Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Atlanta Braves v Miami Marlins

Początek: 2026-08-04 23:16 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

63 bukmacherów (20 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Atlanta Braves (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 58.12%1.72kurs godziwy
EV -1.19%
Przewaga -0.703%
Kelly -1.71%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.70

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
56.85%58.18%58.13%60.15%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.591.651.651.7062.89%60.59%60.61%58.82%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Miami Marlins (Goście)

Prognoza 41.88%2.39kurs godziwy
EV +1.77%
Przewaga +0.727%
Kelly +1.24%
Wzrost +0.022%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.43

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
39.85%41.82%41.87%43.15%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.152.282.272.4346.51%43.85%44.05%41.15%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Atlanta Braves (Gospodarze): 58.12%; Miami Marlins (Goście): 41.88%. Dla wyniku Miami Marlins (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 2.39. 6 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 2.43, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +1.77%.

Kursy bukmacherskie (63 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼MarżaAktualizacja
Caesars1.65I 60.61%NM 59.56%EV -4.10%E -2.49%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.44%EV +1.77%E +0.727%K +1.24%G +0.022%1.8%2026-08-04 23:09
Hard Rock Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 58.97%EV -2.94%E -1.76%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.03%EV +0.510%E +0.213%K +0.364%G +0.002%1.5%2026-08-04 21:45
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -7.01%E -4.38%K -11.68%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV +0.510%E +0.213%K +0.364%G +0.002%4.2%2026-08-04 23:14
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -7.01%E -4.38%K -11.68%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV +0.510%E +0.213%K +0.364%G +0.002%4.2%2026-08-04 23:14
BetMGM1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -7.59%E -4.77%K -12.86%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV +0.510%E +0.213%K +0.364%G +0.002%4.6%2026-08-04 23:14
GTbets1.66I 60.24%NM 59.01%EV -3.52%E -2.12%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.99%EV +0.091%E +0.038%K +0.066%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-04 23:10
DraftKings1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62%EV -2.36%E -1.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38%EV -0.327%E -0.138%K -0.237%G +0.000%1.5%2026-08-04 23:09
LowVig.ag1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91%EV -3.52%E -2.12%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%EV -0.327%E -0.138%K -0.237%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-04 23:09
BetOnline.ag1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91%EV -3.52%E -2.12%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%EV -0.327%E -0.138%K -0.237%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-04 23:10
Pinnacle1.67I 59.88%NM 58.66%EV -2.94%E -1.76%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.34%EV -0.746%E -0.315%K -0.545%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-04 22:55
BetUS1.66I 60.24%NM 58.71%EV -3.52%E -2.12%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.29%EV -1.16%E -0.494%K -0.857%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-04 23:09
PointsBet (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -5.26%E -3.23%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -1.58%E -0.674%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-04 22:54
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.84%E -3.61%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -1.58%E -0.674%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 23:14
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.84%E -3.61%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -1.58%E -0.674%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 23:14
BetAnything1.66I 60.24%NM 58.50%EV -3.52%E -2.12%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.50%EV -2.00%E -0.856%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-04 23:10
Bovada1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -5.26%E -3.23%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -2.42%E -1.04%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 23:14
FanDuel1.70I 58.82%NM 57.71%EV -1.19%E -0.703%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.29%EV -2.84%E -1.22%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-04 19:25
1xBet1.70I 58.82%NM 57.61%EV -1.19%E -0.703%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.39%EV -3.26%E -1.41%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-04 21:09
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.94%E -1.76%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.68%E -1.60%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-04 21:20
ReBet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.10%E -2.49%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.68%E -1.60%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-04 23:10
Fanatics1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.10%E -2.49%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.68%E -1.60%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-04 23:10
TAB1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.10%E -2.49%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.68%E -1.60%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-04 23:14
Fliff1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.43%E -3.99%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.68%E -1.60%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 22:55
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.01%E -4.38%K -11.68%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.68%E -1.60%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 05:34
MyBookie.ag1.66I 60.24%NM 57.97%EV -3.52%E -2.12%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.03%EV -4.10%E -1.79%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-04 23:10
BetRivers1.70I 58.82%NM 57.29%EV -1.19%E -0.703%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.71%EV -4.52%E -1.98%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-04 21:05
Svenska Spel1.70I 58.82%NM 57.29%EV -1.19%E -0.703%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.71%EV -4.52%E -1.98%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-04 21:05
Bet Right1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -4.68%E -2.85%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -4.52%E -1.98%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 23:14
Marathon Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.26%E -3.23%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.52%E -1.98%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 23:09
Coolbet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -4.68%E -2.85%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -4.93%E -2.17%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 23:14
Betsson1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -5.26%E -3.23%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -4.93%E -2.17%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 23:15
