Emma Navarro v Marta Kostyuk

Inicio: 2026-07-04 10:10 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

63 corredores (20 en el análisis )

45%

55%

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Emma Navarro (Local)

Predicción 44.56%2.24momio equitativo

EV +2.49%

Ventaja +1.08%

Kelly +1.92%

Crecimiento +0.048%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores

42.07%44.43%44.44%46.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Distribución de los momios

2.002.132.122.3050.00%46.93%47.17%43.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Marta Kostyuk (Visitante)

Predicción 55.44%1.80momio equitativo

EV -1.87%

Ventaja -1.06%

Kelly -2.43%

Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.77

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores

53.05%55.57%55.56%57.93%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Distribución de los momios

1.631.701.681.7761.35%58.93%59.52%56.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

Corredor	Local ▼	Visitante	Margen	Actualizado
Pinnacle	2.30I 43.48%NM 42.36%EV +2.49%E +1.08%K +1.92%G +0.048%	1.69I 59.17%NM 57.64%EV -6.31%E -3.73%K -9.14%G +0.000%	2.6%	2026-07-04 09:55
BetOnline.ag	2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV +2.49%E +1.08%K +1.92%G +0.048%	1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -7.42%E -4.44%K -11.07%G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-07-04 09:35
Coolbet	2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV -0.628%E -0.281%K -0.510%G +0.000%	1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV -4.65%E -2.70%K -6.45%G +0.000%	3.0%	2026-07-04 09:49
FanDuel	2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -1.07%E -0.483%K -0.880%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -6.86%E -4.09%K -10.09%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-07-04 10:05
SportsBet	2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -1.52%E -0.687%K -1.26%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -7.42%E -4.44%K -11.07%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-07-04 10:05
Paddy Power	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.96%E -0.893%K -1.64%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.42%E -4.44%K -11.07%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-07-04 09:05
Sky Bet	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.96%E -0.893%K -1.64%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.42%E -4.44%K -11.07%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-07-04 09:05
William Hill	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.96%E -0.893%K -1.64%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.42%E -4.44%K -11.07%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-07-04 09:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.96%E -0.893%K -1.64%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.42%E -4.44%K -11.07%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-07-04 09:05
ReBet	2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -3.30%E -1.52%K -2.82%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -4.09%E -2.37%K -5.60%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-07-04 08:45
BetRivers	2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -3.30%E -1.52%K -2.82%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -6.86%E -4.09%K -10.09%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-07-04 09:35
NetBet (FR)	2.17I 46.08%NM 43.19%EV -3.30%E -1.52%K -2.82%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 56.81%EV -8.53%E -5.17%K -13.12%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-07-04 10:00
DraftKings	2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -3.75%E -1.73%K -3.23%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -6.86%E -4.09%K -10.09%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-07-04 10:05
Unibet (SE)	2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -3.75%E -1.73%K -3.23%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -6.86%E -4.09%K -10.09%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-07-04 10:05
Unibet (NL)	2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -3.75%E -1.73%K -3.23%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -6.86%E -4.09%K -10.09%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-07-04 10:05
Casumo	2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -3.75%E -1.73%K -3.23%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -6.86%E -4.09%K -10.09%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-07-04 10:05
Unibet	2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -3.75%E -1.73%K -3.23%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -6.86%E -4.09%K -10.09%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-07-04 10:05
betPARX	2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -3.75%E -1.73%K -3.23%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -6.86%E -4.09%K -10.09%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-07-04 10:05
ATG (SE)	2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -3.75%E -1.73%K -3.23%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -6.86%E -4.09%K -10.09%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-07-04 10:05
Svenska Spel	2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -3.75%E -1.73%K -3.23%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -6.86%E -4.09%K -10.09%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-07-04 10:05
BoyleSports	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.19%E -1.95%K -3.65%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.09%E -2.37%K -5.60%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-07-04 10:05
LeoVegas	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.19%E -1.95%K -3.65%G +0.000%	1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.65%E -2.70%K -6.45%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-07-04 10:00
Hard Rock Bet	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.19%E -1.95%K -3.65%G +0.000%	1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.31%E -3.73%K -9.14%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-07-03 15:20
Neds	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -4.19%E -1.95%K -3.65%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.86%E -4.09%K -10.09%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-07-04 09:00
Ladbrokes (AU)	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -4.19%E -1.95%K -3.65%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.86%E -4.09%K -10.09%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-07-04 09:00
Grosvenor	2.14I 46.73%NM 43.83%EV -4.64%E -2.17%K -4.07%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.17%EV -7.42%E -4.44%K -11.07%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-07-04 10:05
TABtouch	2.14I 46.73%NM 43.83%EV -4.64%E -2.17%K -4.07%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.17%EV -7.42%E -4.44%K -11.07%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-07-04 10:05
Unibet (UK)	2.13I 46.95%NM 45.24%EV -5.08%E -2.39%K -4.50%G +0.000%	1.76I 56.82%NM 54.76%EV -2.43%E -1.38%K -3.20%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-07-04 10:00
