Szkoła Kursów

Mingge Xu v Daria Kasatkina

Początek: 2026-06-29 17:00 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

60 bukmacherów (22 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Mingge Xu (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 17.42%5.74kurs godziwy
EV +40.21%
Przewaga +4.99%
Kelly +5.70%
Wzrost +2.29%

przy maksymalnym kursie 8.05

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
12.12%17.13%17.29%22.78%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
4.005.655.408.0525.00%17.70%18.52%12.42%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Daria Kasatkina (Goście)

Prognoza 82.58%1.21kurs godziwy
EV -0.900%
Przewaga -0.750%
Kelly -4.50%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.20

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
77.22%82.87%82.71%87.88%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.081.131.141.2092.59%88.31%87.72%83.33%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (60 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeMarżaAktualizacja
1xBet8.05I 12.42%NM 12.12%EV +40.21%E +4.99%K +5.70%G +2.29%1.11I 90.09%NM 87.88%EV -8.33%E -7.51%K -75.75%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-29 16:09
BetOnline.ag7.87I 12.71%NM 12.17%EV +37.07%E +4.71%K +5.40%G +2.00%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.83%EV -9.98%E -9.16%K -110.94%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-29 16:15
PlayUp7.75I 12.90%NM 12.23%EV +34.98%E +4.51%K +5.18%G +1.81%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.77%EV -10.81%E -10.01%K -135.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 16:10
Dabble (AU)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +30.63%E +4.08%K +4.71%G +1.44%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -9.98%E -9.16%K -110.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 16:14
SportsBet7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +21.92%E +3.13%K +3.65%G +0.801%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -9.16%E -8.33%K -91.59%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 16:10
BetAnything6.95I 14.39%NM 13.66%EV +21.05%E +3.03%K +3.54%G +0.745%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.34%EV -9.16%E -8.33%K -91.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 16:10
Marathon Bet6.85I 14.60%NM 13.84%EV +19.31%E +2.82%K +3.30%G +0.637%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.16%EV -9.16%E -8.33%K -91.59%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 16:13
Pinnacle6.80I 14.71%NM 14.03%EV +18.44%E +2.71%K +3.18%G +0.586%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.97%EV -8.33%E -7.51%K -75.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 16:10
BetRivers6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV +17.56%E +2.60%K +3.05%G +0.537%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -8.33%E -7.51%K -75.75%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-29 16:07
Ladbrokes (AU)6.60I 15.15%NM 14.40%EV +14.95%E +2.27%K +2.67%G +0.399%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.60%EV -8.33%E -7.51%K -75.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 16:10
Neds6.60I 15.15%NM 14.40%EV +14.95%E +2.27%K +2.67%G +0.399%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.60%EV -8.33%E -7.51%K -75.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 16:10
Bovada6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +13.21%E +2.03%K +2.40%G +0.317%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -7.51%E -6.70%K -62.56%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-29 16:09
William Hill6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +13.21%E +2.03%K +2.40%G +0.317%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -8.33%E -7.51%K -75.75%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 16:09
Betr (AU)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV +13.21%E +2.03%K +2.40%G +0.317%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -9.16%E -8.33%K -91.59%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 16:10
betfred_uk6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV +13.21%E +2.03%K +2.40%G +0.317%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -9.16%E -8.33%K -91.59%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 16:09
NetBet (FR)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV +13.21%E +2.03%K +2.40%G +0.317%1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -9.98%E -9.16%K -110.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-29 16:10
Unibet (FR)6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV +7.99%E +1.29%K +1.54%G +0.123%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -7.51%E -6.70%K -62.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 16:09
NordicBet5.77I 17.33%NM 16.01%EV +0.496%E +0.086%K +0.104%G +0.001%1.10I 90.91%NM 83.99%EV -9.16%E -8.33%K -91.59%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-29 16:21
Coolbet5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV +0.147%E +0.026%K +0.031%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -5.03%E -4.37%K -33.53%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-29 16:20
FanDuel5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -2.47%E -0.440%K -0.536%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -5.03%E -4.37%K -33.53%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 16:20
DraftKings5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -4.21%E -0.765%K -0.935%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -4.20%E -3.62%K -26.27%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-29 16:20
Fanatics5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -4.21%E -0.765%K -0.935%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.03%E -4.37%K -33.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 16:20
Betway5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -4.21%E -0.765%K -0.935%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.03%E -4.37%K -33.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 16:20
Unibet (UK)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -4.21%E -0.765%K -0.935%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.03%E -4.37%K -33.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 16:20
MyBookie.ag5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -4.21%E -0.765%K -0.935%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.03%E -4.37%K -33.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 16:20
BoyleSports5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.21%E -0.765%K -0.935%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.86%E -5.14%K -41.82%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 16:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.21%E -0.765%K -0.935%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.86%E -5.14%K -41.82%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 16:20
theScore Bet5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -4.21%E -0.765%K -0.935%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.68%E -5.91%K -51.39%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 16:20
Tipico (DE)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -4.21%E -0.765%K -0.935%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -7.51%E -6.70%K -62.56%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-29 16:20