NordicBet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -5.26%E -3.23%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -4.93%E -2.17%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 23:14
Unibet (UK)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -2.36%E -1.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -5.77%E -2.57%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-04 23:14
Unibet (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -2.36%E -1.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -5.77%E -2.57%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-04 21:00
Unibet (NL)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -2.36%E -1.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -5.77%E -2.57%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-04 21:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.94%E -1.76%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.77%E -2.57%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 19:24
SportsBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.10%E -2.49%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.77%E -2.57%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 19:29
888sport1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.10%E -2.49%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.77%E -2.57%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 21:05
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.10%E -2.49%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.77%E -2.57%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 21:15
888sport (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.10%E -2.49%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.77%E -2.57%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 21:04
Mr Green (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.10%E -2.49%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.77%E -2.57%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 21:04
LeoVegas1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.10%E -2.49%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.77%E -2.57%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 21:15
Betr (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.68%E -2.85%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.77%E -2.57%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 21:05
Unibet (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.26%E -3.23%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.77%E -2.57%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 23:05
Paddy Power1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.01%E -4.38%K -11.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.77%E -2.57%K -4.62%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-04 20:49
Casumo1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -2.94%E -1.76%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -6.61%E -2.96%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 20:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -2.94%E -1.76%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -6.61%E -2.96%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 20:59
Unibet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -2.94%E -1.76%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -6.61%E -2.96%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 20:59
Bally Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -2.94%E -1.76%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -6.61%E -2.96%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 21:00
ATG (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -2.94%E -1.76%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -6.61%E -2.96%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 21:00
betPARX1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -2.94%E -1.76%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -6.61%E -2.96%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 21:00
TABtouch1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -3.52%E -2.12%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -6.61%E -2.96%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 20:59
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.94%E -1.76%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.87%E -3.58%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 05:14
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.94%E -1.76%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.87%E -3.58%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 23:14
Dabble (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.94%E -1.76%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.87%E -3.58%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 22:34
Winamax (DE)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -3.52%E -2.12%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -7.87%E -3.58%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-04 23:15
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.10%E -2.49%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.87%E -3.58%K -6.55%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 23:04
betano_uk1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.10%E -2.49%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.87%E -3.58%K -6.55%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 23:04
Winamax (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -4.68%E -2.85%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -7.87%E -3.58%K -6.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-04 23:14
Virgin Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -4.68%E -2.85%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -7.87%E -3.58%K -6.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-04 20:59
LiveScore Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -4.68%E -2.85%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -7.87%E -3.58%K -6.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-04 20:59
Betclic (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.78%EV -7.01%E -4.38%K -11.68%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 42.22%EV -8.28%E -3.78%K -6.96%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-04 23:09
Grosvenor1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -6.43%E -3.99%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -9.96%E -4.63%K -8.66%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-04 20:59
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (10)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32%0.8%2026-08-04 23:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32%0.8%2026-08-04 23:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32%0.8%2026-08-04 23:15
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-08-04 21:20
Polymarket1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-08-04 23:15
BetOpenly1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-08-04 23:14
Novig1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-08-04 23:15
ProphetX1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38%1.5%2026-08-04 23:15
Matchbook1.66I 60.24%NM 59.11%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.89%1.9%2026-08-04 23:15
Smarkets1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%2.3%2026-08-04 22:45