Language:English
Mingge Xu v Daria Kasatkina
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Mingge Xu (Local)
Prediction 17.42%5.74fair odd
EV +40.21%
Edge +4.99%
Kelly +5.70%
Growth +2.29%
assuming max odds 8.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.12%17.13%17.29%22.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.005.655.408.0525.00%17.70%18.52%12.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Daria Kasatkina (Visit)
Prediction 82.58%1.21fair odd
EV -0.900%
Edge -0.750%
Kelly -4.50%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
77.22%82.87%82.71%87.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.081.131.141.2092.59%88.31%87.72%83.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Mingge Xu (Local): 17.42%; Daria Kasatkina (Visit): 82.58%. For Mingge Xu (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.74. 19 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.05, corresponding to a positive expected value of +40.21%.
Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 8.05I 12.42%NM 12.12%EV +40.21%E +4.99%K +5.70%G +2.29% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 87.88%EV -8.33%E -7.51%K -75.75%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-06-29 16:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 7.87I 12.71%NM 12.17%EV +37.07%E +4.71%K +5.40%G +2.00% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.83%EV -9.98%E -9.16%K -110.94%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-29 16:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.23%EV +34.98%E +4.51%K +5.18%G +1.81% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.77%EV -10.81%E -10.01%K -135.13%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-29 16:10 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +30.63%E +4.08%K +4.71%G +1.44% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -9.98%E -9.16%K -110.94%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 16:14 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +21.92%E +3.13%K +3.65%G +0.801% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -9.16%E -8.33%K -91.59%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-29 16:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 6.95I 14.39%NM 13.66%EV +21.05%E +3.03%K +3.54%G +0.745% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.34%EV -9.16%E -8.33%K -91.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 16:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 6.85I 14.60%NM 13.84%EV +19.31%E +2.82%K +3.30%G +0.637% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.16%EV -9.16%E -8.33%K -91.59%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-29 16:13 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.03%EV +18.44%E +2.71%K +3.18%G +0.586% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.97%EV -8.33%E -7.51%K -75.75%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-29 16:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV +17.56%E +2.60%K +3.05%G +0.537% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -8.33%E -7.51%K -75.75%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-29 16:07 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.40%EV +14.95%E +2.27%K +2.67%G +0.399% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.60%EV -8.33%E -7.51%K -75.75%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-29 16:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.40%EV +14.95%E +2.27%K +2.67%G +0.399% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.60%EV -8.33%E -7.51%K -75.75%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-29 16:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +13.21%E +2.03%K +2.40%G +0.317% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -7.51%E -6.70%K -62.56%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-29 16:09 |
| William Hill🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +13.21%E +2.03%K +2.40%G +0.317% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -8.33%E -7.51%K -75.75%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-29 16:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV +13.21%E +2.03%K +2.40%G +0.317% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -9.16%E -8.33%K -91.59%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-29 16:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV +13.21%E +2.03%K +2.40%G +0.317% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -9.16%E -8.33%K -91.59%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-29 16:09 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV +13.21%E +2.03%K +2.40%G +0.317% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -9.98%E -9.16%K -110.94%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-29 16:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV +7.99%E +1.29%K +1.54%G +0.123% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -7.51%E -6.70%K -62.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-29 16:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 5.77I 17.33%NM 16.01%EV +0.496%E +0.086%K +0.104%G +0.001% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 83.99%EV -9.16%E -8.33%K -91.59%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-29 16:21 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV +0.147%E +0.026%K +0.031%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -5.03%E -4.37%K -33.53%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-29 16:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -2.47%E -0.440%K -0.536%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -5.03%E -4.37%K -33.53%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-29 16:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -4.21%E -0.765%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -4.20%E -3.62%K -26.27%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-29 16:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -4.21%E -0.765%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.03%E -4.37%K -33.53%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 16:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -4.21%E -0.765%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.03%E -4.37%K -33.53%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 16:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -4.21%E -0.765%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.03%E -4.37%K -33.53%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 16:20 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -4.21%E -0.765%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.03%E -4.37%K -33.53%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 16:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.21%E -0.765%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.86%E -5.14%K -41.82%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-29 16:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.21%E -0.765%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.86%E -5.14%K -41.82%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-29 16:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -4.21%E -0.765%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.68%E -5.91%K -51.39%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-29 16:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -4.21%E -0.765%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -7.51%E -6.70%K -62.56%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-29 16:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -4.21%E -0.765%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -7.51%E -6.70%K -62.56%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-29 16:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV -7.69%E -1.45%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.17%EV -5.03%E -4.37%K -33.