A Escola das Odds

Emma Navarro v Marta Kostyuk

Início: 2026-07-04 10:10 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

63 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Emma Navarro (Local)

Previsão 44.56%2.24odd justa
EV +2.49%
Vantagem +1.08%
Kelly +1.92%
Crescimento +0.048%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
42.07%44.43%44.44%46.95%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.002.132.122.3050.00%46.93%47.17%43.48%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Marta Kostyuk (Visitante)

Previsão 55.44%1.80odd justa
EV -1.87%
Vantagem -1.06%
Kelly -2.43%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.77

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
53.05%55.57%55.56%57.93%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.631.701.681.7761.35%58.93%59.52%56.50%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (63 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Pinnacle2.30I 43.48%NM 42.36%EV +2.49%E +1.08%K +1.92%G +0.048%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.64%EV -6.31%E -3.73%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-04 09:55
BetOnline.ag2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV +2.49%E +1.08%K +1.92%G +0.048%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -7.42%E -4.44%K -11.07%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-04 09:35
Coolbet2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV -0.628%E -0.281%K -0.510%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV -4.65%E -2.70%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-04 09:49
FanDuel2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -1.07%E -0.483%K -0.880%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -6.86%E -4.09%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-04 10:05
SportsBet2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -1.52%E -0.687%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -7.42%E -4.44%K -11.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-04 10:05
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.96%E -0.893%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.42%E -4.44%K -11.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-04 09:05
Sky Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.96%E -0.893%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.42%E -4.44%K -11.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-04 09:05
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.96%E -0.893%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.42%E -4.44%K -11.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-04 09:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.96%E -0.893%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.42%E -4.44%K -11.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-04 09:05
ReBet2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -3.30%E -1.52%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -4.09%E -2.37%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-04 08:45
BetRivers2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -3.30%E -1.52%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -6.86%E -4.09%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 09:35
NetBet (FR)2.17I 46.08%NM 43.19%EV -3.30%E -1.52%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.81%EV -8.53%E -5.17%K -13.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-04 10:00
DraftKings2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -3.75%E -1.73%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -6.86%E -4.09%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-04 10:05
Unibet (SE)2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -3.75%E -1.73%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -6.86%E -4.09%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-04 10:05
Unibet (NL)2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -3.75%E -1.73%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -6.86%E -4.09%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-04 10:05
Casumo2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -3.75%E -1.73%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -6.86%E -4.09%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-04 10:05
Unibet2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -3.75%E -1.73%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -6.86%E -4.09%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-04 10:05
betPARX2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -3.75%E -1.73%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -6.86%E -4.09%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-04 10:05
ATG (SE)2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -3.75%E -1.73%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -6.86%E -4.09%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-04 10:05
Svenska Spel2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -3.75%E -1.73%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -6.86%E -4.09%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-04 10:05
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.19%E -1.95%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.09%E -2.37%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 10:05
LeoVegas2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.19%E -1.95%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.65%E -2.70%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-04 10:00
Hard Rock Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.19%E -1.95%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.31%E -3.73%K -9.14%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-03 15:20
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -4.19%E -1.95%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.86%E -4.09%K -10.09%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-04 09:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -4.19%E -1.95%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.86%E -4.09%K -10.09%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-04 09:00
Grosvenor2.14I 46.73%NM 43.83%EV -4.64%E -2.17%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.17%EV -7.42%E -4.44%K -11.07%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-04 10:05
TABtouch2.14I 46.73%NM 43.83%EV -4.64%E -2.17%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.17%EV -7.42%E -4.44%K -11.07%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-04 10:05
Unibet (UK)2.13I 46.95%NM 45.24%EV -5.08%E -2.39%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.76%EV -2.43%E -1.38%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-04 10:00
1xBet2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -5.53%E -2.61%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.54%E -2.03%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-04 10:00
PMU (FR)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -5.53%E -2.61%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.08%EV -7.97%E -4.80%K -12.08%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-04 10:05
LiveScore Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.77%EV -5.53%E -2.61%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.23%EV -8.53%E -5.17%K -13.12%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-04 10:05
Virgin Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.77%EV -5.53%E -2.61%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.23%EV -8.53%E -5.17%K -13.12%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-04 10:05
Bally Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.77%EV -5.53%E -2.61%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.23%EV -8.53%E -5.17%K -13.12%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-04 10:05
Bovada2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -1.87%E -1.06%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-04 10:04
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -2.43%E -1.38%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-04 10:00
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.98%E -1.70%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-04 10:04
MyBookie.ag2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.98%E -1.70%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-04 10:04
Dabble (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.98%E -1.70%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-04 10:05
TAB2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.98%E -1.70%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-04 10:05
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.54%E -2.03%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-04 10:00
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.54%E -2.03%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-04 10:00
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.54%E -2.03%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-04 10:00
betfred_uk2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.09%E -2.37%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 10:00
PlayUp2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.65%E -2.70%K -6.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-04 10:05
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.20%E -3.04%K -7.32%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-04 10:03
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.20%E -3.04%K -7.32%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-04 10:02
BetAnything2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.20%E -3.04%K -7.32%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-04 10:00
BetUS2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.20%E -3.04%K -7.32%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-04 10:05
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.75%E -3.39%K -8.22%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-04 09:59
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.42%E -4.44%K -11.07%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-04 10:05
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.42%E -4.44%K -11.07%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-04 06:20
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.42%E -4.44%K -11.07%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-04 10:05
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.42%E -4.44%K -11.07%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-04 10:05
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.42%E -4.44%K -11.07%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-04 10:05
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.42%E -4.44%K -11.07%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-04 10:05
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.42%E -4.44%K -11.07%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-04 10:05
LeoVegas (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 43.94%EV -7.31%E -3.52%K -6.77%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.06%EV -9.64%E -5.91%K -15.29%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-04 10:05
NordicBet2.07I 48.31%NM 45.38%EV -7.76%E -3.75%K -7.25%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62%EV -4.65%E -2.70%K -6.45%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-04 10:00
Betsson2.07I 48.31%NM 45.38%EV -7.76%E -3.75%K -7.25%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62%EV -4.65%E -2.70%K -6.45%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-04 10:00
GTbets2.06I 48.54%NM 45.93%EV -8.20%E -3.98%K -7.74%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.07%EV -2.98%E -1.70%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-02 19:20
Fliff2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.65%E -4.22%K -8.24%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -8.53%E -5.17%K -13.12%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-04 10:05
Caesars2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -10.88%E -5.44%K -10.88%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -1.87%E -1.06%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-04 10:02
Betclic (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.65%EV -10.88%E -5.44%K -10.88%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.35%EV -6.86%E -4.09%K -10.09%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-04 10:05
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70%1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30%0.4%2026-07-04 10:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%0.7%2026-07-04 10:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%0.7%2026-07-04 10:05
Matchbook2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%1.0%2026-07-04 10:05
ProphetX2.25I 44.44%NM 43.89%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.11%1.3%2026-07-04 10:05
Smarkets2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%2.4%2026-07-04 10:05
Novig2.22I 45.05%NM 43.51%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.49%3.5%2026-07-04 10:05