1.80%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-09 16:55
Unibet (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -3.97%E -2.23%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -4.22%E -2.03%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-09 17:05
Unibet (NL)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -3.97%E -2.23%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -4.22%E -2.03%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-09 17:05
Svenska Spel1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -3.97%E -2.23%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -4.22%E -2.03%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-09 17:05
Marathon Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -3.97%E -2.23%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -6.06%E -2.97%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-09 16:45
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.51%E -2.55%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-09 10:40
Caesars1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.51%E -2.55%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-09 16:15
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.51%E -2.55%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-09 16:15
Hard Rock Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.51%E -2.55%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-09 11:00
ReBet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.51%E -2.55%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-09 16:30
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.51%E -2.55%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-09 04:50
Bovada1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.51%E -2.55%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -4.22%E -2.03%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-09 17:34
DraftKings1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.51%E -2.55%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -4.22%E -2.03%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-09 17:09
LeoVegas (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -4.51%E -2.55%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -4.68%E -2.26%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-09 17:05
Unibet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -4.51%E -2.55%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -4.68%E -2.26%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-09 17:04
Casumo1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -4.51%E -2.55%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -4.68%E -2.26%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-09 17:05
ATG (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -4.51%E -2.55%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -4.68%E -2.26%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-09 17:04
Bally Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -4.51%E -2.55%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -4.68%E -2.26%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-09 17:05
betPARX1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -4.51%E -2.55%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -4.68%E -2.26%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-09 17:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.51%E -2.55%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.60%E -2.73%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-09 16:15
Neds1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.51%E -2.55%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.60%E -2.73%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-09 16:15
Fliff1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.51%E -2.55%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.60%E -2.73%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-09 17:34
PlayUp1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.51%E -2.55%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.60%E -2.73%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-09 14:54
Bet Right1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.05%E -2.87%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.22%E -2.03%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-09 16:15
Coolbet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.05%E -2.87%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.22%E -2.03%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-09 16:50
NordicBet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.05%E -2.87%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.68%E -2.26%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-09 17:24
LiveScore Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -5.05%E -2.87%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -5.14%E -2.49%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-09 17:05
Virgin Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -5.05%E -2.87%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -5.14%E -2.49%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-09 17:05
BetRivers1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -5.05%E -2.87%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -5.14%E -2.49%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-09 17:05
TABtouch1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -5.05%E -2.87%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -5.14%E -2.49%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-09 17:05
Winamax (DE)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.05%E -2.87%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.60%E -2.73%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-09 16:29
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.59%E -3.19%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-09 16:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.59%E -3.19%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-09 16:15
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.59%E -3.19%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-09 17:23
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.59%E -3.19%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.22%E -2.03%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-09 10:40
LeoVegas1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.59%E -3.19%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.22%E -2.03%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-09 16:29
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.59%E -3.19%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.60%E -2.73%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-09 15:15
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.59%E -3.19%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.60%E -2.73%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-09 15:15
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.59%E -3.19%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.60%E -2.73%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-09 15:15
Unibet (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.59%E -3.19%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.60%E -2.73%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-09 17:24
Winamax (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -6.13%E -3.52%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -7.90%E -3.95%K -7.90%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-09 16:29
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.67%E -3.85%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-09 17:05
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.67%E -3.85%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.60%E -2.73%K -5.33%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-09 15:09
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.67%E -3.85%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.60%E -2.73%K -5.33%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-09 16:30
Grosvenor1.73I 57.80%NM 53.87%EV -6.67%E -3.85%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.13%EV -6.98%E -3.46%K -6.84%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-09 17:05
Betclic (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -7.20%E -4.19%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -7.90%E -3.95%K -7.90%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-09 17:09
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -8.28%E -4.87%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-09 16:35
Betsson1.00I 100.00%NM 50.00%EV -46.05%E -46.05%K +0.000%G +0.000%1.00I 100.00%NM 50.00%EV -53.95%E -53.95%K +0.000%G +0.000%100.0%2026-07-09 17:35
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly1.89I 52.91%NM 53.33%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.67%-0.8%2026-07-09 17:34
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.84I 54.35%NM 54.23%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.77%0.2%2026-07-09 17:35
Novig1.87I 53.48%NM 53.25%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.75%0.4%2026-07-09 17:34
ProphetX1.84I 54.35%NM 54.11%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.89%0.4%2026-07-09 17:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%0.6%2026-07-09 17:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%0.6%2026-07-09 17:35
Matchbook1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%0.6%2026-07-09 17:10
Polymarket1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-07-09 16:34
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-07-09 11:50
Smarkets1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%2.1%2026-07-09 16:55