L’École des cotes

Atlanta Braves v New York Mets

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-05 18:15 UTC

Score final : Atlanta Braves 9–10 New York Mets

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

48 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Atlanta Braves (Local)

Prévision 49.09%2.04cote équitable
EV +0.635%
Avantage +0.310%
Kelly +0.605%
Croissance +0.004%

avec la cote maximale 2.05

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.70%49.17%49.28%52.60%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.821.951.942.0554.95%51.39%51.68%48.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

New York Mets (Visiteur)

Prévision 50.91%1.96cote équitable
EV +2.84%
Avantage +1.40%
Kelly +2.78%
Croissance +0.079%

avec la cote maximale 2.02

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.40%50.83%50.72%52.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.801.871.872.0255.56%53.37%53.48%49.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
DraftKings1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -10.66%E -5.85%K -12.99%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV +2.84%E +1.40%K +2.78%G +0.079%4.5%2026-07-05 18:10
Svenska Spel1.94I 51.55%NM 49.87%EV -4.76%E -2.46%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.13%EV -1.74%E -0.904%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-05 17:15
Unibet (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -6.24%E -3.27%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -1.74%E -0.904%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-05 18:10
Unibet (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -5.26%E -2.72%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -2.76%E -1.45%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-05 17:15
Unibet (NL)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -5.26%E -2.72%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -2.76%E -1.45%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-05 17:15
TAB1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.27%E -2.19%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.27%E -1.72%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-05 17:43
Dabble (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.73%E -3.54%K -7.48%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.27%E -1.72%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 18:04
Winamax (DE)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -7.71%E -4.10%K -8.76%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -3.27%E -1.72%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-05 18:10
Pinnacle2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%EV +0.144%E +0.071%K +0.139%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%EV -3.78%E -2.00%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-05 17:45
BetUS2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -0.838%E -0.415%K -0.821%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -3.78%E -2.00%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-05 17:45
FanDuel1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -3.78%E -1.93%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -3.78%E -2.00%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-05 16:30
Casumo1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.75%E -2.99%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.78%E -2.00%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-05 17:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.75%E -2.99%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.78%E -2.00%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-05 17:15
Unibet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.75%E -2.99%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.78%E -2.00%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-05 17:15
Coolbet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.75%E -2.99%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.78%E -2.00%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-05 16:30
ATG (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.75%E -2.99%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.78%E -2.00%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-05 17:15
Bally Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.75%E -2.99%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.78%E -2.00%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-05 17:15
betPARX1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.75%E -2.99%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.78%E -2.00%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-05 17:19
Virgin Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -6.24%E -3.27%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -3.78%E -2.00%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 17:14
LiveScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -6.24%E -3.27%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -3.78%E -2.00%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 17:15
TABtouch1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -6.24%E -3.27%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -4.29%E -2.28%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-05 17:15
BetRivers1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -6.24%E -3.27%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -4.29%E -2.28%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-05 17:14
GTbets2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV +0.635%E +0.310%K +0.605%G +0.004%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -4.80%E -2.57%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-05 17:00
BetAnything2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV +0.635%E +0.310%K +0.605%G +0.004%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -4.80%E -2.57%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-05 17:30
Everygame2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV +0.635%E +0.310%K +0.605%G +0.004%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -4.80%E -2.57%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-05 16:59
BetOnline.ag2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV +0.144%E +0.071%K +0.139%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -4.80%E -2.57%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-05 17:00
LowVig.ag2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV +0.144%E +0.071%K +0.139%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -4.80%E -2.57%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-05 17:00
theScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.27%E -2.19%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.80%E -2.57%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-05 16:30
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.24%E -3.27%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.80%E -2.57%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-05 16:59
Tipico (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -6.73%E -3.54%K -7.48%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -4.80%E -2.57%K -5.52%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-05 16:29
SportsBet1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -4.76%E -2.46%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -5.31%E -2.85%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 16:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -1.82%E -0.910%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -5.82%E -3.14%K -6.84%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-05 16:29
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -1.82%E -0.910%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -5.82%E -3.14%K -6.84%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-05 16:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -2.80%E -1.41%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.82%E -3.14%K -6.84%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 16:30
Neds1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -2.80%E -1.41%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.82%E -3.14%K -6.84%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 16:30
BetMGM1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -2.80%E -1.41%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.82%E -3.14%K -6.84%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 16:34
NordicBet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.27%E -2.19%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.82%E -3.14%K -6.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 17:45
PlayUp1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.27%E -2.19%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.82%E -3.14%K -6.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 18:09
Grosvenor1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -7.71%E -4.10%K -8.76%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -5.82%E -3.14%K -6.84%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-05 17:14
Betclic (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -9.18%E -4.96%K -10.80%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -5.82%E -3.14%K -6.84%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-05 18:04
Bovada1.99I 50.25%NM 48.04%EV -2.31%E -1.16%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.96%EV -6.33%E -3.44%K -7.53%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 17:34
Caesars2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.82%E -0.910%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.84%E -3.74%K -8.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 16:58
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.82%E -0.910%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.84%E -3.74%K -8.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 17:50
Betsson1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -2.80%E -1.41%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -6.84%E -3.74%K -8.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 18:10
Fliff1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.27%E -2.19%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.84%E -3.74%K -8.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-05 18:04
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.24%E -3.27%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.84%E -3.74%K -8.24%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-05 16:29
LeoVegas1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV -6.73%E -3.54%K -7.48%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -6.84%E -3.74%K -8.24%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-05 17:55
Winamax (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 49.72%EV -10.66%E -5.85%K -12.99%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.28%EV -8.36%E -4.65%K -10.45%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-05 17:39
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (9)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%0.5%2026-07-05 18:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%0.5%2026-07-05 18:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%0.5%2026-07-05 18:10
Novig2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%0.6%2026-07-05 18:10
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-07-05 17:55
Polymarket2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-07-05 17:15
Matchbook2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01%1.1%2026-07-05 18:05
ProphetX2.05I 48.78%NM 48.23%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.77%1.1%2026-07-05 18:10
Smarkets2.02I 49.50%NM 48.73%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.27%1.6%2026-07-05 17:15