L’École des cotes

Mingge Xu v Daria Kasatkina

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-29 17:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

60 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Mingge Xu (Local)

Prévision 17.42%5.74cote équitable
EV +40.21%
Avantage +4.99%
Kelly +5.70%
Croissance +2.29%

avec la cote maximale 8.05

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
12.12%17.13%17.29%22.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.005.655.408.0525.00%17.70%18.52%12.42%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Daria Kasatkina (Visiteur)

Prévision 82.58%1.21cote équitable
EV -0.900%
Avantage -0.750%
Kelly -4.50%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
77.22%82.87%82.71%87.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.081.131.141.2092.59%88.31%87.72%83.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (60 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
1xBet8.05I 12.42%NM 12.12%EV +40.21%E +4.99%K +5.70%G +2.29%1.11I 90.09%NM 87.88%EV -8.33%E -7.51%K -75.75%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-29 16:09
BetOnline.ag7.87I 12.71%NM 12.17%EV +37.07%E +4.71%K +5.40%G +2.00%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.83%EV -9.98%E -9.16%K -110.94%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-29 16:15
PlayUp7.75I 12.90%NM 12.23%EV +34.98%E +4.51%K +5.18%G +1.81%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.77%EV -10.81%E -10.01%K -135.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 16:10
Dabble (AU)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +30.63%E +4.08%K +4.71%G +1.44%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -9.98%E -9.16%K -110.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 16:14
SportsBet7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +21.92%E +3.13%K +3.65%G +0.801%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -9.16%E -8.33%K -91.59%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 16:10
BetAnything6.95I 14.39%NM 13.66%EV +21.05%E +3.03%K +3.54%G +0.745%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.34%EV -9.16%E -8.33%K -91.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 16:10
Marathon Bet6.85I 14.60%NM 13.84%EV +19.31%E +2.82%K +3.30%G +0.637%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.16%EV -9.16%E -8.33%K -91.59%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 16:13
Pinnacle6.80I 14.71%NM 14.03%EV +18.44%E +2.71%K +3.18%G +0.586%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.97%EV -8.33%E -7.51%K -75.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 16:10
BetRivers6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV +17.56%E +2.60%K +3.05%G +0.537%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -8.33%E -7.51%K -75.75%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-29 16:07
Ladbrokes (AU)6.60I 15.15%NM 14.40%EV +14.95%E +2.27%K +2.67%G +0.399%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.60%EV -8.33%E -7.51%K -75.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 16:10
Neds6.60I 15.15%NM 14.40%EV +14.95%E +2.27%K +2.67%G +0.399%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.60%EV -8.33%E -7.51%K -75.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 16:10
Bovada6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +13.21%E +2.03%K +2.40%G +0.317%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -7.51%E -6.70%K -62.56%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-29 16:09
William Hill6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +13.21%E +2.03%K +2.40%G +0.317%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -8.33%E -7.51%K -75.75%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 16:09
Betr (AU)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV +13.21%E +2.03%K +2.40%G +0.317%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -9.16%E -8.33%K -91.59%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 16:10
betfred_uk6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV +13.21%E +2.03%K +2.40%G +0.317%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -9.16%E -8.33%K -91.59%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 16:09
NetBet (FR)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV +13.21%E +2.03%K +2.40%G +0.317%1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -9.98%E -9.16%K -110.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-29 16:10
Unibet (FR)6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV +7.99%E +1.29%K +1.54%G +0.123%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -7.51%E -6.70%K -62.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 16:09
NordicBet5.77I 17.33%NM 16.01%EV +0.496%E +0.086%K +0.104%G +0.001%1.10I 90.91%NM 83.99%EV -9.16%E -8.33%K -91.59%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-29 16:21
Coolbet5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV +0.147%E +0.026%K +0.031%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -5.03%E -4.37%K -33.53%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-29 16:20
FanDuel5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -2.47%E -0.440%K -0.536%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -5.03%E -4.37%K -33.53%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 16:20
DraftKings5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -4.21%E -0.765%K -0.935%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -4.20%E -3.62%K -26.27%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-29 16:20
Fanatics5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -4.21%E -0.765%K -0.935%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.03%E -4.37%K -33.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 16:20
Betway5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -4.21%E -0.765%K -0.935%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.03%E -4.37%K -33.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 16:20
Unibet (UK)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -4.21%E -0.765%K -0.935%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.03%E -4.37%K -33.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 16:20
MyBookie.ag5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -4.21%E -0.765%K -0.935%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.03%E -4.37%K -33.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 16:20
BoyleSports5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.21%E -0.765%K -0.935%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.86%E -5.14%K -41.82%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 16:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.21%E -0.765%K -0.935%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.86%E -5.14%K -41.82%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 16:20
theScore Bet5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -4.21%E -0.765%K -0.935%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.68%E -5.91%K -51.39%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 16:20
Tipico (DE)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -4.21%E -0.765%K -0.935%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -7.51%E -6.70%K -62.56%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-29 16:20
