L’École des cotes

Emma Navarro v Marta Kostyuk

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-04 10:10 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

63 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Emma Navarro (Local)

Prévision 44.56%2.24cote équitable
EV +2.49%
Avantage +1.08%
Kelly +1.92%
Croissance +0.048%

avec la cote maximale 2.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.07%44.43%44.44%46.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.132.122.3050.00%46.93%47.17%43.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Marta Kostyuk (Visiteur)

Prévision 55.44%1.80cote équitable
EV -1.87%
Avantage -1.06%
Kelly -2.43%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.77

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.05%55.57%55.56%57.93%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.631.701.681.7761.35%58.93%59.52%56.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.30I 43.48%NM 42.36%EV +2.49%E +1.08%K +1.92%G +0.048%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.64%EV -6.31%E -3.73%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-04 09:55
BetOnline.ag2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV +2.49%E +1.08%K +1.92%G +0.048%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -7.42%E -4.44%K -11.07%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-04 09:35
Coolbet2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV -0.628%E -0.281%K -0.510%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV -4.65%E -2.70%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-04 09:49
FanDuel2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -1.07%E -0.483%K -0.880%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -6.86%E -4.09%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-04 10:05
SportsBet2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -1.52%E -0.687%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -7.42%E -4.44%K -11.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-04 10:05
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.96%E -0.893%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.42%E -4.44%K -11.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-04 09:05
Sky Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.96%E -0.893%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.42%E -4.44%K -11.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-04 09:05
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.96%E -0.893%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.42%E -4.44%K -11.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-04 09:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.96%E -0.893%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.42%E -4.44%K -11.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-04 09:05
ReBet2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -3.30%E -1.52%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -4.09%E -2.37%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-04 08:45
BetRivers2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -3.30%E -1.52%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -6.86%E -4.09%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 09:35
NetBet (FR)2.17I 46.08%NM 43.19%EV -3.30%E -1.52%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.81%EV -8.53%E -5.17%K -13.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-04 10:00
DraftKings2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -3.75%E -1.73%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -6.86%E -4.09%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-04 10:05
Unibet (SE)2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -3.75%E -1.73%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -6.86%E -4.09%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-04 10:05
Unibet (NL)2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -3.75%E -1.73%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -6.86%E -4.09%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-04 10:05
Casumo2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -3.75%E -1.73%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -6.86%E -4.09%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-04 10:05
Unibet2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -3.75%E -1.73%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -6.86%E -4.09%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-04 10:05
betPARX2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -3.75%E -1.73%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -6.86%E -4.09%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-04 10:05
ATG (SE)2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -3.75%E -1.73%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -6.86%E -4.09%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-04 10:05
Svenska Spel2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -3.75%E -1.73%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -6.86%E -4.09%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-04 10:05
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.19%E -1.95%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.09%E -2.37%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 10:05
LeoVegas2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.19%E -1.95%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.65%E -2.70%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-04 10:00
Hard Rock Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.19%E -1.95%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.31%E -3.73%K -9.14%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-03 15:20
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -4.19%E -1.95%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.86%E -4.09%K -10.09%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-04 09:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -4.19%E -1.95%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.86%E -4.09%K -10.09%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-04 09:00
Grosvenor2.14I 46.73%NM 43.83%EV -4.64%E -2.17%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.17%EV -7.42%E -4.44%K -11.07%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-04 10:05
TABtouch2.14I 46.73%NM 43.83%EV -4.64%E -2.17%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.17%EV -7.42%E -4.44%K -11.07%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-04 10:05
Unibet (UK)2.13I 46.95%NM 45.24%EV -5.08%E -2.39%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.76%EV -2.43%E -1.38%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-04 10:00
1xBet2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -5.53%E -2.61%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.54%E -2.03%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-04 10:00
PMU (FR)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -5.53%E -2.61%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.08%EV -7.97%E -4.80%K -12.08%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-04 10:05
LiveScore Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.77%EV -5.53%E -2.61%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.23%EV -8.53%E -5.17%K -13.12%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-04 10:05
Virgin Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.77%EV -5.53%E -2.61%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.23%EV -8.53%E -5.17%K -13.12%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-04 10:05
Bally Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.77%EV -5.53%E -2.61%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.23%EV -8.53%E -5.17%K -13.12%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-04 10:05
Bovada2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -1.87%E -1.06%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-04 10:04
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -2.43%E -1.38%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-04 10:00
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.98%E -1.70%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-04 10:04
MyBookie.ag2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.98%E -1.70%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-04 10:04
Dabble (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.98%E -1.70%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-04 10:05
TAB2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.98%E -1.70%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-04 10:05
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.54%E -2.03%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-04 10:00
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.54%E -2.03%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-04 10:00
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.54%E -2.03%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-04 10:00
betfred_uk2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.09%E -2.37%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 10:00
PlayUp2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.65%E -2.70%K -6.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-04 10:05
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.20%E -3.04%K -7.32%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-04 10:03
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.20%E -3.04%K -7.32%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-04 10:02
BetAnything2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.20%E -3.04%K -7.32%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-04 10:00
BetUS2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.20%E -3.04%K -7.32%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-04 10:05
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.75%E -3.39%K -8.22%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-04 09:59
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.42%E -4.44%K -11.07%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-04 10:05
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.42%E -4.44%K -11.07%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-04 06:20
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.42%E -4.44%K -11.07%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-04 10:05
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.42%E -4.44%K -11.07%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-04 10:05
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.42%E -4.44%K -11.07%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-04 10:05
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.42%E -4.44%K -11.07%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-04 10:05
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.42%E -4.44%K -11.07%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-04 10:05
LeoVegas (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 43.94%EV -7.31%E -3.52%K -6.77%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.06%EV -9.64%E -5.91%K -15.29%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-04 10:05
NordicBet2.07I 48.31%NM 45.38%EV -7.76%E -3.75%K -7.25%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62%EV -4.65%E -2.70%K -6.45%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-04 10:00
Betsson2.07I 48.31%NM 45.38%EV -7.76%E -3.75%K -7.25%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62%EV -4.65%E -2.70%K -6.45%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-04 10:00
GTbets2.06I 48.54%NM 45.93%EV -8.20%E -3.98%K -7.74%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.07%EV -2.98%E -1.70%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-02 19:20
Fliff2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.65%E -4.22%K -8.24%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -8.53%E -5.17%K -13.12%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-04 10:05
Caesars2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -10.88%E -5.44%K -10.88%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -1.87%E -1.06%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-04 10:02
Betclic (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.65%EV -10.88%E -5.44%K -10.88%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.35%EV -6.86%E -4.09%K -10.09%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-04 10:05
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70%1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30%0.4%2026-07-04 10:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%0.7%2026-07-04 10:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%0.7%2026-07-04 10:05
Matchbook2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%1.0%2026-07-04 10:05
ProphetX2.25I 44.44%NM 43.89%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.11%1.3%2026-07-04 10:05
Smarkets2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%2.4%2026-07-04 10:05
Novig2.22I 45.05%NM 43.51%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.49%3.5%2026-07-04 10:05