La scuola delle quote

Atlanta Braves v New York Mets

Inizio: 2026-07-05 18:15 UTC

Finale: Atlanta Braves 9–10 New York Mets

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

48 bookmaker (16 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Atlanta Braves (Casa)

Previsione 49.09%2.04quota equa
EV +0.635%
Vantaggio +0.310%
Kelly +0.605%
Crescita +0.004%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.05

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
47.70%49.17%49.28%52.60%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.821.951.942.0554.95%51.39%51.68%48.78%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

New York Mets (Trasferta)

Previsione 50.91%1.96quota equa
EV +2.84%
Vantaggio +1.40%
Kelly +2.78%
Crescita +0.079%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.02

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
47.40%50.83%50.72%52.30%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.801.871.872.0255.56%53.37%53.48%49.50%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (48 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
DraftKings1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -10.66%E -5.85%K -12.99%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV +2.84%E +1.40%K +2.78%G +0.079%4.5%2026-07-05 18:10
Svenska Spel1.94I 51.55%NM 49.87%EV -4.76%E -2.46%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.13%EV -1.74%E -0.904%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-05 17:15
Unibet (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -6.24%E -3.27%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -1.74%E -0.904%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-05 18:10
Unibet (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -5.26%E -2.72%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -2.76%E -1.45%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-05 17:15
Unibet (NL)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -5.26%E -2.72%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -2.76%E -1.45%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-05 17:15
TAB1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.27%E -2.19%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.27%E -1.72%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-05 17:43
Dabble (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.73%E -3.54%K -7.48%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.27%E -1.72%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 18:04
Winamax (DE)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -7.71%E -4.10%K -8.76%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -3.27%E -1.72%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-05 18:10
Pinnacle2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%EV +0.144%E +0.071%K +0.139%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%EV -3.78%E -2.00%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-05 17:45
BetUS2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -0.838%E -0.415%K -0.821%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -3.78%E -2.00%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-05 17:45
FanDuel1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -3.78%E -1.93%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -3.78%E -2.00%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-05 16:30
Casumo1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.75%E -2.99%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.78%E -2.00%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-05 17:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.75%E -2.99%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.78%E -2.00%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-05 17:15
Unibet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.75%E -2.99%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.78%E -2.00%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-05 17:15
Coolbet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.75%E -2.99%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.78%E -2.00%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-05 16:30
ATG (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.75%E -2.99%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.78%E -2.00%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-05 17:15
Bally Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.75%E -2.99%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.78%E -2.00%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-05 17:15
betPARX1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.75%E -2.99%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.78%E -2.00%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-05 17:19
Virgin Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -6.24%E -3.27%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -3.78%E -2.00%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 17:14
LiveScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -6.24%E -3.27%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -3.78%E -2.00%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 17:15
TABtouch1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -6.24%E -3.27%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -4.29%E -2.28%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-05 17:15
BetRivers1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -6.24%E -3.27%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -4.29%E -2.28%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-05 17:14
GTbets2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV +0.635%E +0.310%K +0.605%G +0.004%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -4.80%E -2.57%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-05 17:00
BetAnything2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV +0.635%E +0.310%K +0.605%G +0.004%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -4.80%E -2.57%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-05 17:30
Everygame2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV +0.635%E +0.310%K +0.605%G +0.004%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -4.80%E -2.57%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-05 16:59
BetOnline.ag2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV +0.144%E +0.071%K +0.139%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -4.80%E -2.57%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-05 17:00
LowVig.ag2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV +0.144%E +0.071%K +0.139%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -4.80%E -2.57%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-05 17:00
theScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.27%E -2.19%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.80%E -2.57%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-05 16:30
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.24%E -3.27%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.80%E -2.57%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-05 16:59
Tipico (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -6.73%E -3.54%K -7.48%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -4.80%E -2.57%K -5.52%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-05 16:29
SportsBet1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -4.76%E -2.46%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -5.31%E -2.85%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 16:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -1.82%E -0.910%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -5.82%E -3.14%K -6.84%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-05 16:29
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -1.82%E -0.910%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -5.82%E -3.14%K -6.84%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-05 16:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -2.80%E -1.41%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.82%E -3.14%K -6.84%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 16:30
Neds1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -2.80%E -1.41%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.82%E -3.14%K -6.84%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 16:30
BetMGM1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -2.80%E -1.41%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.82%E -3.14%K -6.84%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 16:34
NordicBet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.27%E -2.19%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.82%E -3.14%K -6.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 17:45
PlayUp1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.27%E -2.19%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.82%E -3.14%K -6.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 18:09
Grosvenor1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -7.71%E -4.10%K -8.76%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -5.82%E -3.14%K -6.84%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-05 17:14
Betclic (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -9.18%E -4.96%K -10.80%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -5.82%E -3.14%K -6.84%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-05 18:04
Bovada1.99I 50.25%NM 48.04%EV -2.31%E -1.16%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.96%EV -6.33%E -3.44%K -7.53%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 17:34
Caesars2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.82%E -0.910%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.84%E -3.74%K -8.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 16:58
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.82%E -0.910%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.84%E -3.74%K -8.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 17:50
Betsson1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -2.80%E -1.41%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -6.84%E -3.74%K -8.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 18:10
Fliff1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.27%E -2.19%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.84%E -3.74%K -8.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-05 18:04
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.24%E -3.27%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.84%E -3.74%K -8.24%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-05 16:29
LeoVegas1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV -6.73%E -3.54%K -7.48%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -6.84%E -3.74%K -8.24%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-05 17:55
Winamax (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 49.72%EV -10.66%E -5.85%K -12.99%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.28%EV -8.36%E -4.65%K -10.45%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-05 17:39
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (9)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%0.5%2026-07-05 18:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%0.5%2026-07-05 18:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%0.5%2026-07-05 18:10
Novig2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%0.6%2026-07-05 18:10
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-07-05 17:55
Polymarket2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-07-05 17:15
Matchbook2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01%1.1%2026-07-05 18:05
ProphetX2.05I 48.78%NM 48.23%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.77%1.1%2026-07-05 18:10
Smarkets2.02I 49.50%NM 48.73%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.27%1.6%2026-07-05 17:15