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 16:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV -7.69%E -1.45%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.17%EV -5.03%E -4.37%K -33.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 16:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV -7.69%E -1.45%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.17%EV -5.03%E -4.37%K -33.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 16:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV -7.69%E -1.45%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.17%EV -5.03%E -4.37%K -33.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 16:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV -7.69%E -1.45%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.17%EV -5.03%E -4.37%K -33.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 16:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -8.56%E -1.63%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.03%E -4.37%K -33.53%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-29 16:18 |
| betPARX🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -8.56%E -1.63%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.03%E -4.37%K -33.53%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-29 16:18 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -9.43%E -1.81%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -5.86%E -5.14%K -41.82%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-29 16:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -9.43%E -1.81%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -5.86%E -5.14%K -41.82%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-29 16:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.27%EV -11.17%E -2.19%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.73%EV -5.86%E -5.14%K -41.82%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-29 16:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.27%EV -11.17%E -2.19%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.73%EV -5.86%E -5.14%K -41.82%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-29 16:18 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.27%EV -11.17%E -2.19%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.73%EV -5.86%E -5.14%K -41.82%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-29 16:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.14%EV -11.17%E -2.19%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.86%EV -6.68%E -5.91%K -51.39%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-29 16:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.14%EV -11.17%E -2.19%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.86%EV -6.68%E -5.91%K -51.39%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-29 16:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.01%EV -11.17%E -2.19%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 81.99%EV -7.51%E -6.70%K -62.56%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-06-29 16:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -12.92%E -2.58%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.03%E -4.37%K -33.53%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-29 16:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -12.92%E -2.58%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.03%E -4.37%K -33.53%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-29 16:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -12.92%E -2.58%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -5.86%E -5.14%K -41.82%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-29 16:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -12.92%E -2.58%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -5.86%E -5.14%K -41.82%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-29 16:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -12.92%E -2.58%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -5.86%E -5.14%K -41.82%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-29 16:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -12.92%E -2.58%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 81.70%EV -7.51%E -6.70%K -62.56%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-06-29 16:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.17%EV -12.92%E -2.58%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 81.83%EV -8.33%E -7.51%K -75.75%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-06-29 16:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -14.66%E -2.99%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.26%EV -6.68%E -5.91%K -51.39%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-06-29 16:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.60%EV -14.66%E -2.99%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 81.40%EV -7.51%E -6.70%K -62.56%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-06-29 16:18 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -17.27%E -3.64%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -3.38%E -2.89%K -19.87%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-29 16:18 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -17.27%E -3.64%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -5.03%E -4.37%K -33.53%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-29 16:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -17.27%E -3.64%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -5.03%E -4.37%K -33.53%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-29 16:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -26.85%E -6.39%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -0.900%E -0.750%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-29 16:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -26.85%E -6.39%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -0.900%E -0.750%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-29 16:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -30.33%E -7.58%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.22%EV -2.55%E -2.16%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-06-29 16:19 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.86% | 0.6% | 2026-06-29 16:21 |
| Smarkets◎ | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01% | 0.9% | 2026-06-29 16:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.43% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 83.57% | 1.4% | 2026-06-29 16:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.91% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.09% | 1.5% | 2026-06-29 16:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32% | 4.7% | 2026-06-29 16:21 |
| ProphetX◎ | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03% | 6.0% | 2026-06-29 16:21 |
| Novig◎ | 5.26I 19.01%NM 17.43% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.57% | 9.1% | 2026-06-29 16:20 |