Language:English
Atlanta Braves v New York Mets
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Atlanta Braves (Local)
Prediction 49.09%2.04fair odd
EV +0.635%
Edge +0.310%
Kelly +0.605%
Growth +0.004%
assuming max odds 2.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.70%49.17%49.28%52.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.821.951.942.0554.95%51.39%51.68%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
New York Mets (Visit)
Prediction 50.91%1.96fair odd
EV +2.84%
Edge +1.40%
Kelly +2.78%
Growth +0.079%
assuming max odds 2.02
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.40%50.83%50.72%52.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.871.872.0255.56%53.37%53.48%49.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Atlanta Braves (Local): 49.09%; New York Mets (Visit): 50.91%. For New York Mets (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.96. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.02, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.84%.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -10.66%E -5.85%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV +2.84%E +1.40%K +2.78%G +0.079% | 4.5% | 2026-07-05 18:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.87%EV -4.76%E -2.46%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.13%EV -1.74%E -0.904%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-05 17:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -6.24%E -3.27%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -1.74%E -0.904%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-05 18:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -5.26%E -2.72%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -2.76%E -1.45%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-05 17:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -5.26%E -2.72%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -2.76%E -1.45%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-05 17:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.27%E -2.19%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.27%E -1.72%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-05 17:43 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.73%E -3.54%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.27%E -1.72%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 18:04 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -7.71%E -4.10%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -3.27%E -1.72%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-05 18:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%EV +0.144%E +0.071%K +0.139%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%EV -3.78%E -2.00%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-07-05 17:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -0.838%E -0.415%K -0.821%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -3.78%E -2.00%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-05 17:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -3.78%E -1.93%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -3.78%E -2.00%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-05 16:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.75%E -2.99%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.78%E -2.00%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-05 17:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.75%E -2.99%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.78%E -2.00%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-05 17:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.75%E -2.99%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.78%E -2.00%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-05 17:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.75%E -2.99%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.78%E -2.00%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-05 16:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.75%E -2.99%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.78%E -2.00%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-05 17:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.75%E -2.99%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.78%E -2.00%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-05 17:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.75%E -2.99%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.78%E -2.00%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-05 17:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -6.24%E -3.27%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -3.78%E -2.00%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 17:14 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -6.24%E -3.27%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -3.78%E -2.00%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 17:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -6.24%E -3.27%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -4.29%E -2.28%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-05 17:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -6.24%E -3.27%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -4.29%E -2.28%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-05 17:14 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV +0.635%E +0.310%K +0.605%G +0.004% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -4.80%E -2.57%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-05 17:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV +0.635%E +0.310%K +0.605%G +0.004% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -4.80%E -2.57%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-05 17:30 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV +0.635%E +0.310%K +0.605%G +0.004% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -4.80%E -2.57%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-05 16:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV +0.144%E +0.071%K +0.139%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -4.80%E -2.57%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-05 17:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV +0.144%E +0.071%K +0.139%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -4.80%E -2.57%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-05 17:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.27%E -2.19%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.80%E -2.57%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-05 16:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.24%E -3.27%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.80%E -2.57%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-05 16:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -6.73%E -3.54%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -4.80%E -2.57%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-05 16:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -4.76%E -2.46%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -5.31%E -2.85%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 16:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -1.82%E -0.910%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -5.82%E -3.14%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-05 16:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -1.82%E -0.910%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -5.82%E -3.14%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-05 16:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -2.80%E -1.41%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.82%E -3.14%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-05 16:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -2.80%E -1.41%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.82%E -3.14%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-05 16:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -2.80%E -1.41%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.82%E -3.14%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-05 16:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.27%E -2.19%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.82%E -3.14%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 17:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.27%E -2.19%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.82%E -3.14%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 18:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -7.71%E -4.10%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -5.82%E -3.14%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-05 17:14 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -9.18%E -4.96%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -5.82%E -3.14%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-05 18:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.04%EV -2.31%E -1.16%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.96%EV -6.33%E -3.44%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-05 17:34 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.82%E -0.910%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.84%E -3.74%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-05 16:58 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.82%E -0.910%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.84%E -3.74%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-05 17:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -2.80%E -1.41%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -6.84%E -3.74%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-05 18:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.27%E -2.19%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.84%E -3.74%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-05 18:04 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.24%E -3.27%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.84%E -3.74%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-05 16:29 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV -6.73%E -3.54%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -6.84%E -3.74%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-05 17:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.72%EV -10.66%E -5.85%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.28%EV -8.36%E -4.65%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-07-05 17:39 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (9)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75% | 0.5% | 2026-07-05 18:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75% | 0.5% | 2026-07-05 18:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75% | 0.5% | 2026-07-05 18:10 |
| Novig◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26% | 0.6% | 2026-07-05 18:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 1.0% | 2026-07-05 17:55 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 1.0% | 2026-07-05 17:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01% | 1.1% | 2026-07-05 18:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.05I 48.78%NM 48.23% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.77% | 1.1% | 2026-07-05 18:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.73% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.27% | 1.6% | 2026-07-05 17:15 |
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