1xBet	2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -5.53%E -2.61%K -4.94%G +0.000%	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.54%E -2.03%K -4.78%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-07-04 10:00
PMU (FR)	2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -5.53%E -2.61%K -4.94%G +0.000%	1.66I 60.24%NM 56.08%EV -7.97%E -4.80%K -12.08%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-07-04 10:05
LiveScore Bet	2.12I 47.17%NM 43.77%EV -5.53%E -2.61%K -4.94%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 56.23%EV -8.53%E -5.17%K -13.12%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-07-04 10:05
Virgin Bet	2.12I 47.17%NM 43.77%EV -5.53%E -2.61%K -4.94%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 56.23%EV -8.53%E -5.17%K -13.12%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-07-04 10:05
Bally Bet	2.12I 47.17%NM 43.77%EV -5.53%E -2.61%K -4.94%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 56.23%EV -8.53%E -5.17%K -13.12%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-07-04 10:05
Bovada	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%	1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -1.87%E -1.06%K -2.43%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-07-04 10:04
Winamax (DE)	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%	1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -2.43%E -1.38%K -3.20%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-07-04 10:00
Betway	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.98%E -1.70%K -3.98%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-07-04 10:04
MyBookie.ag	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.98%E -1.70%K -3.98%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-07-04 10:04
Dabble (AU)	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.98%E -1.70%K -3.98%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-07-04 10:05
TAB	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.98%E -1.70%K -3.98%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-07-04 10:05
Fanatics	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.54%E -2.03%K -4.78%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-07-04 10:00
Winamax (FR)	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.54%E -2.03%K -4.78%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-07-04 10:00
theScore Bet	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.54%E -2.03%K -4.78%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-07-04 10:00
betfred_uk	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.09%E -2.37%K -5.60%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-07-04 10:00
PlayUp	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%	1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.65%E -2.70%K -6.45%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-07-04 10:05
Betr (AU)	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.20%E -3.04%K -7.32%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-07-04 10:03
PointsBet (AU)	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.20%E -3.04%K -7.32%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-07-04 10:02
BetAnything	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.20%E -3.04%K -7.32%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-07-04 10:00
BetUS	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.20%E -3.04%K -7.32%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-07-04 10:05
Everygame	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.75%E -3.39%K -8.22%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-07-04 09:59
888sport	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.42%E -4.44%K -11.07%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-07-04 10:05
Bet Victor	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.42%E -4.44%K -11.07%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-07-04 06:20
Ladbrokes (UK)	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.42%E -4.44%K -11.07%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-07-04 10:05
BetMGM	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.42%E -4.44%K -11.07%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-07-04 10:05
Coral	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.42%E -4.44%K -11.07%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-07-04 10:05
Mr Green (SE)	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.42%E -4.44%K -11.07%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-07-04 10:05
888sport (SE)	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.42%E -4.44%K -11.07%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-07-04 10:05
LeoVegas (SE)	2.08I 48.08%NM 43.94%EV -7.31%E -3.52%K -6.77%G +0.000%	1.63I 61.35%NM 56.06%EV -9.64%E -5.91%K -15.29%G +0.000%	9.4%	2026-07-04 10:05
NordicBet	2.07I 48.31%NM 45.38%EV -7.76%E -3.75%K -7.25%G +0.000%	1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62%EV -4.65%E -2.70%K -6.45%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-07-04 10:00
Betsson	2.07I 48.31%NM 45.38%EV -7.76%E -3.75%K -7.25%G +0.000%	1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62%EV -4.65%E -2.70%K -6.45%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-07-04 10:00
GTbets	2.06I 48.54%NM 45.93%EV -8.20%E -3.98%K -7.74%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 54.07%EV -2.98%E -1.70%K -3.98%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-07-02 19:20
Fliff	2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.65%E -4.22%K -8.24%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -8.53%E -5.17%K -13.12%G +0.000%	9.4%	2026-07-04 10:05
Caesars	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -10.88%E -5.44%K -10.88%G +0.000%	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -1.87%E -1.06%K -2.43%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-07-04 10:02
Betclic (FR)	2.00I 50.00%NM 45.65%EV -10.88%E -5.44%K -10.88%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 54.35%EV -6.86%E -4.09%K -10.09%G +0.000%	9.5%	2026-07-04 10:05

Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

Corredor	Local	Visitante	Margen ▲	Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)	2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70%	1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30%	0.4%	2026-07-04 10:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)	2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%	1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%	0.7%	2026-07-04 10:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)	2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%	1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%	0.7%	2026-07-04 10:05
Matchbook	2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%	1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%	1.0%	2026-07-04 10:05
ProphetX	2.25I 44.44%NM 43.89%	1.76I 56.82%NM 56.11%	1.3%	2026-07-04 10:05
Smarkets	2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%	1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%	2.4%	2026-07-04 10:05
Novig	2.22I 45.05%NM 43.51%	1.71I 58.48%NM 56.49%	3.5%	2026-07-04 10:05