Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Atlanta Braves v Miami Marlins

Inizio: 2026-08-04 23:16 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

63 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Atlanta Braves (Casa)

Previsione 58.12%1.72quota equa
EV -1.19%
Vantaggio -0.703%
Kelly -1.71%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.70

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
56.85%58.18%58.13%60.15%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.591.651.651.7062.89%60.59%60.61%58.82%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Miami Marlins (Trasferta)

Previsione 41.88%2.39quota equa
EV +1.77%
Vantaggio +0.727%
Kelly +1.24%
Crescita +0.022%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.43

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
39.85%41.82%41.87%43.15%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.152.282.272.4346.51%43.85%44.05%41.15%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Atlanta Braves (Casa): 58.12%; Miami Marlins (Trasferta): 41.88%. Per Miami Marlins (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 2.39. 6 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 2.43, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +1.77%.

Quote dei bookmaker (63 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
Caesars1.65I 60.61%NM 59.56%EV -4.10%E -2.49%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.44%EV +1.77%E +0.727%K +1.24%G +0.022%1.8%2026-08-04 23:09
Hard Rock Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 58.97%EV -2.94%E -1.76%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.03%EV +0.510%E +0.213%K +0.364%G +0.002%1.5%2026-08-04 21:45
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -7.01%E -4.38%K -11.68%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV +0.510%E +0.213%K +0.364%G +0.002%4.2%2026-08-04 23:14
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -7.01%E -4.38%K -11.68%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV +0.510%E +0.213%K +0.364%G +0.002%4.2%2026-08-04 23:14
BetMGM1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -7.59%E -4.77%K -12.86%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV +0.510%E +0.213%K +0.364%G +0.002%4.6%2026-08-04 23:14
GTbets1.66I 60.24%NM 59.01%EV -3.52%E -2.12%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.99%EV +0.091%E +0.038%K +0.066%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-04 23:10
DraftKings1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62%EV -2.36%E -1.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38%EV -0.327%E -0.138%K -0.237%G +0.000%1.5%2026-08-04 23:09
LowVig.ag1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91%EV -3.52%E -2.12%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%EV -0.327%E -0.138%K -0.237%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-04 23:09
BetOnline.ag1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91%EV -3.52%E -2.12%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%EV -0.327%E -0.138%K -0.237%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-04 23:10
Pinnacle1.67I 59.88%NM 58.66%EV -2.94%E -1.76%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.34%EV -0.746%E -0.315%K -0.545%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-04 22:55
BetUS1.66I 60.24%NM 58.71%EV -3.52%E -2.12%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.29%EV -1.16%E -0.494%K -0.857%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-04 23:09
PointsBet (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -5.26%E -3.23%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -1.58%E -0.674%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-04 22:54
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.84%E -3.61%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -1.58%E -0.674%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 23:14
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.84%E -3.61%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -1.58%E -0.674%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 23:14
BetAnything1.66I 60.24%NM 58.50%EV -3.52%E -2.12%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.50%EV -2.00%E -0.856%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-04 23:10
Bovada1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -5.26%E -3.23%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -2.42%E -1.04%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 23:14
FanDuel1.70I 58.82%NM 57.71%EV -1.19%E -0.703%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.29%EV -2.84%E -1.22%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-04 19:25
1xBet1.70I 58.82%NM 57.61%EV -1.19%E -0.703%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.39%EV -3.26%E -1.41%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-04 21:09
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.94%E -1.76%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.68%E -1.60%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-04 21:20
ReBet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.10%E -2.49%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.68%E -1.60%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-04 23:10
Fanatics1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.10%E -2.49%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.68%E -1.60%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-04 23:10
TAB1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.10%E -2.49%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.68%E -1.60%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-04 23:14
Fliff1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.43%E -3.99%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.68%E -1.60%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 22:55
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.01%E -4.38%K -11.68%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.68%E -1.60%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 05:34
MyBookie.ag1.66I 60.24%NM 57.97%EV -3.52%E -2.12%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.03%EV -4.10%E -1.79%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-04 23:10
BetRivers1.70I 58.82%NM 57.29%EV -1.19%E -0.703%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.71%EV -4.52%E -1.98%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-04 21:05
Svenska Spel1.70I 58.82%NM 57.29%EV -1.19%E -0.703%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.71%EV -4.52%E -1.98%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-04 21:05
Bet Right1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -4.68%E -2.85%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -4.52%E -1.98%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 23:14
Marathon Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.26%E -3.23%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.52%E -1.98%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 23:09
Coolbet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -4.68%E -2.85%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -4.93%E -2.17%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 23:14
Betsson1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -5.26%E -3.23%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -4.93%E -2.17%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 23:15
