La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Mingge Xu v Daria Kasatkina
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Mingge Xu (Local)
Predicción 17.42%5.74momio equitativo
EV +40.21%
Ventaja +4.99%
Kelly +5.70%
Crecimiento +2.29%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 8.05
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
12.12%17.13%17.29%22.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.005.655.408.0525.00%17.70%18.52%12.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Daria Kasatkina (Visitante)
Predicción 82.58%1.21momio equitativo
EV -0.900%
Ventaja -0.750%
Kelly -4.50%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
77.22%82.87%82.71%87.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.081.131.141.2092.59%88.31%87.72%83.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 8.05I 12.42%NM 12.12%EV +40.21%E +4.99%K +5.70%G +2.29% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 87.88%EV -8.33%E -7.51%K -75.75%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-06-29 16:09 |
| BetOnline.ag | 7.87I 12.71%NM 12.17%EV +37.07%E +4.71%K +5.40%G +2.00% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.83%EV -9.98%E -9.16%K -110.94%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-29 16:15 |
| PlayUp | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.23%EV +34.98%E +4.51%K +5.18%G +1.81% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.77%EV -10.81%E -10.01%K -135.13%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-29 16:10 |
| Dabble (AU) | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +30.63%E +4.08%K +4.71%G +1.44% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -9.98%E -9.16%K -110.94%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 16:14 |
| SportsBet | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +21.92%E +3.13%K +3.65%G +0.801% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -9.16%E -8.33%K -91.59%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-29 16:10 |
| BetAnything | 6.95I 14.39%NM 13.66%EV +21.05%E +3.03%K +3.54%G +0.745% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.34%EV -9.16%E -8.33%K -91.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 16:10 |
| Marathon Bet | 6.85I 14.60%NM 13.84%EV +19.31%E +2.82%K +3.30%G +0.637% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.16%EV -9.16%E -8.33%K -91.59%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-29 16:13 |
| Pinnacle | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.03%EV +18.44%E +2.71%K +3.18%G +0.586% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.97%EV -8.33%E -7.51%K -75.75%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-29 16:10 |
| BetRivers | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV +17.56%E +2.60%K +3.05%G +0.537% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -8.33%E -7.51%K -75.75%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-29 16:07 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.40%EV +14.95%E +2.27%K +2.67%G +0.399% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.60%EV -8.33%E -7.51%K -75.75%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-29 16:10 |
| Neds | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.40%EV +14.95%E +2.27%K +2.67%G +0.399% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.60%EV -8.33%E -7.51%K -75.75%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-29 16:10 |
| Bovada | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +13.21%E +2.03%K +2.40%G +0.317% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -7.51%E -6.70%K -62.56%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-29 16:09 |
| William Hill | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +13.21%E +2.03%K +2.40%G +0.317% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -8.33%E -7.51%K -75.75%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-29 16:09 |
| Betr (AU) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV +13.21%E +2.03%K +2.40%G +0.317% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -9.16%E -8.33%K -91.59%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-29 16:10 |
| betfred_uk | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV +13.21%E +2.03%K +2.40%G +0.317% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -9.16%E -8.33%K -91.59%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-29 16:09 |
| NetBet (FR) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV +13.21%E +2.03%K +2.40%G +0.317% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -9.98%E -9.16%K -110.94%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-29 16:10 |
| Unibet (FR) | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV +7.99%E +1.29%K +1.54%G +0.123% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -7.51%E -6.70%K -62.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-29 16:09 |
| NordicBet | 5.77I 17.33%NM 16.01%EV +0.496%E +0.086%K +0.104%G +0.001% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 83.99%EV -9.16%E -8.33%K -91.59%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-29 16:21 |
| Coolbet | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV +0.147%E +0.026%K +0.031%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -5.03%E -4.37%K -33.53%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-29 16:20 |
| FanDuel | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -2.47%E -0.440%K -0.536%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -5.03%E -4.37%K -33.53%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-29 16:20 |
| DraftKings | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -4.21%E -0.765%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -4.20%E -3.62%K -26.27%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-29 16:20 |
| Fanatics | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -4.21%E -0.765%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.03%E -4.37%K -33.53%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 16:20 |
| Betway | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -4.21%E -0.765%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.03%E -4.37%K -33.53%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 16:20 |
| Unibet (UK) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -4.21%E -0.765%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.03%E -4.37%K -33.53%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 16:20 |
| MyBookie.ag | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -4.21%E -0.765%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.03%E -4.37%K -33.53%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 16:20 |
| BoyleSports | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.21%E -0.765%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.86%E -5.14%K -41.82%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-29 16:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.21%E -0.765%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.86%E -5.14%K -41.82%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-29 16:20 |
| theScore Bet | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -4.21%E -0.765%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.68%E -5.91%K -51.39%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-29 16:20 |
| Tipico (DE) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -4.21%E -0.765%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -7.51%E -6.70%K -62.56%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-29 16:20 |
