Language:English
Emma Navarro v Marta Kostyuk
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Emma Navarro (Local)
Prediction 44.56%2.24fair odd
EV +2.49%
Edge +1.08%
Kelly +1.92%
Growth +0.048%
assuming max odds 2.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.07%44.43%44.44%46.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.132.122.3050.00%46.93%47.17%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Marta Kostyuk (Visit)
Prediction 55.44%1.80fair odd
EV -1.87%
Edge -1.06%
Kelly -2.43%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.77
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.05%55.57%55.56%57.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.631.701.681.7761.35%58.93%59.52%56.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Emma Navarro (Local): 44.56%; Marta Kostyuk (Visit): 55.44%. For Emma Navarro (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.24. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.49%.
Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.36%EV +2.49%E +1.08%K +1.92%G +0.048% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.64%EV -6.31%E -3.73%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-07-04 09:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV +2.49%E +1.08%K +1.92%G +0.048% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -7.42%E -4.44%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-04 09:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV -0.628%E -0.281%K -0.510%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV -4.65%E -2.70%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-07-04 09:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -1.07%E -0.483%K -0.880%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -6.86%E -4.09%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-04 10:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -1.52%E -0.687%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -7.42%E -4.44%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-04 10:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.96%E -0.893%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.42%E -4.44%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-04 09:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.96%E -0.893%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.42%E -4.44%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-04 09:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.96%E -0.893%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.42%E -4.44%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-04 09:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.96%E -0.893%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.42%E -4.44%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-04 09:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -3.30%E -1.52%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -4.09%E -2.37%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-04 08:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -3.30%E -1.52%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -6.86%E -4.09%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-04 09:35 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.19%EV -3.30%E -1.52%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.81%EV -8.53%E -5.17%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-04 10:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -3.75%E -1.73%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -6.86%E -4.09%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-04 10:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -3.75%E -1.73%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -6.86%E -4.09%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-04 10:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -3.75%E -1.73%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -6.86%E -4.09%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-04 10:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -3.75%E -1.73%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -6.86%E -4.09%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-04 10:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -3.75%E -1.73%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -6.86%E -4.09%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-04 10:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -3.75%E -1.73%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -6.86%E -4.09%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-04 10:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -3.75%E -1.73%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -6.86%E -4.09%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-04 10:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -3.75%E -1.73%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -6.86%E -4.09%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-04 10:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.19%E -1.95%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.09%E -2.37%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-04 10:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.19%E -1.95%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.65%E -2.70%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-04 10:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.19%E -1.95%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.31%E -3.73%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-03 15:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -4.19%E -1.95%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.86%E -4.09%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-04 09:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -4.19%E -1.95%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.86%E -4.09%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-04 09:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.83%EV -4.64%E -2.17%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.17%EV -7.42%E -4.44%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-04 10:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.83%EV -4.64%E -2.17%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.17%EV -7.42%E -4.44%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-04 10:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.24%EV -5.08%E -2.39%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.76%EV -2.43%E -1.38%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-04 10:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -5.53%E -2.61%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.54%E -2.03%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-04 10:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -5.53%E -2.61%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.08%EV -7.97%E -4.80%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-04 10:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.77%EV -5.53%E -2.61%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.23%EV -8.53%E -5.17%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-04 10:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.77%EV -5.53%E -2.61%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.23%EV -8.53%E -5.17%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-04 10:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.77%EV -5.53%E -2.61%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.23%EV -8.53%E -5.17%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-04 10:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -1.87%E -1.06%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-04 10:04 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -2.43%E -1.38%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-04 10:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.98%E -1.70%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-04 10:04 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.98%E -1.70%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-04 10:04 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.98%E -1.70%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-04 10:05 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.98%E -1.70%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-04 10:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.54%E -2.03%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-04 10:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.54%E -2.03%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-04 10:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.54%E -2.03%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-04 10:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.09%E -2.37%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-04 10:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.65%E -2.70%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-04 10:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.20%E -3.04%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-04 10:03 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.20%E -3.04%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-04 10:02 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.20%E -3.04%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-04 10:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.20%E -3.04%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-04 10:05 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.75%E -3.39%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-04 09:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.42%E -4.44%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-04 10:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.42%E -4.44%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-04 06:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.42%E -4.44%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-04 10:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.42%E -4.44%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-04 10:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.42%E -4.44%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-04 10:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.42%E -4.44%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-04 10:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.42%E -4.44%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-04 10:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.94%EV -7.31%E -3.52%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.06%EV -9.64%E -5.91%K -15.29%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-04 10:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.38%EV -7.76%E -3.75%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62%EV -4.65%E -2.70%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-04 10:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.38%EV -7.76%E -3.75%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62%EV -4.65%E -2.70%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-04 10:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.93%EV -8.20%E -3.98%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.07%EV -2.98%E -1.70%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-02 19:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.65%E -4.22%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -8.53%E -5.17%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-04 10:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -10.88%E -5.44%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -1.87%E -1.06%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-04 10:02 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.65%EV -10.88%E -5.44%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.35%EV -6.86%E -4.09%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-04 10:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30% | 0.4% | 2026-07-04 10:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44% | 0.7% | 2026-07-04 10:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44% | 0.7% | 2026-07-04 10:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58% | 1.0% | 2026-07-04 10:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.89% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.11% | 1.3% | 2026-07-04 10:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42% | 2.4% | 2026-07-04 10:05 |
| Novig◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.51% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.49% | 3.5% | 2026-07-04 10:05 |