StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Atlanta Braves v Miami Marlins

Spielbeginn: 2026-08-04 23:16 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

63 Wettanbieter (20 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Atlanta Braves (Heim)

Prognose 58.12%1.72faire Quote
EV -1.19%
Vorteil -0.703%
Kelly -1.71%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.70

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
56.85%58.18%58.13%60.15%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.591.651.651.7062.89%60.59%60.61%58.82%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Miami Marlins (Auswärts)

Prognose 41.88%2.39faire Quote
EV +1.77%
Vorteil +0.727%
Kelly +1.24%
Wachstum +0.022%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.43

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
39.85%41.82%41.87%43.15%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.152.282.272.4346.51%43.85%44.05%41.15%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Atlanta Braves (Heim): 58.12%; Miami Marlins (Auswärts): 41.88%. Für Miami Marlins (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 2.39. 6 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 2.43 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +1.77%.

Wettanbieterquoten (63 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
Caesars1.65I 60.61%NM 59.56%EV -4.10%E -2.49%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.44%EV +1.77%E +0.727%K +1.24%G +0.022%1.8%2026-08-04 23:09
Hard Rock Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 58.97%EV -2.94%E -1.76%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.03%EV +0.510%E +0.213%K +0.364%G +0.002%1.5%2026-08-04 21:45
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -7.01%E -4.38%K -11.68%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV +0.510%E +0.213%K +0.364%G +0.002%4.2%2026-08-04 23:14
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -7.01%E -4.38%K -11.68%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV +0.510%E +0.213%K +0.364%G +0.002%4.2%2026-08-04 23:14
BetMGM1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -7.59%E -4.77%K -12.86%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV +0.510%E +0.213%K +0.364%G +0.002%4.6%2026-08-04 23:14
GTbets1.66I 60.24%NM 59.01%EV -3.52%E -2.12%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.99%EV +0.091%E +0.038%K +0.066%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-04 23:10
DraftKings1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62%EV -2.36%E -1.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38%EV -0.327%E -0.138%K -0.237%G +0.000%1.5%2026-08-04 23:09
LowVig.ag1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91%EV -3.52%E -2.12%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%EV -0.327%E -0.138%K -0.237%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-04 23:09
BetOnline.ag1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91%EV -3.52%E -2.12%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%EV -0.327%E -0.138%K -0.237%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-04 23:10
Pinnacle1.67I 59.88%NM 58.66%EV -2.94%E -1.76%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.34%EV -0.746%E -0.315%K -0.545%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-04 22:55
BetUS1.66I 60.24%NM 58.71%EV -3.52%E -2.12%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.29%EV -1.16%E -0.494%K -0.857%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-04 23:09
PointsBet (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -5.26%E -3.23%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -1.58%E -0.674%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-04 22:54
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.84%E -3.61%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -1.58%E -0.674%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 23:14
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.84%E -3.61%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -1.58%E -0.674%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 23:14
BetAnything1.66I 60.24%NM 58.50%EV -3.52%E -2.12%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.50%EV -2.00%E -0.856%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-04 23:10
Bovada1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -5.26%E -3.23%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -2.42%E -1.04%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 23:14
FanDuel1.70I 58.82%NM 57.71%EV -1.19%E -0.703%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.29%EV -2.84%E -1.22%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-04 19:25
1xBet1.70I 58.82%NM 57.61%EV -1.19%E -0.703%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.39%EV -3.26%E -1.41%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-04 21:09
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.94%E -1.76%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.68%E -1.60%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-04 21:20
ReBet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.10%E -2.49%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.68%E -1.60%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-04 23:10
Fanatics1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.10%E -2.49%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.68%E -1.60%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-04 23:10
TAB1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.10%E -2.49%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.68%E -1.60%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-04 23:14
Fliff1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.43%E -3.99%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.68%E -1.60%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 22:55
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.01%E -4.38%K -11.68%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.68%E -1.60%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 05:34
MyBookie.ag1.66I 60.24%NM 57.97%EV -3.52%E -2.12%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.03%EV -4.10%E -1.79%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-04 23:10
BetRivers1.70I 58.82%NM 57.29%EV -1.19%E -0.703%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.71%EV -4.52%E -1.98%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-04 21:05
Svenska Spel1.70I 58.82%NM 57.29%EV -1.19%E -0.703%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.71%EV -4.52%E -1.98%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-04 21:05
Bet Right1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -4.68%E -2.85%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -4.52%E -1.98%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 23:14
Marathon Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.26%E -3.23%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.52%E -1.98%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 23:09
Coolbet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -4.68%E -2.85%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -4.93%E -2.17%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 23:14
Betsson1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -5.26%E -3.23%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -4.93%E -2.17%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 23:15
