مدرسة الاحتمالات

Mingge Xu v Daria Kasatkina

البداية: 2026-06-29 17:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

60 شركة مراهنات (22 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Mingge Xu (المضيف)

التنبؤ 17.42%5.74السعر العادل
EV +40.21%
الأفضلية +4.99%
Kelly +5.70%
النمو +2.29%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 8.05

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
12.12%17.13%17.29%22.78%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.005.655.408.0525.00%17.70%18.52%12.42%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Daria Kasatkina (الضيف)

التنبؤ 82.58%1.21السعر العادل
EV -0.900%
الأفضلية -0.750%
Kelly -4.50%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.20

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
77.22%82.87%82.71%87.88%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.081.131.141.2092.59%88.31%87.72%83.33%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (60 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet8.05I 12.42%NM 12.12%EV +40.21%E +4.99%K +5.70%G +2.29%1.11I 90.09%NM 87.88%EV -8.33%E -7.51%K -75.75%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-29 16:09
BetOnline.ag7.87I 12.71%NM 12.17%EV +37.07%E +4.71%K +5.40%G +2.00%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.83%EV -9.98%E -9.16%K -110.94%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-29 16:15
PlayUp7.75I 12.90%NM 12.23%EV +34.98%E +4.51%K +5.18%G +1.81%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.77%EV -10.81%E -10.01%K -135.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 16:10
Dabble (AU)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +30.63%E +4.08%K +4.71%G +1.44%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -9.98%E -9.16%K -110.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 16:14
SportsBet7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +21.92%E +3.13%K +3.65%G +0.801%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -9.16%E -8.33%K -91.59%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 16:10
BetAnything6.95I 14.39%NM 13.66%EV +21.05%E +3.03%K +3.54%G +0.745%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.34%EV -9.16%E -8.33%K -91.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 16:10
Marathon Bet6.85I 14.60%NM 13.84%EV +19.31%E +2.82%K +3.30%G +0.637%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.16%EV -9.16%E -8.33%K -91.59%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 16:13
Pinnacle6.80I 14.71%NM 14.03%EV +18.44%E +2.71%K +3.18%G +0.586%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.97%EV -8.33%E -7.51%K -75.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 16:10
BetRivers6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV +17.56%E +2.60%K +3.05%G +0.537%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -8.33%E -7.51%K -75.75%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-29 16:07
Ladbrokes (AU)6.60I 15.15%NM 14.40%EV +14.95%E +2.27%K +2.67%G +0.399%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.60%EV -8.33%E -7.51%K -75.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 16:10
Neds6.60I 15.15%NM 14.40%EV +14.95%E +2.27%K +2.67%G +0.399%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.60%EV -8.33%E -7.51%K -75.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 16:10
Bovada6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +13.21%E +2.03%K +2.40%G +0.317%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -7.51%E -6.70%K -62.56%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-29 16:09
William Hill6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +13.21%E +2.03%K +2.40%G +0.317%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -8.33%E -7.51%K -75.75%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 16:09
Betr (AU)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV +13.21%E +2.03%K +2.40%G +0.317%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -9.16%E -8.33%K -91.59%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 16:10
betfred_uk6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV +13.21%E +2.03%K +2.40%G +0.317%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -9.16%E -8.33%K -91.59%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 16:09
NetBet (FR)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV +13.21%E +2.03%K +2.40%G +0.317%1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -9.98%E -9.16%K -110.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-29 16:10
Unibet (FR)6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV +7.99%E +1.29%K +1.54%G +0.123%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -7.51%E -6.70%K -62.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 16:09
NordicBet5.77I 17.33%NM 16.01%EV +0.496%E +0.086%K +0.104%G +0.001%1.10I 90.91%NM 83.99%EV -9.16%E -8.33%K -91.59%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-29 16:21
Coolbet5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV +0.147%E +0.026%K +0.031%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -5.03%E -4.37%K -33.53%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-29 16:20
FanDuel5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -2.47%E -0.440%K -0.536%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -5.03%E -4.37%K -33.53%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 16:20
DraftKings5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -4.21%E -0.765%K -0.935%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -4.20%E -3.62%K -26.27%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-29 16:20
Fanatics5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -4.21%E -0.765%K -0.935%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.03%E -4.37%K -33.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 16:20
Betway5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -4.21%E -0.765%K -0.935%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.03%E -4.37%K -33.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 16:20
Unibet (UK)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -4.21%E -0.765%K -0.935%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.03%E -4.37%K -33.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 16:20
MyBookie.ag5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -4.21%E -0.765%K -0.935%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.03%E -4.37%K -33.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 16:20
BoyleSports5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.21%E -0.765%K -0.935%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.86%E -5.14%K -41.82%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 16:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.21%E -0.765%K -0.935%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.86%E -5.14%K -41.82%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 16:20
theScore Bet5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -4.21%E -0.765%K -0.935%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.68%E -5.91%K -51.39%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 16:20
Tipico (DE)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -4.21%E -0.765%K -0.935%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -7.51%E -6.70%K -62.56%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-29 16:20
