A Escola das Odds

Atlanta Braves v New York Mets

Início: 2026-07-05 18:15 UTC

Final: Atlanta Braves 9–10 New York Mets

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

48 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Atlanta Braves (Local)

Previsão 49.09%2.04odd justa
EV +0.635%
Vantagem +0.310%
Kelly +0.605%
Crescimento +0.004%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.05

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
47.70%49.17%49.28%52.60%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.821.951.942.0554.95%51.39%51.68%48.78%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

New York Mets (Visitante)

Previsão 50.91%1.96odd justa
EV +2.84%
Vantagem +1.40%
Kelly +2.78%
Crescimento +0.079%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.02

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
47.40%50.83%50.72%52.30%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.801.871.872.0255.56%53.37%53.48%49.50%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (48 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
DraftKings1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -10.66%E -5.85%K -12.99%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV +2.84%E +1.40%K +2.78%G +0.079%4.5%2026-07-05 18:10
Svenska Spel1.94I 51.55%NM 49.87%EV -4.76%E -2.46%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.13%EV -1.74%E -0.904%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-05 17:15
Unibet (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -6.24%E -3.27%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -1.74%E -0.904%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-05 18:10
Unibet (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -5.26%E -2.72%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -2.76%E -1.45%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-05 17:15
Unibet (NL)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -5.26%E -2.72%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -2.76%E -1.45%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-05 17:15
TAB1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.27%E -2.19%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.27%E -1.72%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-05 17:43
Dabble (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.73%E -3.54%K -7.48%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.27%E -1.72%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 18:04
Winamax (DE)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -7.71%E -4.10%K -8.76%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -3.27%E -1.72%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-05 18:10
Pinnacle2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%EV +0.144%E +0.071%K +0.139%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%EV -3.78%E -2.00%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-05 17:45
BetUS2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -0.838%E -0.415%K -0.821%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -3.78%E -2.00%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-05 17:45
FanDuel1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -3.78%E -1.93%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -3.78%E -2.00%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-05 16:30
Casumo1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.75%E -2.99%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.78%E -2.00%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-05 17:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.75%E -2.99%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.78%E -2.00%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-05 17:15
Unibet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.75%E -2.99%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.78%E -2.00%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-05 17:15
Coolbet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.75%E -2.99%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.78%E -2.00%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-05 16:30
ATG (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.75%E -2.99%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.78%E -2.00%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-05 17:15
Bally Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.75%E -2.99%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.78%E -2.00%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-05 17:15
betPARX1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.75%E -2.99%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.78%E -2.00%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-05 17:19
Virgin Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -6.24%E -3.27%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -3.78%E -2.00%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 17:14
LiveScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -6.24%E -3.27%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -3.78%E -2.00%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 17:15
TABtouch1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -6.24%E -3.27%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -4.29%E -2.28%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-05 17:15
BetRivers1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -6.24%E -3.27%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -4.29%E -2.28%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-05 17:14
GTbets2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV +0.635%E +0.310%K +0.605%G +0.004%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -4.80%E -2.57%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-05 17:00
BetAnything2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV +0.635%E +0.310%K +0.605%G +0.004%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -4.80%E -2.57%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-05 17:30
Everygame2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV +0.635%E +0.310%K +0.605%G +0.004%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -4.80%E -2.57%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-05 16:59
BetOnline.ag2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV +0.144%E +0.071%K +0.139%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -4.80%E -2.57%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-05 17:00
LowVig.ag2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV +0.144%E +0.071%K +0.139%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -4.80%E -2.57%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-05 17:00
theScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.27%E -2.19%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.80%E -2.57%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-05 16:30
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.24%E -3.27%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.80%E -2.57%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-05 16:59
Tipico (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -6.73%E -3.54%K -7.48%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -4.80%E -2.57%K -5.52%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-05 16:29
SportsBet1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -4.76%E -2.46%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -5.31%E -2.85%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 16:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -1.82%E -0.910%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -5.82%E -3.14%K -6.84%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-05 16:29
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -1.82%E -0.910%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -5.82%E -3.14%K -6.84%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-05 16:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -2.80%E -1.41%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.82%E -3.14%K -6.84%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 16:30
Neds1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -2.80%E -1.41%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.82%E -3.14%K -6.84%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 16:30
BetMGM1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -2.80%E -1.41%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.82%E -3.14%K -6.84%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 16:34
NordicBet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.27%E -2.19%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.82%E -3.14%K -6.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 17:45
PlayUp1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.27%E -2.19%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.82%E -3.14%K -6.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 18:09
Grosvenor1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -7.71%E -4.10%K -8.76%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -5.82%E -3.14%K -6.84%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-05 17:14
Betclic (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -9.18%E -4.96%K -10.80%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -5.82%E -3.14%K -6.84%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-05 18:04
Bovada1.99I 50.25%NM 48.04%EV -2.31%E -1.16%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.96%EV -6.33%E -3.44%K -7.53%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 17:34
Caesars2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.82%E -0.910%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.84%E -3.74%K -8.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 16:58
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.82%E -0.910%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.84%E -3.74%K -8.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 17:50
Betsson1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -2.80%E -1.41%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -6.84%E -3.74%K -8.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 18:10
Fliff1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.27%E -2.19%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.84%E -3.74%K -8.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-05 18:04
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.24%E -3.27%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.84%E -3.74%K -8.24%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-05 16:29
LeoVegas1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV -6.73%E -3.54%K -7.48%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -6.84%E -3.74%K -8.24%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-05 17:55
Winamax (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 49.72%EV -10.66%E -5.85%K -12.99%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.28%EV -8.36%E -4.65%K -10.45%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-05 17:39
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (9)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%0.5%2026-07-05 18:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%0.5%2026-07-05 18:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%0.5%2026-07-05 18:10
Novig2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%0.6%2026-07-05 18:10
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-07-05 17:55
Polymarket2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-07-05 17:15
Matchbook2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01%1.1%2026-07-05 18:05
ProphetX2.05I 48.78%NM 48.23%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.77%1.1%2026-07-05 18:10
Smarkets2.02I 49.50%NM 48.73%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.27%1.6%2026-07-05 17:15