NordicBet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -5.26%E -3.23%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -4.93%E -2.17%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 23:14
Unibet (UK)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -2.36%E -1.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -5.77%E -2.57%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-04 23:14
Unibet (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -2.36%E -1.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -5.77%E -2.57%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-04 21:00
Unibet (NL)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -2.36%E -1.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -5.77%E -2.57%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-04 21:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.94%E -1.76%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.77%E -2.57%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 19:24
SportsBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.10%E -2.49%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.77%E -2.57%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 19:29
888sport1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.10%E -2.49%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.77%E -2.57%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 21:05
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.10%E -2.49%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.77%E -2.57%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 21:15
888sport (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.10%E -2.49%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.77%E -2.57%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 21:04
Mr Green (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.10%E -2.49%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.77%E -2.57%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 21:04
LeoVegas1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.10%E -2.49%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.77%E -2.57%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 21:15
Betr (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.68%E -2.85%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.77%E -2.57%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 21:05
Unibet (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.26%E -3.23%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.77%E -2.57%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 23:05
Paddy Power1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.01%E -4.38%K -11.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.77%E -2.57%K -4.62%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-04 20:49
Casumo1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -2.94%E -1.76%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -6.61%E -2.96%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 20:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -2.94%E -1.76%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -6.61%E -2.96%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 20:59
Unibet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -2.94%E -1.76%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -6.61%E -2.96%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 20:59
Bally Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -2.94%E -1.76%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -6.61%E -2.96%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 21:00
ATG (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -2.94%E -1.76%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -6.61%E -2.96%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 21:00
betPARX1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -2.94%E -1.76%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -6.61%E -2.96%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 21:00
TABtouch1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -3.52%E -2.12%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -6.61%E -2.96%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 20:59
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.94%E -1.76%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.87%E -3.58%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 05:14
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.94%E -1.76%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.87%E -3.58%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 23:14
Dabble (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.94%E -1.76%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.87%E -3.58%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 22:34
Winamax (DE)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -3.52%E -2.12%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -7.87%E -3.58%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-04 23:15
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.10%E -2.49%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.87%E -3.58%K -6.55%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 23:04
betano_uk1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.10%E -2.49%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.87%E -3.58%K -6.55%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 23:04
Winamax (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -4.68%E -2.85%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -7.87%E -3.58%K -6.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-04 23:14
Virgin Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -4.68%E -2.85%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -7.87%E -3.58%K -6.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-04 20:59
LiveScore Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -4.68%E -2.85%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -7.87%E -3.58%K -6.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-04 20:59
Betclic (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.78%EV -7.01%E -4.38%K -11.68%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 42.22%EV -8.28%E -3.78%K -6.96%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-04 23:09
Grosvenor1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -6.43%E -3.99%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -9.96%E -4.63%K -8.66%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-04 20:59
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (10)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32%0.8%2026-08-04 23:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32%0.8%2026-08-04 23:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32%0.8%2026-08-04 23:15
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-08-04 21:20
Polymarket1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-08-04 23:15
BetOpenly1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-08-04 23:14
Novig1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-08-04 23:15
ProphetX1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38%1.5%2026-08-04 23:15
Matchbook1.66I 60.24%NM 59.11%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.89%1.9%2026-08-04 23:15
Smarkets1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%2.3%2026-08-04 22:45