Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Atlanta Braves v Miami Marlins

2026-08-04 23:16 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

63 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Atlanta Braves (Local)

Prediction 58.18%1.72fair odd
EV -1.09%
Edge -0.639%
Kelly -1.55%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.85%58.23%58.23%59.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.651.651.7062.50%60.58%60.61%58.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Miami Marlins (Visit)

Prediction 41.82%2.39fair odd
EV +1.61%
Edge +0.663%
Kelly +1.13%
Growth +0.018%

assuming max odds 2.43

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.30%41.77%41.77%43.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.282.252.4346.51%43.92%44.44%41.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Atlanta Braves (Local): 58.18%; Miami Marlins (Visit): 41.82%. For Miami Marlins (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.39. 2 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 2.43, producing a positive expected value of +1.61%.

Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Caesars1.65I 60.61%NM 59.56%EV -4.00%E -2.42%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.44%EV +1.61%E +0.663%K +1.13%G +0.018%1.8%2026-08-04 23:09
Hard Rock Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 58.97%EV -2.83%E -1.70%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.03%EV +0.357%E +0.149%K +0.255%G +0.001%1.5%2026-08-04 21:45
GTbets1.66I 60.24%NM 59.01%EV -3.41%E -2.06%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.99%EV -0.061%E -0.026%K -0.044%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-04 23:10
DraftKings1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62%EV -2.25%E -1.34%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38%EV -0.480%E -0.202%K -0.348%G +0.000%1.5%2026-08-04 23:09
LowVig.ag1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91%EV -3.41%E -2.06%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%EV -0.480%E -0.202%K -0.348%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-04 23:09
BetOnline.ag1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91%EV -3.41%E -2.06%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%EV -0.480%E -0.202%K -0.348%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-04 23:10
Pinnacle1.67I 59.88%NM 58.66%EV -2.83%E -1.70%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.34%EV -0.898%E -0.379%K -0.655%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-04 22:55
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -6.90%E -4.32%K -11.51%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -0.898%E -0.379%K -0.655%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 23:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -6.90%E -4.32%K -11.51%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -0.898%E -0.379%K -0.655%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 23:10
BetUS1.66I 60.24%NM 58.71%EV -3.41%E -2.06%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.29%EV -1.32%E -0.558%K -0.968%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-04 23:09
PointsBet (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -5.16%E -3.16%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -1.73%E -0.738%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-04 22:54
BetMGM1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.32%E -3.93%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -1.73%E -0.738%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 23:09
BetAnything1.67I 59.88%NM 58.25%EV -2.83%E -1.70%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.75%EV -2.57%E -1.10%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-04 23:05
FanDuel1.70I 58.82%NM 57.71%EV -1.09%E -0.639%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.29%EV -2.99%E -1.29%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-04 19:25
Bovada1.63I 61.35%NM 58.73%EV -5.16%E -3.16%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27%EV -2.99%E -1.29%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-04 23:09
1xBet1.70I 58.82%NM 57.61%EV -1.09%E -0.639%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.39%EV -3.41%E -1.47%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-04 21:09
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.83%E -1.70%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.82%E -1.66%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-04 21:20
Unibet (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.00%E -2.42%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.82%E -1.66%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-04 23:10
ReBet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.00%E -2.42%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.82%E -1.66%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-04 23:10
Fanatics1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.00%E -2.42%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.82%E -1.66%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-04 23:10
Betway1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.74%E -3.54%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.82%E -1.66%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 23:09
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.74%E -3.54%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.82%E -1.66%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 23:10
Fliff1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.32%E -3.93%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.82%E -1.66%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 22:55
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.90%E -4.32%K -11.51%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.82%E -1.66%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 05:34
MyBookie.ag1.66I 60.24%NM 57.97%EV -3.41%E -2.06%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.03%EV -4.24%E -1.85%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-04 23:10
BetRivers1.70I 58.82%NM 57.29%EV -1.09%E -0.639%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.71%EV -4.66%E -2.04%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-04 21:05
Svenska Spel1.70I 58.82%NM 57.29%EV -1.09%E -0.639%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.71%EV -4.66%E -2.04%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-04 21:05
Marathon Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.16%E -3.16%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.66%E -2.04%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 23:09
Bet Right1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -4.00%E -2.42%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -5.50%E -2.43%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 21:24
Unibet (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -2.25%E -1.34%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -5.92%E -2.63%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-04 21:00
Unibet (NL)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -2.25%E -1.34%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -5.92%E -2.63%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-04 21:00
TAB1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -2.25%E -1.34%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -5.92%E -2.63%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-04 20:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.83%E -1.70%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.92%E -2.63%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 19:24
SportsBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.00%E -2.42%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.92%E -2.63%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 19:29
888sport1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.00%E -2.42%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.92%E -2.63%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 21:05
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.00%E -2.42%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.92%E -2.63%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 21:15
888sport (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.00%E -2.42%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.92%E -2.63%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 21:04
Mr Green (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.00%E -2.42%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.92%E -2.63%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 21:04
Coolbet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.00%E -2.42%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.92%E -2.63%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 21:24
LeoVegas1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.00%E -2.42%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.92%E -2.63%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 21:15
Betr (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.58%E -2.79%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.92%E -2.63%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 21:05
Winamax (DE)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.58%E -2.79%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.92%E -2.63%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 21:15
Unibet (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.16%E -3.16%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.92%E -2.63%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 23:05
Paddy Power1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.90%E -4.32%K -11.51%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.92%E -2.63%K -4.73%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-04 20:49
Casumo1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -2.83%E -1.70%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -6.75%E -3.03%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 20:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -2.83%E -1.70%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -6.75%E -3.03%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 20:59
Unibet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -2.83%E -1.70%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -6.75%E -3.03%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 20:59
Bally Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -2.83%E -1.70%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -6.75%E -3.03%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 21:00
ATG (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -2.83%E -1.70%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -6.75%E -3.03%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 21:00
betPARX1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -2.83%E -1.70%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -6.75%E -3.03%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 21:00
TABtouch1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -3.41%E -2.06%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -6.75%E -3.03%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 20:59
Betsson1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -3.41%E -2.06%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -7.17%E -3.23%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 20:40
NordicBet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -3.41%E -2.06%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -7.17%E -3.23%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 20:50
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.83%E -1.70%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.01%E -3.64%K -6.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 05:14
Ladbrokes (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.83%E -1.70%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.01%E -3.64%K -6.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 21:20
Dabble (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.83%E -1.70%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.01%E -3.64%K -6.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 22:34
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.00%E -2.42%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -8.01%E -3.64%K -6.67%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 23:04
betano_uk1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.00%E -2.42%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -8.01%E -3.64%K -6.67%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 23:04
Virgin Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -4.58%E -2.79%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -8.01%E -3.64%K -6.67%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-04 20:59
LiveScore Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -4.58%E -2.79%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -8.01%E -3.64%K -6.67%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-04 20:59
Winamax (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.74%E -3.54%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.01%E -3.64%K -6.67%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-04 21:15
Betclic (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.78%EV -6.90%E -4.32%K -11.51%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 42.22%EV -8.42%E -3.85%K -7.08%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-04 23:09
Grosvenor1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -6.32%E -3.93%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -10.10%E -4.70%K -8.78%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-04 20:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook1.70I 58.82%NM 58.74%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.26%0.1%2026-08-04 23:10
ProphetX1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%0.5%2026-08-04 23:10
Novig1.69I 59.17%NM 58.78%2.41I 41.49%NM 41.22%0.7%2026-08-04 23:00
Polymarket1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-08-04 14:45
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-08-04 21:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.68I 59.52%NM 58.82%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.18%1.2%2026-08-04 23:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.68I 59.52%NM 58.82%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.18%1.2%2026-08-04 23:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 58.82%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.18%1.2%2026-08-04 23:10
BetOpenly1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%1.9%2026-08-04 23:10
Smarkets1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%2.3%2026-08-04 22:45
Arbitrage (4 combinations) +0.02%FanDuel 1.70 (58.8%) / Caesars 2.43 (41.2%)Show all 4 combinations
Atlanta Braves (Local)Miami Marlins (Visit)Margin
FanDuel 1.70 (58.8%)Caesars 2.43 (41.2%)+0.024%
1xBet 1.70 (58.8%)Caesars 2.43 (41.2%)+0.024%
BetRivers 1.70 (58.8%)Caesars 2.43 (41.2%)+0.024%
Svenska Spel 1.70 (58.8%)Caesars 2.43 (41.2%)+0.024%