StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Elise Mertens v Elena Rybakina

Matchstart: 2026-07-04 12:10 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

66 spelbolag (22 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Elise Mertens (Hemma)

Prognos 21.18%4.72rättvist odds
EV +5.91%
Fördel +1.18%
Kelly +1.48%
Tillväxt +0.087%

med antagandet om högsta odds 5.00

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
19.35%21.32%21.08%24.75%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.804.394.405.0026.32%22.78%22.73%20.00%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Elena Rybakina (Borta)

Prognos 78.82%1.27rättvist odds
EV -0.690%
Fördel -0.548%
Kelly -2.66%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.26

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
75.25%78.68%78.92%80.65%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.151.201.201.2686.96%83.23%83.33%79.37%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Elise Mertens (Hemma): 21.18%; Elena Rybakina (Borta): 78.82%. För Elise Mertens (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 4.72. 5 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 5.00, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +5.91%.

Spelbolagsodds (66 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
Winamax (DE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.35%EV +5.91%E +1.18%K +1.48%G +0.087%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.65%EV -5.42%E -4.52%K -27.10%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-04 12:05
Unibet (UK)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV +3.80%E +0.775%K +0.973%G +0.037%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.33%EV -5.42%E -4.52%K -27.10%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-04 12:05
Fanatics🎯4.85I 20.62%NM 19.70%EV +2.74%E +0.564%K +0.711%G +0.019%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.30%EV -6.21%E -5.22%K -32.67%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-04 12:05
DraftKings🎯4.78I 20.92%NM 19.93%EV +1.25%E +0.262%K +0.332%G +0.004%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.07%EV -6.21%E -5.22%K -32.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-04 12:05
FanDuel🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV +0.618%E +0.130%K +0.165%G +0.001%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -5.42%E -4.52%K -27.10%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-04 12:04
MyBookie.ag🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -0.441%E -0.094%K -0.119%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -5.42%E -4.52%K -27.10%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-04 12:04
SportsBet🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -0.441%E -0.094%K -0.119%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.21%E -5.22%K -32.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-04 12:05
Winamax (FR)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -0.441%E -0.094%K -0.119%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.21%E -5.22%K -32.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-04 12:05
theScore Bet🎯4.65I 21.51%NM 20.38%EV -1.50%E -0.323%K -0.411%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.62%EV -6.21%E -5.22%K -32.67%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-04 12:05
NordicBet🎯4.65I 21.51%NM 20.24%EV -1.50%E -0.323%K -0.411%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.76%EV -7.00%E -5.93%K -38.87%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-04 12:05
Betsson🎯4.65I 21.51%NM 20.24%EV -1.50%E -0.323%K -0.411%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.76%EV -7.00%E -5.93%K -38.87%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-04 12:05
BetRivers🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -2.56%E -0.556%K -0.711%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.42%E -4.52%K -27.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-04 12:00
Tipico (DE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -2.56%E -0.556%K -0.711%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -7.00%E -5.93%K -38.87%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-04 09:15
1xBet🎯4.54I 22.03%NM 21.04%EV -3.83%E -0.844%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.96%EV -4.63%E -3.83%K -22.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-04 11:55
Coolbet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60%EV -4.68%E -1.04%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 78.40%EV -2.27%E -1.83%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-04 11:49
ReBet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -4.68%E -1.04%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.84%E -3.15%K -17.47%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-04 11:15
Bovada🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -4.68%E -1.04%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.84%E -3.15%K -17.47%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-03 10:35
Betway🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.68%E -1.04%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.42%E -4.52%K -27.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 12:05
Sky Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.68%E -1.04%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.42%E -4.52%K -27.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-03 19:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.68%E -1.04%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.42%E -4.52%K -27.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 12:05
BoyleSports🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.68%E -1.04%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.42%E -4.52%K -27.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 12:05
Casumo🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -4.68%E -1.04%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -6.21%E -5.22%K -32.67%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-04 12:05
Unibet (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -4.68%E -1.04%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -6.21%E -5.22%K -32.67%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-04 12:05
Unibet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -4.68%E -1.04%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -6.21%E -5.22%K -32.67%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-04 12:05
Unibet (NL)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -4.68%E -1.04%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -6.21%E -5.22%K -32.67%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-04 12:05
Svenska Spel🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -4.68%E -1.04%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -6.21%E -5.22%K -32.67%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-04 12:05
betPARX🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -4.68%E -1.04%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -6.21%E -5.22%K -32.67%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-04 12:05
ATG (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -4.68%E -1.04%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -6.21%E -5.22%K -32.67%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-04 12:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -4.68%E -1.04%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -6.21%E -5.22%K -32.67%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-04 12:05
Paddy Power🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -4.68%E -1.04%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.78%E -6.65%K -45.79%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-04 12:05