Paddy Power5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -4.21%E -0.765%K -0.935%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -7.51%E -6.70%K -62.56%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-29 16:20
Unibet (SE)5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV -7.69%E -1.45%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.17%EV -5.03%E -4.37%K -33.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 16:20
Unibet (NL)5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV -7.69%E -1.45%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.17%EV -5.03%E -4.37%K -33.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 16:20
Casumo5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV -7.69%E -1.45%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.17%EV -5.03%E -4.37%K -33.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 16:20
ATG (SE)5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV -7.69%E -1.45%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.17%EV -5.03%E -4.37%K -33.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 16:20
Svenska Spel5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV -7.69%E -1.45%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.17%EV -5.03%E -4.37%K -33.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 16:20
Unibet5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -8.56%E -1.63%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.03%E -4.37%K -33.53%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 16:18
betPARX5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -8.56%E -1.63%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.03%E -4.37%K -33.53%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 16:18
Grosvenor5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -9.43%E -1.81%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -5.86%E -5.14%K -41.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-29 16:20
TABtouch5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -9.43%E -1.81%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -5.86%E -5.14%K -41.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-29 16:20
LiveScore Bet5.10I 19.61%NM 18.27%EV -11.17%E -2.19%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.73%EV -5.86%E -5.14%K -41.82%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-29 16:20
Virgin Bet5.10I 19.61%NM 18.27%EV -11.17%E -2.19%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.73%EV -5.86%E -5.14%K -41.82%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-29 16:18
Bally Bet5.10I 19.61%NM 18.27%EV -11.17%E -2.19%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.73%EV -5.86%E -5.14%K -41.82%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-29 16:20
PMU (FR)5.10I 19.61%NM 18.14%EV -11.17%E -2.19%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 81.86%EV -6.68%E -5.91%K -51.39%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-29 16:20
Betsson5.10I 19.61%NM 18.14%EV -11.17%E -2.19%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 81.86%EV -6.68%E -5.91%K -51.39%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-29 16:20
LeoVegas5.10I 19.61%NM 18.01%EV -11.17%E -2.19%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 81.99%EV -7.51%E -6.70%K -62.56%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-29 16:20
PointsBet (AU)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -12.92%E -2.58%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.03%E -4.37%K -33.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-29 16:20
BetMGM5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -12.92%E -2.58%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.03%E -4.37%K -33.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-29 16:20
Caesars5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -12.92%E -2.58%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -5.86%E -5.14%K -41.82%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-29 16:15
Sky Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -12.92%E -2.58%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -5.86%E -5.14%K -41.82%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-29 16:20
Mr Green (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -12.92%E -2.58%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -5.86%E -5.14%K -41.82%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-29 16:20
Winamax (DE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -12.92%E -2.58%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 81.70%EV -7.51%E -6.70%K -62.56%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-29 16:20
Winamax (FR)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.17%EV -12.92%E -2.58%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 81.83%EV -8.33%E -7.51%K -75.75%G +0.000%10.1%2026-06-29 16:20
Fliff4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -14.66%E -2.99%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 81.26%EV -6.68%E -5.91%K -51.39%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-29 16:20
LeoVegas (SE)4.90I 20.41%NM 18.60%EV -14.66%E -2.99%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 81.40%EV -7.51%E -6.70%K -62.56%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-29 16:18
Bet Victor4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -17.27%E -3.64%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -3.38%E -2.89%K -19.87%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-29 16:18
888sport4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -17.27%E -3.64%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -5.03%E -4.37%K -33.53%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-29 16:20
888sport (SE)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -17.27%E -3.64%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -5.03%E -4.37%K -33.53%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-29 16:20
Ladbrokes (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -26.85%E -6.39%K -8.39%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -0.900%E -0.750%K -4.50%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-29 16:20
Coral4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -26.85%E -6.39%K -8.39%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -0.900%E -0.750%K -4.50%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-29 16:20
Betclic (FR)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -30.33%E -7.58%K -10.11%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 77.22%EV -2.55%E -2.16%K -14.18%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-29 16:19
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (7)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14%1.20I 83.33%NM 82.86%0.6%2026-06-29 16:21
Smarkets6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01%0.9%2026-06-29 16:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)6.00I 16.67%NM 16.43%1.18I 84.75%NM 83.57%1.4%2026-06-29 16:20
Matchbook5.50I 18.18%NM 17.91%1.20I 83.33%NM 82.09%1.5%2026-06-29 16:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%4.7%2026-06-29 16:21
ProphetX5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%6.0%2026-06-29 16:21
Novig5.26I 19.01%NM 17.43%1.11I 90.09%NM 82.57%9.1%2026-06-29 16:20