Die Schule der Quoten

Baltimore Orioles v Chicago Cubs

Spielbeginn: 2026-07-09 17:36 UTC

Endstand: Baltimore Orioles 3–2 Chicago Cubs

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

62 Wettanbieter (20 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Baltimore Orioles (Heim)

Prognose 53.95%1.85faire Quote
EV -1.27%
Vorteil -0.694%
Kelly -1.53%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.83

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
50.00%53.85%53.95%55.26%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.001.761.771.83100.00%56.89%56.50%54.64%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Chicago Cubs (Auswärts)

Prognose 46.05%2.17faire Quote
EV -0.994%
Vorteil -0.462%
Kelly -0.864%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.15

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
44.74%46.15%46.05%50.00%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.002.062.082.15100.00%48.59%48.19%46.51%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (62 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
1xBet1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -1.27%E -0.694%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-09 16:48
Unibet (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.71%EV -1.27%E -0.694%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.29%EV -6.06%E -2.97%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-09 17:35
Pinnacle1.81I 55.25%NM 54.18%EV -2.35%E -1.30%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.82%EV -1.45%E -0.680%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-09 17:34
GTbets1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -2.35%E -1.30%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -1.91%E -0.899%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-09 17:34
BetAnything1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -2.35%E -1.30%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -2.38%E -1.12%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-09 17:35
BetUS1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -2.35%E -1.30%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -2.38%E -1.12%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-09 17:24
BetOnline.ag1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -2.35%E -1.30%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -2.38%E -1.12%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-09 17:35
LowVig.ag1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -2.35%E -1.30%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -2.38%E -1.12%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-09 17:34
Everygame1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.89%E -1.60%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -0.994%E -0.462%K -0.864%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-09 16:15
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -2.89%E -1.60%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-09 14:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -2.89%E -1.60%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-09 10:40
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.89%E -1.60%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.60%E -2.73%K -5.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-09 17:29
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.89%E -1.60%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.60%E -2.73%K -5.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-09 14:55
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.89%E -1.60%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.90%E -3.95%K -7.90%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-09 17:35
MyBookie.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -3.97%E -2.23%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -3.76%E -1.80%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-09 16:55
Unibet (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -3.97%E -2.23%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -4.22%E -2.03%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-09 17:05
Unibet (NL)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -3.97%E -2.23%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -4.22%E -2.03%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-09 17:05
Svenska Spel1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -3.97%E -2.23%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -4.22%E -2.03%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-09 17:05
Marathon Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -3.97%E -2.23%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -6.06%E -2.97%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-09 16:45
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.51%E -2.55%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-09 10:40
Caesars1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.51%E -2.55%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-09 16:15
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.51%E -2.55%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-09 16:15
Hard Rock Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.51%E -2.55%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-09 11:00
ReBet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.51%E -2.55%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-09 16:30
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.51%E -2.55%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-09 04:50
Bovada1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.51%E -2.55%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -4.22%E -2.03%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-09 17:34
DraftKings1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.51%E -2.55%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -4.22%E -2.03%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-09 17:09
LeoVegas (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -4.51%E -2.55%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -4.68%E -2.26%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-09 17:05
Unibet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -4.51%E -2.55%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -4.68%E -2.26%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-09 17:04
Casumo1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -4.51%E -2.55%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -4.68%E -2.26%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-09 17:05
ATG (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -4.51%E -2.55%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -4.68%E -2.26%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-09 17:04
Bally Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -4.51%E -2.55%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -4.68%E -2.26%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-09 17:05
betPARX1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -4.51%E -2.55%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -4.68%E -2.26%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-09 17:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.51%E -2.55%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.60%E -2.73%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-09 16:15
Neds1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.51%E -2.55%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.60%E -2.73%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-09 16:15
Fliff1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.51%E -2.55%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.60%E -2.73%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-09 17:34
PlayUp1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.51%E -2.55%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.60%E -2.73%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-09 14:54
Bet Right1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.05%E -2.87%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.22%E -2.03%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-09 16:15
Coolbet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.05%E -2.87%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.22%E -2.03%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-09 16:50
NordicBet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.05%E -2.87%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.68%E -2.26%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-09 17:24
LiveScore Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -5.05%E -2.87%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -5.14%E -2.49%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-09 17:05
Virgin Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -5.05%E -2.87%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -5.14%E -2.49%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-09 17:05
BetRivers1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -5.05%E -2.87%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -5.14%E -2.49%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-09 17:05
TABtouch1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -5.05%E -2.87%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -5.14%E -2.49%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-09 17:05
Winamax (DE)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.05%E -2.87%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.60%E -2.73%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-09 16:29
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.59%E -3.19%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-09 16:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.59%E -3.19%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-09 16:15
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.59%E -3.19%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-09 17:23
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.59%E -3.19%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.22%E -2.03%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-09 10:40
LeoVegas1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.59%E -3.19%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.22%E -2.03%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-09 16:29
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.59%E -3.19%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.60%E -2.73%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-09 15:15
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.59%E -3.19%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.60%E -2.73%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-09 15:15
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.59%E -3.19%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.60%E -2.73%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-09 15:15
Unibet (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.59%E -3.19%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.60%E -2.73%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-09 17:24
Winamax (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -6.13%E -3.52%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -7.90%E -3.95%K -7.90%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-09 16:29
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.67%E -3.85%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-09 17:05
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.67%E -3.85%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.60%E -2.73%K -5.33%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-09 15:09
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.67%E -3.85%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.60%E -2.73%K -5.33%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-09 16:30
Grosvenor1.73I 57.80%NM 53.87%EV -6.67%E -3.85%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.13%EV -6.98%E -3.46%K -6.84%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-09 17:05
Betclic (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -7.20%E -4.19%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -7.90%E -3.95%K -7.90%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-09 17:09
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -8.28%E -4.87%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-09 16:35
Betsson1.00I 100.00%NM 50.00%EV -46.05%E -46.05%K +0.000%G +0.000%1.00I 100.00%NM 50.00%EV -53.95%E -53.95%K +0.000%G +0.000%100.0%2026-07-09 17:35
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (10)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
BetOpenly1.89I 52.91%NM 53.33%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.67%-0.8%2026-07-09 17:34
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.84I 54.35%NM 54.23%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.77%0.2%2026-07-09 17:35
Novig1.87I 53.48%NM 53.25%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.75%0.4%2026-07-09 17:34
ProphetX1.84I 54.35%NM 54.11%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.89%0.4%2026-07-09 17:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%0.6%2026-07-09 17:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%0.6%2026-07-09 17:35
Matchbook1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%0.6%2026-07-09 17:10
Polymarket1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-07-09 16:34
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-07-09 11:50
Smarkets1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%2.1%2026-07-09 16:55