默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Atlanta Braves v New York Mets

开赛时间: 2026-07-05 18:15 UTC

最终结果: Atlanta Braves 9–10 New York Mets

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

48 家博彩公司 (16 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Atlanta Braves (主队)

预测 49.09%2.04公平赔率
EV +0.635%
优势 +0.310%
Kelly +0.605%
增长率 +0.004%

假设最高赔率为 2.05

博彩公司预测分布
47.70%49.17%49.28%52.60%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.821.951.942.0554.95%51.39%51.68%48.78%最小值均值中位数最大值

New York Mets (客队)

预测 50.91%1.96公平赔率
EV +2.84%
优势 +1.40%
Kelly +2.78%
增长率 +0.079%

假设最高赔率为 2.02

博彩公司预测分布
47.40%50.83%50.72%52.30%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.801.871.872.0255.56%53.37%53.48%49.50%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Atlanta Braves (主队):49.09%;New York Mets (客队):50.91%。 对于“New York Mets (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.96。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为2.02,对应+2.84%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (48 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
DraftKings🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -10.66%E -5.85%K -12.99%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV +2.84%E +1.40%K +2.78%G +0.079%4.5%2026-07-05 18:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.87%EV -4.76%E -2.46%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.13%EV -1.74%E -0.904%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-05 17:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -6.24%E -3.27%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -1.74%E -0.904%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-05 18:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -5.26%E -2.72%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -2.76%E -1.45%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-05 17:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -5.26%E -2.72%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -2.76%E -1.45%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-05 17:15
TAB🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.27%E -2.19%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.27%E -1.72%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-05 17:43
Dabble (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.73%E -3.54%K -7.48%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.27%E -1.72%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 18:04
Winamax (DE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -7.71%E -4.10%K -8.76%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -3.27%E -1.72%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-05 18:10
Pinnacle🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%EV +0.144%E +0.071%K +0.139%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%EV -3.78%E -2.00%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-05 17:45
BetUS🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -0.838%E -0.415%K -0.821%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -3.78%E -2.00%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-05 17:45
FanDuel🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -3.78%E -1.93%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -3.78%E -2.00%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-05 16:30
Casumo🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.75%E -2.99%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.78%E -2.00%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-05 17:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.75%E -2.99%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.78%E -2.00%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-05 17:15
Unibet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.75%E -2.99%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.78%E -2.00%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-05 17:15
Coolbet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.75%E -2.99%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.78%E -2.00%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-05 16:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.75%E -2.99%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.78%E -2.00%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-05 17:15
Bally Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.75%E -2.99%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.78%E -2.00%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-05 17:15
betPARX🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.75%E -2.99%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.78%E -2.00%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-05 17:19
Virgin Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -6.24%E -3.27%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -3.78%E -2.00%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 17:14
LiveScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -6.24%E -3.27%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -3.78%E -2.00%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 17:15
TABtouch🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -6.24%E -3.27%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -4.29%E -2.28%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-05 17:15
BetRivers🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -6.24%E -3.27%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -4.29%E -2.28%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-05 17:14
GTbets🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV +0.635%E +0.310%K +0.605%G +0.004%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -4.80%E -2.57%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-05 17:00
BetAnything🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV +0.635%E +0.310%K +0.605%G +0.004%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -4.80%E -2.57%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-05 17:30
Everygame🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV +0.635%E +0.310%K +0.605%G +0.004%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -4.80%E -2.57%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-05 16:59
BetOnline.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV +0.144%E +0.071%K +0.139%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -4.80%E -2.57%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-05 17:00
LowVig.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV +0.144%E +0.071%K +0.139%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -4.80%E -2.57%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-05 17:00
theScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.27%E -2.19%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.80%E -2.57%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-05 16:30
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.24%E -3.27%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.80%E -2.57%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-05 16:59
Tipico (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -6.73%E -3.54%K -7.48%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -4.80%E -2.57%K -5.52%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-05 16:29
SportsBet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -4.76%E -2.46%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -5.31%E -2.85%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 16:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -1.82%E -0.910%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -5.82%E -3.14%K -6.84%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-05 16:29
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -1.82%E -0.910%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -5.82%E -3.14%K -6.84%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-05 16:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -2.80%E -1.41%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.82%E -3.14%K -6.84%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 16:30
Neds🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -2.80%E -1.41%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.82%E -3.14%K -6.84%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 16:30
BetMGM🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -2.80%E -1.41%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.82%E -3.14%K -6.84%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 16:34
NordicBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.27%E -2.19%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.82%E -3.14%K -6.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 17:45
PlayUp🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.27%E -2.19%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.82%E -3.14%K -6.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 18:09
Grosvenor🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -7.71%E -4.10%K -8.76%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -5.82%E -3.14%K -6.84%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-05 17:14
Betclic (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -9.18%E -4.96%K -10.80%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -5.82%E -3.14%K -6.84%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-05 18:04
Bovada🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 48.04%EV -2.31%E -1.16%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.96%EV -6.33%E -3.44%K -7.53%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 17:34
Caesars🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.82%E -0.910%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.84%E -3.74%K -8.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 16:58
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.82%E -0.910%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.84%E -3.74%K -8.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 17:50
Betsson🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -2.80%E -1.41%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -6.84%E -3.74%K -8.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 18:10
Fliff🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.27%E -2.19%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.84%E -3.74%K -8.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-05 18:04
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.24%E -3.27%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.84%E -3.74%K -8.24%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-05 16:29
LeoVegas🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV -6.73%E -3.54%K -7.48%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -6.84%E -3.74%K -8.24%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-05 17:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.72%EV -10.66%E -5.85%K -12.99%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.28%EV -8.36%E -4.65%K -10.45%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-05 17:39
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (9)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%0.5%2026-07-05 18:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%0.5%2026-07-05 18:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%0.5%2026-07-05 18:10
Novig2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%0.6%2026-07-05 18:10
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-07-05 17:55
Polymarket2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-07-05 17:15
Matchbook2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01%1.1%2026-07-05 18:05
ProphetX2.05I 48.78%NM 48.23%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.77%1.1%2026-07-05 18:10
Smarkets2.02I 49.50%NM 48.73%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.27%1.6%2026-07-05 17:15