La scuola delle quoteQuote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.05
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.02
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| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -10.66%E -5.85%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV +2.84%E +1.40%K +2.78%G +0.079% | 4.5% | 2026-07-05 18:10 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.87%EV -4.76%E -2.46%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.13%EV -1.74%E -0.904%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-05 17:15 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -6.24%E -3.27%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -1.74%E -0.904%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-05 18:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -5.26%E -2.72%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -2.76%E -1.45%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-05 17:15 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -5.26%E -2.72%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -2.76%E -1.45%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-05 17:15 |
| TAB | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.27%E -2.19%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.27%E -1.72%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-05 17:43 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.73%E -3.54%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.27%E -1.72%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 18:04 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -7.71%E -4.10%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -3.27%E -1.72%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-05 18:10 |
| Pinnacle | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%EV +0.144%E +0.071%K +0.139%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%EV -3.78%E -2.00%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-07-05 17:45 |
| BetUS | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -0.838%E -0.415%K -0.821%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -3.78%E -2.00%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-05 17:45 |
| FanDuel | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -3.78%E -1.93%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -3.78%E -2.00%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-05 16:30 |
| Casumo | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.75%E -2.99%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.78%E -2.00%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-05 17:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.75%E -2.99%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.78%E -2.00%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-05 17:15 |
| Unibet | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.75%E -2.99%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.78%E -2.00%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-05 17:15 |
| Coolbet | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.75%E -2.99%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.78%E -2.00%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-05 16:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.75%E -2.99%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.78%E -2.00%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-05 17:15 |
| Bally Bet | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.75%E -2.99%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.78%E -2.00%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-05 17:15 |
| betPARX | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.75%E -2.99%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.78%E -2.00%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-05 17:19 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -6.24%E -3.27%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -3.78%E -2.00%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 17:14 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -6.24%E -3.27%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -3.78%E -2.00%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 17:15 |
| TABtouch | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -6.24%E -3.27%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -4.29%E -2.28%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-05 17:15 |
| BetRivers | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -6.24%E -3.27%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -4.29%E -2.28%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-05 17:14 |
| GTbets | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV +0.635%E +0.310%K +0.605%G +0.004% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -4.80%E -2.57%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-05 17:00 |
| BetAnything | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV +0.635%E +0.310%K +0.605%G +0.004% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -4.80%E -2.57%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-05 17:30 |
| Everygame | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV +0.635%E +0.310%K +0.605%G +0.004% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -4.80%E -2.57%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-05 16:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV +0.144%E +0.071%K +0.139%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -4.80%E -2.57%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-05 17:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV +0.144%E +0.071%K +0.139%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -4.80%E -2.57%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-05 17:00 |
| theScore Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.27%E -2.19%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.80%E -2.57%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-05 16:30 |
| Betway | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.24%E -3.27%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.80%E -2.57%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-05 16:59 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -6.73%E -3.54%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -4.80%E -2.57%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-05 16:29 |
| SportsBet | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -4.76%E -2.46%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -5.31%E -2.85%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 16:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -1.82%E -0.910%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -5.82%E -3.14%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-05 16:29 |
| Coral | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -1.82%E -0.910%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -5.82%E -3.14%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-05 16:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -2.80%E -1.41%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.82%E -3.14%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-05 16:30 |
| Neds | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -2.80%E -1.41%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.82%E -3.14%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-05 16:30 |
| BetMGM | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -2.80%E -1.41%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.82%E -3.14%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-05 16:34 |
| NordicBet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.27%E -2.19%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.82%E -3.14%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 17:45 |
| PlayUp | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.27%E -2.19%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.82%E -3.14%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 18:09 |
| Grosvenor | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -7.71%E -4.10%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -5.82%E -3.14%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-05 17:14 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -9.18%E -4.96%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -5.82%E -3.14%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-05 18:04 |
| Bovada | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.04%EV -2.31%E -1.16%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.96%EV -6.33%E -3.44%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-05 17:34 |
| Caesars | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.82%E -0.910%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.84%E -3.74%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-05 16:58 |
| Fanatics | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.82%E -0.910%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.84%E -3.74%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-05 17:50 |
| Betsson | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -2.80%E -1.41%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -6.84%E -3.74%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-05 18:10 |
| Fliff | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.27%E -2.19%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.84%E -3.74%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-05 18:04 |
| Paddy Power | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.24%E -3.27%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.84%E -3.74%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-05 16:29 |
| LeoVegas | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV -6.73%E -3.54%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -6.84%E -3.74%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-05 17:55 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.72%EV -10.66%E -5.85%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.28%EV -8.36%E -4.65%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-07-05 17:39 |
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75% | 0.5% | 2026-07-05 18:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75% | 0.5% | 2026-07-05 18:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75% | 0.5% | 2026-07-05 18:10 |
| Novig | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26% | 0.6% | 2026-07-05 18:10 |
| Kalshi | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 1.0% | 2026-07-05 17:55 |
| Polymarket | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 1.0% | 2026-07-05 17:15 |
| Matchbook | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01% | 1.1% | 2026-07-05 18:05 |
| ProphetX | 2.05I 48.78%NM 48.23% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.77% | 1.1% | 2026-07-05 18:10 |
| Smarkets | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.73% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.27% | 1.6% | 2026-07-05 17:15 |