Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Atlanta Braves v Miami Marlins

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-04 23:16 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

63 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Atlanta Braves (Local)

Prévision 58.12%1.72cote équitable
EV -1.19%
Avantage -0.703%
Kelly -1.71%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.85%58.18%58.13%60.15%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.591.651.651.7062.89%60.59%60.61%58.82%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Miami Marlins (Visiteur)

Prévision 41.88%2.39cote équitable
EV +1.77%
Avantage +0.727%
Kelly +1.24%
Croissance +0.022%

avec la cote maximale 2.43

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.85%41.82%41.87%43.15%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.152.282.272.4346.51%43.85%44.05%41.15%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Atlanta Braves (Local) : 58.12% ; Miami Marlins (Visiteur) : 41.88%. Pour Miami Marlins (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.39. 6 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.43, soit une espérance positive de +1.77%.

Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Caesars1.65I 60.61%NM 59.56%EV -4.10%E -2.49%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.44%EV +1.77%E +0.727%K +1.24%G +0.022%1.8%2026-08-04 23:09
Hard Rock Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 58.97%EV -2.94%E -1.76%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.03%EV +0.510%E +0.213%K +0.364%G +0.002%1.5%2026-08-04 21:45
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -7.01%E -4.38%K -11.68%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV +0.510%E +0.213%K +0.364%G +0.002%4.2%2026-08-04 23:14
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -7.01%E -4.38%K -11.68%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV +0.510%E +0.213%K +0.364%G +0.002%4.2%2026-08-04 23:14
BetMGM1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -7.59%E -4.77%K -12.86%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV +0.510%E +0.213%K +0.364%G +0.002%4.6%2026-08-04 23:14
GTbets1.66I 60.24%NM 59.01%EV -3.52%E -2.12%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.99%EV +0.091%E +0.038%K +0.066%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-04 23:10
DraftKings1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62%EV -2.36%E -1.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38%EV -0.327%E -0.138%K -0.237%G +0.000%1.5%2026-08-04 23:09
LowVig.ag1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91%EV -3.52%E -2.12%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%EV -0.327%E -0.138%K -0.237%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-04 23:09
BetOnline.ag1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91%EV -3.52%E -2.12%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%EV -0.327%E -0.138%K -0.237%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-04 23:10
Pinnacle1.67I 59.88%NM 58.66%EV -2.94%E -1.76%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.34%EV -0.746%E -0.315%K -0.545%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-04 22:55
BetUS1.66I 60.24%NM 58.71%EV -3.52%E -2.12%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.29%EV -1.16%E -0.494%K -0.857%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-04 23:09
PointsBet (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -5.26%E -3.23%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -1.58%E -0.674%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-04 22:54
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.84%E -3.61%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -1.58%E -0.674%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 23:14
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.84%E -3.61%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -1.58%E -0.674%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 23:14
BetAnything1.66I 60.24%NM 58.50%EV -3.52%E -2.12%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.50%EV -2.00%E -0.856%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-04 23:10
Bovada1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -5.26%E -3.23%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -2.42%E -1.04%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 23:14
FanDuel1.70I 58.82%NM 57.71%EV -1.19%E -0.703%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.29%EV -2.84%E -1.22%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-04 19:25
1xBet1.70I 58.82%NM 57.61%EV -1.19%E -0.703%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.39%EV -3.26%E -1.41%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-04 21:09
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.94%E -1.76%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.68%E -1.60%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-04 21:20
ReBet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.10%E -2.49%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.68%E -1.60%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-04 23:10
Fanatics1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.10%E -2.49%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.68%E -1.60%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-04 23:10
TAB1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.10%E -2.49%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.68%E -1.60%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-04 23:14
Fliff1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.43%E -3.99%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.68%E -1.60%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 22:55
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.01%E -4.38%K -11.68%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.68%E -1.60%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 05:34
MyBookie.ag1.66I 60.24%NM 57.97%EV -3.52%E -2.12%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.03%EV -4.10%E -1.79%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-04 23:10
BetRivers1.70I 58.82%NM 57.29%EV -1.19%E -0.703%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.71%EV -4.52%E -1.98%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-04 21:05
Svenska Spel1.70I 58.82%NM 57.29%EV -1.19%E -0.703%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.71%EV -4.52%E -1.98%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-04 21:05
Bet Right1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -4.68%E -2.85%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -4.52%E -1.98%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 23:14
Marathon Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.26%E -3.23%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.52%E -1.98%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 23:09
Coolbet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -4.68%E -2.85%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -4.93%E -2.17%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 23:14
Betsson1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -5.26%E -3.23%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -4.93%E -2.17%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 23:15
