La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Atlanta Braves v New York Mets
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Atlanta Braves (Local)
Predicción 49.09%2.04momio equitativo
EV +0.635%
Ventaja +0.310%
Kelly +0.605%
Crecimiento +0.004%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.05
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.70%49.17%49.28%52.60%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.821.951.942.0554.95%51.39%51.68%48.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
New York Mets (Visitante)
Predicción 50.91%1.96momio equitativo
EV +2.84%
Ventaja +1.40%
Kelly +2.78%
Crecimiento +0.079%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.02
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.40%50.83%50.72%52.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.801.871.872.0255.56%53.37%53.48%49.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -10.66%E -5.85%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV +2.84%E +1.40%K +2.78%G +0.079% | 4.5% | 2026-07-05 18:10 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.87%EV -4.76%E -2.46%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.13%EV -1.74%E -0.904%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-05 17:15 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -6.24%E -3.27%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -1.74%E -0.904%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-05 18:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -5.26%E -2.72%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -2.76%E -1.45%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-05 17:15 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -5.26%E -2.72%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -2.76%E -1.45%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-05 17:15 |
| TAB | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.27%E -2.19%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.27%E -1.72%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-05 17:43 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.73%E -3.54%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.27%E -1.72%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 18:04 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -7.71%E -4.10%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -3.27%E -1.72%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-05 18:10 |
| Pinnacle | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%EV +0.144%E +0.071%K +0.139%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%EV -3.78%E -2.00%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-07-05 17:45 |
| BetUS | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -0.838%E -0.415%K -0.821%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -3.78%E -2.00%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-05 17:45 |
| FanDuel | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -3.78%E -1.93%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -3.78%E -2.00%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-05 16:30 |
| Casumo | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.75%E -2.99%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.78%E -2.00%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-05 17:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.75%E -2.99%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.78%E -2.00%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-05 17:15 |
| Unibet | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.75%E -2.99%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.78%E -2.00%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-05 17:15 |
| Coolbet | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.75%E -2.99%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.78%E -2.00%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-05 16:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.75%E -2.99%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.78%E -2.00%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-05 17:15 |
| Bally Bet | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.75%E -2.99%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.78%E -2.00%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-05 17:15 |
| betPARX | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.75%E -2.99%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.78%E -2.00%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-05 17:19 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -6.24%E -3.27%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -3.78%E -2.00%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 17:14 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -6.24%E -3.27%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -3.78%E -2.00%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 17:15 |
| TABtouch | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -6.24%E -3.27%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -4.29%E -2.28%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-05 17:15 |
| BetRivers | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -6.24%E -3.27%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -4.29%E -2.28%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-05 17:14 |
| GTbets | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV +0.635%E +0.310%K +0.605%G +0.004% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -4.80%E -2.57%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-05 17:00 |
| BetAnything | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV +0.635%E +0.310%K +0.605%G +0.004% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -4.80%E -2.57%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-05 17:30 |
| Everygame | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV +0.635%E +0.310%K +0.605%G +0.004% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -4.80%E -2.57%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-05 16:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV +0.144%E +0.071%K +0.139%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -4.80%E -2.57%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-05 17:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV +0.144%E +0.071%K +0.139%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -4.80%E -2.57%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-05 17:00 |
| theScore Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.27%E -2.19%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.80%E -2.57%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-05 16:30 |
| Betway | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.24%E -3.27%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.80%E -2.57%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-05 16:59 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -6.73%E -3.54%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -4.80%E -2.57%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-05 16:29 |
| SportsBet | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -4.76%E -2.46%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -5.31%E -2.85%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 16:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -1.82%E -0.910%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -5.82%E -3.14%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-05 16:29 |
| Coral | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -1.82%E -0.910%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -5.82%E -3.14%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-05 16:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -2.80%E -1.41%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.82%E -3.14%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-05 16:30 |
| Neds | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -2.80%E -1.41%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.82%E -3.14%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-05 16:30 |
| BetMGM | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -2.80%E -1.41%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.82%E -3.14%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-05 16:34 |
| NordicBet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.27%E -2.19%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.82%E -3.14%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 17:45 |
| PlayUp | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.27%E -2.19%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.82%E -3.14%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 18:09 |
| Grosvenor | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -7.71%E -4.10%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -5.82%E -3.14%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-05 17:14 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -9.18%E -4.96%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -5.82%E -3.14%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-05 18:04 |
| Bovada | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.04%EV -2.31%E -1.16%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.96%EV -6.33%E -3.44%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-05 17:34 |
| Caesars | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.82%E -0.910%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.84%E -3.74%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-05 16:58 |
| Fanatics | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.82%E -0.910%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.84%E -3.74%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-05 17:50 |
| Betsson | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -2.80%E -1.41%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -6.84%E -3.74%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-05 18:10 |
| Fliff | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.27%E -2.19%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.84%E -3.74%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-05 18:04 |
| Paddy Power | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.24%E -3.27%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.84%E -3.74%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-05 16:29 |
| LeoVegas | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV -6.73%E -3.54%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -6.84%E -3.74%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-05 17:55 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.72%EV -10.66%E -5.85%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.28%EV -8.36%E -4.65%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-07-05 17:39 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (9)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75% | 0.5% | 2026-07-05 18:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75% | 0.5% | 2026-07-05 18:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75% | 0.5% | 2026-07-05 18:10 |
| Novig | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26% | 0.6% | 2026-07-05 18:10 |
| Kalshi | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 1.0% | 2026-07-05 17:55 |
| Polymarket | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 1.0% | 2026-07-05 17:15 |
| Matchbook | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01% | 1.1% | 2026-07-05 18:05 |
| ProphetX | 2.05I 48.78%NM 48.23% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.77% | 1.1% | 2026-07-05 18:10 |
| Smarkets | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.73% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.27% | 1.6% | 2026-07-05 17:15 |