NordicBet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -5.26%E -3.23%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -4.93%E -2.17%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 23:14
Unibet (UK)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -2.36%E -1.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -5.77%E -2.57%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-04 23:14
Unibet (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -2.36%E -1.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -5.77%E -2.57%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-04 21:00
Unibet (NL)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -2.36%E -1.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -5.77%E -2.57%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-04 21:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.94%E -1.76%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.77%E -2.57%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 19:24
SportsBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.10%E -2.49%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.77%E -2.57%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 19:29
888sport1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.10%E -2.49%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.77%E -2.57%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 21:05
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.10%E -2.49%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.77%E -2.57%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 21:15
888sport (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.10%E -2.49%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.77%E -2.57%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 21:04
Mr Green (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.10%E -2.49%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.77%E -2.57%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 21:04
LeoVegas1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.10%E -2.49%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.77%E -2.57%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 21:15
Betr (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.68%E -2.85%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.77%E -2.57%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 21:05
Unibet (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.26%E -3.23%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.77%E -2.57%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 23:05
Paddy Power1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.01%E -4.38%K -11.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.77%E -2.57%K -4.62%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-04 20:49
Casumo1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -2.94%E -1.76%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -6.61%E -2.96%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 20:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -2.94%E -1.76%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -6.61%E -2.96%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 20:59
Unibet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -2.94%E -1.76%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -6.61%E -2.96%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 20:59
Bally Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -2.94%E -1.76%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -6.61%E -2.96%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 21:00
ATG (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -2.94%E -1.76%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -6.61%E -2.96%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 21:00
betPARX1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -2.94%E -1.76%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -6.61%E -2.96%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 21:00
TABtouch1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -3.52%E -2.12%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -6.61%E -2.96%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 20:59
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.94%E -1.76%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.87%E -3.58%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 05:14
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.94%E -1.76%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.87%E -3.58%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 23:14
Dabble (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.94%E -1.76%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.87%E -3.58%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 22:34
Winamax (DE)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -3.52%E -2.12%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -7.87%E -3.58%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-04 23:15
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.10%E -2.49%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.87%E -3.58%K -6.55%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 23:04
betano_uk1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.10%E -2.49%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.87%E -3.58%K -6.55%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 23:04
Winamax (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -4.68%E -2.85%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -7.87%E -3.58%K -6.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-04 23:14
Virgin Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -4.68%E -2.85%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -7.87%E -3.58%K -6.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-04 20:59
LiveScore Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -4.68%E -2.85%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -7.87%E -3.58%K -6.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-04 20:59
Betclic (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.78%EV -7.01%E -4.38%K -11.68%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 42.22%EV -8.28%E -3.78%K -6.96%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-04 23:09
Grosvenor1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -6.43%E -3.99%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -9.96%E -4.63%K -8.66%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-04 20:59
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (10)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32%0.8%2026-08-04 23:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32%0.8%2026-08-04 23:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32%0.8%2026-08-04 23:15
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-08-04 21:20
Polymarket1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-08-04 23:15
BetOpenly1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-08-04 23:14
Novig1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-08-04 23:15
ProphetX1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38%1.5%2026-08-04 23:15
Matchbook1.66I 60.24%NM 59.11%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.89%1.9%2026-08-04 23:15
Smarkets1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%2.3%2026-08-04 22:45