Paddy Power5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -4.21%E -0.765%K -0.935%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -7.51%E -6.70%K -62.56%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-29 16:20
Unibet (SE)5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV -7.69%E -1.45%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.17%EV -5.03%E -4.37%K -33.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 16:20
Unibet (NL)5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV -7.69%E -1.45%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.17%EV -5.03%E -4.37%K -33.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 16:20
Casumo5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV -7.69%E -1.45%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.17%EV -5.03%E -4.37%K -33.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 16:20
ATG (SE)5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV -7.69%E -1.45%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.17%EV -5.03%E -4.37%K -33.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 16:20
Svenska Spel5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV -7.69%E -1.45%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.17%EV -5.03%E -4.37%K -33.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 16:20
Unibet5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -8.56%E -1.63%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.03%E -4.37%K -33.53%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 16:18
betPARX5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -8.56%E -1.63%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.03%E -4.37%K -33.53%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 16:18
Grosvenor5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -9.43%E -1.81%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -5.86%E -5.14%K -41.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-29 16:20
TABtouch5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -9.43%E -1.81%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -5.86%E -5.14%K -41.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-29 16:20
LiveScore Bet5.10I 19.61%NM 18.27%EV -11.17%E -2.19%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.73%EV -5.86%E -5.14%K -41.82%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-29 16:20
Virgin Bet5.10I 19.61%NM 18.27%EV -11.17%E -2.19%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.73%EV -5.86%E -5.14%K -41.82%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-29 16:18
Bally Bet5.10I 19.61%NM 18.27%EV -11.17%E -2.19%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.73%EV -5.86%E -5.14%K -41.82%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-29 16:20
PMU (FR)5.10I 19.61%NM 18.14%EV -11.17%E -2.19%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 81.86%EV -6.68%E -5.91%K -51.39%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-29 16:20
Betsson5.10I 19.61%NM 18.14%EV -11.17%E -2.19%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 81.86%EV -6.68%E -5.91%K -51.39%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-29 16:20
LeoVegas5.10I 19.61%NM 18.01%EV -11.17%E -2.19%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 81.99%EV -7.51%E -6.70%K -62.56%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-29 16:20
PointsBet (AU)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -12.92%E -2.58%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.03%E -4.37%K -33.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-29 16:20
BetMGM5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -12.92%E -2.58%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.03%E -4.37%K -33.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-29 16:20
Caesars5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -12.92%E -2.58%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -5.86%E -5.14%K -41.82%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-29 16:15
Sky Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -12.92%E -2.58%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -5.86%E -5.14%K -41.82%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-29 16:20
Mr Green (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -12.92%E -2.58%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -5.86%E -5.14%K -41.82%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-29 16:20
Winamax (DE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -12.92%E -2.58%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 81.70%EV -7.51%E -6.70%K -62.56%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-29 16:20
Winamax (FR)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.17%EV -12.92%E -2.58%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 81.83%EV -8.33%E -7.51%K -75.75%G +0.000%10.1%2026-06-29 16:20
Fliff4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -14.66%E -2.99%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 81.26%EV -6.68%E -5.91%K -51.39%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-29 16:20
LeoVegas (SE)4.90I 20.41%NM 18.60%EV -14.66%E -2.99%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 81.40%EV -7.51%E -6.70%K -62.56%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-29 16:18
Bet Victor4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -17.27%E -3.64%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -3.38%E -2.89%K -19.87%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-29 16:18
888sport4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -17.27%E -3.64%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -5.03%E -4.37%K -33.53%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-29 16:20
888sport (SE)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -17.27%E -3.64%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -5.03%E -4.37%K -33.53%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-29 16:20
Ladbrokes (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -26.85%E -6.39%K -8.39%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -0.900%E -0.750%K -4.50%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-29 16:20
Coral4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -26.85%E -6.39%K -8.39%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -0.900%E -0.750%K -4.50%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-29 16:20
Betclic (FR)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -30.33%E -7.58%K -10.11%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 77.22%EV -2.55%E -2.16%K -14.18%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-29 16:19
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14%1.20I 83.33%NM 82.86%0.6%2026-06-29 16:21
Smarkets6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01%0.9%2026-06-29 16:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)6.00I 16.67%NM 16.43%1.18I 84.75%NM 83.57%1.4%2026-06-29 16:20
Matchbook5.50I 18.18%NM 17.91%1.20I 83.33%NM 82.09%1.5%2026-06-29 16:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%4.7%2026-06-29 16:21
ProphetX5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%6.0%2026-06-29 16:21
Novig5.26I 19.01%NM 17.43%1.11I 90.09%NM 82.57%9.1%2026-06-29 16:20