| Paddy Power | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -4.21%E -0.765%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -7.51%E -6.70%K -62.56%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-29 16:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV -7.69%E -1.45%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.17%EV -5.03%E -4.37%K -33.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 16:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV -7.69%E -1.45%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.17%EV -5.03%E -4.37%K -33.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 16:20 |
| Casumo | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV -7.69%E -1.45%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.17%EV -5.03%E -4.37%K -33.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 16:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV -7.69%E -1.45%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.17%EV -5.03%E -4.37%K -33.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 16:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV -7.69%E -1.45%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.17%EV -5.03%E -4.37%K -33.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 16:20 |
| Unibet | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -8.56%E -1.63%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.03%E -4.37%K -33.53%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-29 16:18 |
| betPARX | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -8.56%E -1.63%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.03%E -4.37%K -33.53%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-29 16:18 |
| Grosvenor | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -9.43%E -1.81%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -5.86%E -5.14%K -41.82%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-29 16:20 |
| TABtouch | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -9.43%E -1.81%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -5.86%E -5.14%K -41.82%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-29 16:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.27%EV -11.17%E -2.19%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.73%EV -5.86%E -5.14%K -41.82%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-29 16:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.27%EV -11.17%E -2.19%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.73%EV -5.86%E -5.14%K -41.82%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-29 16:18 |
| Bally Bet | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.27%EV -11.17%E -2.19%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.73%EV -5.86%E -5.14%K -41.82%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-29 16:20 |
| PMU (FR) | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.14%EV -11.17%E -2.19%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.86%EV -6.68%E -5.91%K -51.39%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-29 16:20 |
| Betsson | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.14%EV -11.17%E -2.19%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.86%EV -6.68%E -5.91%K -51.39%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-29 16:20 |
| LeoVegas | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.01%EV -11.17%E -2.19%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 81.99%EV -7.51%E -6.70%K -62.56%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-06-29 16:20 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -12.92%E -2.58%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.03%E -4.37%K -33.53%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-29 16:20 |
| BetMGM | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -12.92%E -2.58%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.03%E -4.37%K -33.53%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-29 16:20 |
| Caesars | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -12.92%E -2.58%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -5.86%E -5.14%K -41.82%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-29 16:15 |
| Sky Bet | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -12.92%E -2.58%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -5.86%E -5.14%K -41.82%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-29 16:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -12.92%E -2.58%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -5.86%E -5.14%K -41.82%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-29 16:20 |
| Winamax (DE) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -12.92%E -2.58%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 81.70%EV -7.51%E -6.70%K -62.56%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-06-29 16:20 |
| Winamax (FR) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.17%EV -12.92%E -2.58%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 81.83%EV -8.33%E -7.51%K -75.75%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-06-29 16:20 |
| Fliff | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -14.66%E -2.99%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.26%EV -6.68%E -5.91%K -51.39%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-06-29 16:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.60%EV -14.66%E -2.99%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 81.40%EV -7.51%E -6.70%K -62.56%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-06-29 16:18 |
| Bet Victor | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -17.27%E -3.64%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -3.38%E -2.89%K -19.87%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-29 16:18 |
| 888sport | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -17.27%E -3.64%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -5.03%E -4.37%K -33.53%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-29 16:20 |
| 888sport (SE) | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -17.27%E -3.64%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -5.03%E -4.37%K -33.53%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-29 16:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -26.85%E -6.39%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -0.900%E -0.750%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-29 16:20 |
| Coral | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -26.85%E -6.39%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -0.900%E -0.750%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-29 16:20 |
| Betclic (FR) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -30.33%E -7.58%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.22%EV -2.55%E -2.16%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-06-29 16:19 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.86% | 0.6% | 2026-06-29 16:21 |
| Smarkets | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01% | 0.9% | 2026-06-29 16:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.43% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 83.57% | 1.4% | 2026-06-29 16:20 |
| Matchbook | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.91% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.09% | 1.5% | 2026-06-29 16:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32% | 4.7% | 2026-06-29 16:21 |
| ProphetX | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03% | 6.0% | 2026-06-29 16:21 |
| Novig | 5.26I 19.01%NM 17.43% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.57% | 9.1% | 2026-06-29 16:20 |