مدرسة الاحتمالات

Emma Navarro v Marta Kostyuk

البداية: 2026-07-04 10:10 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

63 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Emma Navarro (المضيف)

التنبؤ 44.56%2.24السعر العادل
EV +2.49%
الأفضلية +1.08%
Kelly +1.92%
النمو +0.048%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.30

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
42.07%44.43%44.44%46.95%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.002.132.122.3050.00%46.93%47.17%43.48%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Marta Kostyuk (الضيف)

التنبؤ 55.44%1.80السعر العادل
EV -1.87%
الأفضلية -1.06%
Kelly -2.43%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.77

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
53.05%55.57%55.56%57.93%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.631.701.681.7761.35%58.93%59.52%56.50%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (63 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle2.30I 43.48%NM 42.36%EV +2.49%E +1.08%K +1.92%G +0.048%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.64%EV -6.31%E -3.73%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-04 09:55
BetOnline.ag2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV +2.49%E +1.08%K +1.92%G +0.048%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -7.42%E -4.44%K -11.07%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-04 09:35
Coolbet2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV -0.628%E -0.281%K -0.510%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV -4.65%E -2.70%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-04 09:49
FanDuel2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -1.07%E -0.483%K -0.880%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -6.86%E -4.09%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-04 10:05
SportsBet2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -1.52%E -0.687%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -7.42%E -4.44%K -11.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-04 10:05
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.96%E -0.893%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.42%E -4.44%K -11.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-04 09:05
Sky Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.96%E -0.893%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.42%E -4.44%K -11.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-04 09:05
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.96%E -0.893%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.42%E -4.44%K -11.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-04 09:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.96%E -0.893%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.42%E -4.44%K -11.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-04 09:05
ReBet2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -3.30%E -1.52%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -4.09%E -2.37%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-04 08:45
BetRivers2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -3.30%E -1.52%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -6.86%E -4.09%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 09:35
NetBet (FR)2.17I 46.08%NM 43.19%EV -3.30%E -1.52%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.81%EV -8.53%E -5.17%K -13.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-04 10:00
DraftKings2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -3.75%E -1.73%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -6.86%E -4.09%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-04 10:05
Unibet (SE)2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -3.75%E -1.73%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -6.86%E -4.09%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-04 10:05
Unibet (NL)2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -3.75%E -1.73%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -6.86%E -4.09%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-04 10:05
Casumo2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -3.75%E -1.73%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -6.86%E -4.09%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-04 10:05
Unibet2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -3.75%E -1.73%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -6.86%E -4.09%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-04 10:05
betPARX2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -3.75%E -1.73%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -6.86%E -4.09%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-04 10:05
ATG (SE)2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -3.75%E -1.73%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -6.86%E -4.09%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-04 10:05
Svenska Spel2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -3.75%E -1.73%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -6.86%E -4.09%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-04 10:05
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.19%E -1.95%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.09%E -2.37%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 10:05
LeoVegas2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.19%E -1.95%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.65%E -2.70%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-04 10:00
Hard Rock Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.19%E -1.95%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.31%E -3.73%K -9.14%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-03 15:20
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -4.19%E -1.95%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.86%E -4.09%K -10.09%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-04 09:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -4.19%E -1.95%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.86%E -4.09%K -10.09%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-04 09:00
Grosvenor2.14I 46.73%NM 43.83%EV -4.64%E -2.17%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.17%EV -7.42%E -4.44%K -11.07%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-04 10:05
TABtouch2.14I 46.73%NM 43.83%EV -4.64%E -2.17%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.17%EV -7.42%E -4.44%K -11.07%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-04 10:05
Unibet (UK)2.13I 46.95%NM 45.24%EV -5.08%E -2.39%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.76%EV -2.43%E -1.38%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-04 10:00
1xBet2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -5.53%E -2.61%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.54%E -2.03%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-04 10:00
PMU (FR)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -5.53%E -2.61%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.08%EV -7.97%E -4.80%K -12.08%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-04 10:05
LiveScore Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.77%EV -5.53%E -2.61%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.23%EV -8.53%E -5.17%K -13.12%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-04 10:05
Virgin Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.77%EV -5.53%E -2.61%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.23%EV -8.53%E -5.17%K -13.12%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-04 10:05
Bally Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.77%EV -5.53%E -2.61%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.23%EV -8.53%E -5.17%K -13.12%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-04 10:05
Bovada2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -1.87%E -1.06%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-04 10:04
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -2.43%E -1.38%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-04 10:00
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.98%E -1.70%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-04 10:04
MyBookie.ag2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.98%E -1.70%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-04 10:04
Dabble (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.98%E -1.70%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-04 10:05
TAB2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.98%E -1.70%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-04 10:05
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.54%E -2.03%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-04 10:00
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.54%E -2.03%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-04 10:00
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.54%E -2.03%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-04 10:00
betfred_uk2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.09%E -2.37%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 10:00
PlayUp2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.65%E -2.70%K -6.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-04 10:05
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.20%E -3.04%K -7.32%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-04 10:03
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.20%E -3.04%K -7.32%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-04 10:02
BetAnything2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.20%E -3.04%K -7.32%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-04 10:00
BetUS2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.20%E -3.04%K -7.32%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-04 10:05
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.75%E -3.39%K -8.22%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-04 09:59
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.42%E -4.44%K -11.07%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-04 10:05
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.42%E -4.44%K -11.07%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-04 06:20
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.42%E -4.44%K -11.07%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-04 10:05
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.42%E -4.44%K -11.07%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-04 10:05
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.42%E -4.44%K -11.07%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-04 10:05
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.42%E -4.44%K -11.07%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-04 10:05
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.42%E -4.44%K -11.07%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-04 10:05
LeoVegas (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 43.94%EV -7.31%E -3.52%K -6.77%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.06%EV -9.64%E -5.91%K -15.29%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-04 10:05
NordicBet2.07I 48.31%NM 45.38%EV -7.76%E -3.75%K -7.25%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62%EV -4.65%E -2.70%K -6.45%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-04 10:00
Betsson2.07I 48.31%NM 45.38%EV -7.76%E -3.75%K -7.25%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62%EV -4.65%E -2.70%K -6.45%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-04 10:00
GTbets2.06I 48.54%NM 45.93%EV -8.20%E -3.98%K -7.74%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.07%EV -2.98%E -1.70%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-02 19:20
Fliff2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.65%E -4.22%K -8.24%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -8.53%E -5.17%K -13.12%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-04 10:05
Caesars2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -10.88%E -5.44%K -10.88%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -1.87%E -1.06%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-04 10:02
Betclic (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.65%EV -10.88%E -5.44%K -10.88%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.35%EV -6.86%E -4.09%K -10.09%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-04 10:05
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (7)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70%1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30%0.4%2026-07-04 10:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%0.7%2026-07-04 10:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%0.7%2026-07-04 10:05
Matchbook2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%1.0%2026-07-04 10:05
ProphetX2.25I 44.44%NM 43.89%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.11%1.3%2026-07-04 10:05
Smarkets2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%2.4%2026-07-04 10:05
Novig2.22I 45.05%NM 43.51%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.49%3.5%2026-07-04 10:05