النموذج الافتراضيالمتوسط بين الربيعين (القائمة المنتقاة)

Atlanta Braves v Miami Marlins

البداية: 2026-08-04 23:16 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

63 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: المتوسط بين الربيعين (القائمة المنتقاة)

Atlanta Braves (المضيف)

التنبؤ 58.12%1.72السعر العادل
EV -1.19%
الأفضلية -0.703%
Kelly -1.71%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.70

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
56.85%58.18%58.13%60.15%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى
توزيع الأسعار
1.591.651.651.7062.89%60.59%60.61%58.82%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى

Miami Marlins (الضيف)

التنبؤ 41.88%2.39السعر العادل
EV +1.77%
الأفضلية +0.727%
Kelly +1.24%
النمو +0.022%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.43

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
39.85%41.82%41.87%43.15%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى
توزيع الأسعار
2.152.282.272.4346.51%43.85%44.05%41.15%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى

وفق آخر الأسعار قبل البداية، قدّر نموذج ⁨المتوسط بين الربيعين (القائمة المنتقاة)⁩ احتمالات سوق ⁨نتيجة المباراة⁩ كالآتي: ⁨Atlanta Braves (المضيف)⁩: ⁨58.12%⁩؛ ⁨Miami Marlins (الضيف)⁩: ⁨41.88%⁩. بالنسبة إلى ⁨Miami Marlins (الضيف)⁩، كان هذا التقدير يعادل سعرًا عشريًا عادلًا قدره ⁨2.39⁩. عرضت 6 شركات مراهنات أسعار إغلاق أعلى من ذلك المستوى؛ وكان أفضل سعر ⁨2.43⁩، بما يقابل قيمة متوقعة موجبة قدرها ⁨+1.77%⁩.