Paddy Power5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -4.21%E -0.765%K -0.935%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -7.51%E -6.70%K -62.56%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-29 16:20
Unibet (SE)5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV -7.69%E -1.45%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.17%EV -5.03%E -4.37%K -33.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 16:20
Unibet (NL)5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV -7.69%E -1.45%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.17%EV -5.03%E -4.37%K -33.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 16:20
Casumo5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV -7.69%E -1.45%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.17%EV -5.03%E -4.37%K -33.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 16:20
ATG (SE)5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV -7.69%E -1.45%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.17%EV -5.03%E -4.37%K -33.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 16:20
Svenska Spel5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV -7.69%E -1.45%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.17%EV -5.03%E -4.37%K -33.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 16:20
Unibet5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -8.56%E -1.63%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.03%E -4.37%K -33.53%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 16:18
betPARX5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -8.56%E -1.63%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.03%E -4.37%K -33.53%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 16:18
Grosvenor5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -9.43%E -1.81%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -5.86%E -5.14%K -41.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-29 16:20
TABtouch5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -9.43%E -1.81%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -5.86%E -5.14%K -41.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-29 16:20
LiveScore Bet5.10I 19.61%NM 18.27%EV -11.17%E -2.19%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.73%EV -5.86%E -5.14%K -41.82%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-29 16:20
Virgin Bet5.10I 19.61%NM 18.27%EV -11.17%E -2.19%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.73%EV -5.86%E -5.14%K -41.82%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-29 16:18
Bally Bet5.10I 19.61%NM 18.27%EV -11.17%E -2.19%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.73%EV -5.86%E -5.14%K -41.82%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-29 16:20
PMU (FR)5.10I 19.61%NM 18.14%EV -11.17%E -2.19%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 81.86%EV -6.68%E -5.91%K -51.39%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-29 16:20
Betsson5.10I 19.61%NM 18.14%EV -11.17%E -2.19%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 81.86%EV -6.68%E -5.91%K -51.39%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-29 16:20
LeoVegas5.10I 19.61%NM 18.01%EV -11.17%E -2.19%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 81.99%EV -7.51%E -6.70%K -62.56%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-29 16:20
PointsBet (AU)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -12.92%E -2.58%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.03%E -4.37%K -33.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-29 16:20
BetMGM5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -12.92%E -2.58%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.03%E -4.37%K -33.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-29 16:20
Caesars5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -12.92%E -2.58%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -5.86%E -5.14%K -41.82%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-29 16:15
Sky Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -12.92%E -2.58%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -5.86%E -5.14%K -41.82%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-29 16:20
Mr Green (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -12.92%E -2.58%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -5.86%E -5.14%K -41.82%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-29 16:20
Winamax (DE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -12.92%E -2.58%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 81.70%EV -7.51%E -6.70%K -62.56%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-29 16:20
Winamax (FR)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.17%EV -12.92%E -2.58%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 81.83%EV -8.33%E -7.51%K -75.75%G +0.000%10.1%2026-06-29 16:20
Fliff4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -14.66%E -2.99%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 81.26%EV -6.68%E -5.91%K -51.39%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-29 16:20
LeoVegas (SE)4.90I 20.41%NM 18.60%EV -14.66%E -2.99%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 81.40%EV -7.51%E -6.70%K -62.56%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-29 16:18
Bet Victor4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -17.27%E -3.64%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -3.38%E -2.89%K -19.87%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-29 16:18
888sport4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -17.27%E -3.64%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -5.03%E -4.37%K -33.53%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-29 16:20
888sport (SE)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -17.27%E -3.64%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -5.03%E -4.37%K -33.53%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-29 16:20
Ladbrokes (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -26.85%E -6.39%K -8.39%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -0.900%E -0.750%K -4.50%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-29 16:20
Coral4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -26.85%E -6.39%K -8.39%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -0.900%E -0.750%K -4.50%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-29 16:20
Betclic (FR)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -30.33%E -7.58%K -10.11%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 77.22%EV -2.55%E -2.16%K -14.18%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-29 16:19
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (7)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14%1.20I 83.33%NM 82.86%0.6%2026-06-29 16:21
Smarkets6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01%0.9%2026-06-29 16:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)6.00I 16.67%NM 16.43%1.18I 84.75%NM 83.57%1.4%2026-06-29 16:20
Matchbook5.50I 18.18%NM 17.91%1.20I 83.33%NM 82.09%1.5%2026-06-29 16:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%4.7%2026-06-29 16:21
ProphetX5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%6.0%2026-06-29 16:21
Novig5.26I 19.01%NM 17.43%1.11I 90.09%NM 82.57%9.1%2026-06-29 16:20