NordicBet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -5.26%E -3.23%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -4.93%E -2.17%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 23:14
Unibet (UK)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -2.36%E -1.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -5.77%E -2.57%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-04 23:14
Unibet (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -2.36%E -1.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -5.77%E -2.57%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-04 21:00
Unibet (NL)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -2.36%E -1.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -5.77%E -2.57%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-04 21:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.94%E -1.76%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.77%E -2.57%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 19:24
SportsBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.10%E -2.49%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.77%E -2.57%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 19:29
888sport1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.10%E -2.49%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.77%E -2.57%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 21:05
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.10%E -2.49%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.77%E -2.57%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 21:15
888sport (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.10%E -2.49%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.77%E -2.57%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 21:04
Mr Green (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.10%E -2.49%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.77%E -2.57%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 21:04
LeoVegas1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.10%E -2.49%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.77%E -2.57%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 21:15
Betr (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.68%E -2.85%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.77%E -2.57%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 21:05
Unibet (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.26%E -3.23%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.77%E -2.57%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 23:05
Paddy Power1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.01%E -4.38%K -11.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.77%E -2.57%K -4.62%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-04 20:49
Casumo1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -2.94%E -1.76%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -6.61%E -2.96%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 20:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -2.94%E -1.76%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -6.61%E -2.96%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 20:59
Unibet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -2.94%E -1.76%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -6.61%E -2.96%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 20:59
Bally Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -2.94%E -1.76%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -6.61%E -2.96%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 21:00
ATG (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -2.94%E -1.76%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -6.61%E -2.96%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 21:00
betPARX1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -2.94%E -1.76%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -6.61%E -2.96%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 21:00
TABtouch1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -3.52%E -2.12%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -6.61%E -2.96%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 20:59
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.94%E -1.76%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.87%E -3.58%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 05:14
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.94%E -1.76%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.87%E -3.58%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 23:14
Dabble (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.94%E -1.76%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.87%E -3.58%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 22:34
Winamax (DE)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -3.52%E -2.12%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -7.87%E -3.58%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-04 23:15
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.10%E -2.49%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.87%E -3.58%K -6.55%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 23:04
betano_uk1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.10%E -2.49%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.87%E -3.58%K -6.55%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 23:04
Winamax (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -4.68%E -2.85%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -7.87%E -3.58%K -6.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-04 23:14
Virgin Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -4.68%E -2.85%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -7.87%E -3.58%K -6.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-04 20:59
LiveScore Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -4.68%E -2.85%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -7.87%E -3.58%K -6.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-04 20:59
Betclic (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.78%EV -7.01%E -4.38%K -11.68%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 42.22%EV -8.28%E -3.78%K -6.96%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-04 23:09
Grosvenor1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -6.43%E -3.99%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -9.96%E -4.63%K -8.66%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-04 20:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32%0.8%2026-08-04 23:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32%0.8%2026-08-04 23:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32%0.8%2026-08-04 23:15
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-08-04 21:20
Polymarket1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-08-04 23:15
BetOpenly1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-08-04 23:14
Novig1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-08-04 23:15
ProphetX1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38%1.5%2026-08-04 23:15
Matchbook1.66I 60.24%NM 59.11%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.89%1.9%2026-08-04 23:15
Smarkets1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%2.3%2026-08-04 22:45