أسعار شركات المراهنات (63 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
Caesars1.65I 60.61%NM 59.56%EV -4.10%E -2.49%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.44%EV +1.77%E +0.727%K +1.24%G +0.022%1.8%2026-08-04 23:09
Hard Rock Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 58.97%EV -2.94%E -1.76%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.03%EV +0.510%E +0.213%K +0.364%G +0.002%1.5%2026-08-04 21:45
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -7.01%E -4.38%K -11.68%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV +0.510%E +0.213%K +0.364%G +0.002%4.2%2026-08-04 23:14
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -7.01%E -4.38%K -11.68%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV +0.510%E +0.213%K +0.364%G +0.002%4.2%2026-08-04 23:14
BetMGM1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -7.59%E -4.77%K -12.86%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV +0.510%E +0.213%K +0.364%G +0.002%4.6%2026-08-04 23:14
GTbets1.66I 60.24%NM 59.01%EV -3.52%E -2.12%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.99%EV +0.091%E +0.038%K +0.066%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-04 23:10
DraftKings1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62%EV -2.36%E -1.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38%EV -0.327%E -0.138%K -0.237%G +0.000%1.5%2026-08-04 23:09
LowVig.ag1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91%EV -3.52%E -2.12%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%EV -0.327%E -0.138%K -0.237%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-04 23:09
BetOnline.ag1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91%EV -3.52%E -2.12%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%EV -0.327%E -0.138%K -0.237%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-04 23:10
Pinnacle1.67I 59.88%NM 58.66%EV -2.94%E -1.76%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.34%EV -0.746%E -0.315%K -0.545%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-04 22:55
BetUS1.66I 60.24%NM 58.71%EV -3.52%E -2.12%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.29%EV -1.16%E -0.494%K -0.857%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-04 23:09
PointsBet (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -5.26%E -3.23%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -1.58%E -0.674%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-04 22:54
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.84%E -3.61%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -1.58%E -0.674%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 23:14
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.84%E -3.61%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -1.58%E -0.674%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 23:14
BetAnything1.66I 60.24%NM 58.50%EV -3.52%E -2.12%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.50%EV -2.00%E -0.856%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-04 23:10
Bovada1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -5.26%E -3.23%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -2.42%E -1.04%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 23:14
FanDuel1.70I 58.82%NM 57.71%EV -1.19%E -0.703%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.29%EV -2.84%E -1.22%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-04 19:25
1xBet1.70I 58.82%NM 57.61%EV -1.19%E -0.703%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.39%EV -3.26%E -1.41%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-04 21:09
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.94%E -1.76%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.68%E -1.60%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-04 21:20
ReBet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.10%E -2.49%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.68%E -1.60%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-04 23:10
Fanatics1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.10%E -2.49%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.68%E -1.60%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-04 23:10
TAB1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.10%E -2.49%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.68%E -1.60%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-04 23:14
Fliff1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.43%E -3.99%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.68%E -1.60%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 22:55
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.01%E -4.38%K -11.68%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.68%E -1.60%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 05:34
MyBookie.ag1.66I 60.24%NM 57.97%EV -3.52%E -2.12%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.03%EV -4.10%E -1.79%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-04 23:10
BetRivers1.70I 58.82%NM 57.29%EV -1.19%E -0.703%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.71%EV -4.52%E -1.98%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-04 21:05
Svenska Spel1.70I 58.82%NM 57.29%EV -1.19%E -0.703%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.71%EV -4.52%E -1.98%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-04 21:05
Bet Right1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -4.68%E -2.85%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -4.52%E -1.98%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 23:14
Marathon Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.26%E -3.23%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.52%E -1.98%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 23:09
Coolbet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -4.68%E -2.85%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -4.93%E -2.17%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 23:14
Betsson1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -5.26%E -3.23%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -4.93%E -2.17%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 23:15
NordicBet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -5.26%E -3.23%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -4.93%E -2.17%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 23:14
Unibet (UK)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -2.36%E -1.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -5.77%E -2.57%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-04 23:14
Unibet (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -2.36%E -1.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -5.77%E -2.57%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-04 21:00
Unibet (NL)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -2.36%E -1.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -5.77%E -2.57%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-04 21:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.94%E -1.76%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.77%E -2.57%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 19:24
SportsBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.10%E -2.49%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.77%E -2.57%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 19:29
888sport1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.10%E -2.49%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.77%E -2.57%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 21:05
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.10%E -2.49%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.77%E -2.57%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 21:15
888sport (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.10%E -2.49%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.77%E -2.57%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 21:04
Mr Green (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.10%E -2.49%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.77%E -2.57%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 21:04
LeoVegas1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.10%E -2.49%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.77%E -2.57%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 21:15
Betr (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.68%E -2.85%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.77%E -2.57%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 21:05
Unibet (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.26%E -3.23%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.77%E -2.57%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 23:05
Paddy Power1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.01%E -4.38%K -11.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.77%E -2.57%K -4.62%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-04 20:49
Casumo1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -2.94%E -1.76%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -6.61%E -2.96%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 20:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -2.94%E -1.76%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -6.61%E -2.96%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 20:59
Unibet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -2.94%E -1.76%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -6.61%E -2.96%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 20:59
Bally Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -2.94%E -1.76%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -6.61%E -2.96%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 21:00
ATG (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -2.94%E -1.76%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -6.61%E -2.96%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 21:00
betPARX1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -2.94%E -1.76%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -6.61%E -2.96%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 21:00
TABtouch1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -3.52%E -2.12%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -6.61%E -2.96%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 20:59
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.94%E -1.76%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.87%E -3.58%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 05:14
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.94%E -1.76%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.87%E -3.58%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 23:14
Dabble (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.94%E -1.76%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.87%E -3.58%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 22:34
Winamax (DE)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -3.52%E -2.12%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -7.87%E -3.58%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-04 23:15
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.10%E -2.49%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.87%E -3.58%K -6.55%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 23:04
betano_uk1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.10%E -2.49%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.87%E -3.58%K -6.55%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 23:04
Winamax (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -4.68%E -2.85%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -7.87%E -3.58%K -6.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-04 23:14
Virgin Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -4.68%E -2.85%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -7.87%E -3.58%K -6.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-04 20:59
LiveScore Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -4.68%E -2.85%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -7.87%E -3.58%K -6.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-04 20:59
Betclic (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.78%EV -7.01%E -4.38%K -11.68%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 42.22%EV -8.28%E -3.78%K -6.96%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-04 23:09
Grosvenor1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -6.43%E -3.99%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -9.96%E -4.63%K -8.66%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-04 20:59
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32%0.8%2026-08-04 23:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32%0.8%2026-08-04 23:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32%0.8%2026-08-04 23:15
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-08-04 21:20
Polymarket1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-08-04 23:15
BetOpenly1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-08-04 23:14
Novig1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-08-04 23:15
ProphetX1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38%1.5%2026-08-04 23:15
Matchbook1.66I 60.24%NM 59.11%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.89%1.9%2026-08-04 23:15
Smarkets1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%2.3%2026-08-04 22:45