BetOnline.ag🎯4.42I 22.62%NM 21.77%EV -6.37%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 78.23%EV -3.05%E -2.48%K -13.28%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-04 11:50
Unibet (FR)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -6.80%E -1.54%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.63%E -3.83%K -22.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 11:15
NetBet (FR)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -6.80%E -1.54%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.42%E -4.52%K -27.10%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-04 11:15
TABtouch🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -6.80%E -1.54%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -7.00%E -5.93%K -38.87%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-04 12:05
PMU (FR)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -6.80%E -1.54%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -7.00%E -5.93%K -38.87%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-04 12:05
Grosvenor🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -6.80%E -1.54%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -7.00%E -5.93%K -38.87%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-04 12:05
Pinnacle🎯4.38I 22.83%NM 22.34%EV -7.22%E -1.65%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 77.66%EV -0.690%E -0.548%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-04 12:00
LiveScore Bet🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.20%EV -7.85%E -1.81%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 78.80%EV -7.78%E -6.65%K -45.79%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-04 12:05
Virgin Bet🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.20%EV -7.85%E -1.81%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 78.80%EV -7.78%E -6.65%K -45.79%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-04 12:05
Bally Bet🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.20%EV -7.85%E -1.81%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 78.80%EV -7.78%E -6.65%K -45.79%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-04 12:05
Fliff🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.20%EV -7.85%E -1.81%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 78.80%EV -7.78%E -6.65%K -45.79%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-04 12:05
GTbets🎯4.34I 23.04%NM 21.23%EV -8.07%E -1.86%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 78.77%EV -7.78%E -6.65%K -45.79%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-03 09:40
betfred_uk🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -8.28%E -1.91%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.42%E -4.52%K -27.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-04 00:30
BetAnything🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -8.91%E -2.07%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -3.84%E -3.15%K -17.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 11:55
Betr (AU)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -8.91%E -2.07%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -4.63%E -3.83%K -22.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-04 10:45
Betclic (FR)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.10%EV -8.91%E -2.07%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 78.90%EV -9.36%E -8.14%K -62.40%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-04 12:05
Marathon Bet🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -9.97%E -2.35%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -3.84%E -3.15%K -17.47%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-04 06:20
Dabble (AU)🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -9.97%E -2.35%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -3.84%E -3.15%K -17.47%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-04 11:50
PlayUp🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -9.97%E -2.35%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -3.84%E -3.15%K -17.47%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-04 12:05
BetUS🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -9.97%E -2.35%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -3.84%E -3.15%K -17.47%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-03 13:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -9.97%E -2.35%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -4.63%E -3.83%K -22.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-04 12:00
LeoVegas🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.73%EV -9.97%E -2.35%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.27%EV -7.00%E -5.93%K -38.87%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-04 12:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.44%EV -9.97%E -2.35%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 78.56%EV -8.57%E -7.39%K -53.58%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-04 12:05
William Hill🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -11.03%E -2.63%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.84%E -3.15%K -17.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-03 11:05
Coral🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -11.03%E -2.63%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.42%E -4.52%K -27.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-04 12:05
BetMGM🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -13.15%E -3.21%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -4.63%E -3.83%K -22.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-04 12:05
Neds🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -15.27%E -3.82%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -2.27%E -1.83%K -9.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-03 19:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -15.27%E -3.82%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -2.27%E -1.83%K -9.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-03 19:19
888sport🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -15.27%E -3.82%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -3.84%E -3.15%K -17.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-04 12:05
Bet Victor🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -15.27%E -3.82%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -3.84%E -3.15%K -17.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-04 12:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -15.27%E -3.82%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -3.84%E -3.15%K -17.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-03 19:25
888sport (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -15.27%E -3.82%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -3.84%E -3.15%K -17.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-04 12:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -15.27%E -3.82%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -3.84%E -3.15%K -17.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-04 12:05
Caesars🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -15.27%E -3.82%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -3.84%E -3.15%K -17.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-03 09:27
TAB🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -19.51%E -5.13%K -6.97%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -1.48%E -1.18%K -5.91%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-04 12:05
Everygame🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -19.51%E -5.13%K -6.97%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -1.48%E -1.18%K -5.91%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-04 11:55
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (7)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
ProphetX4.80I 20.83%NM 20.79%1.26I 79.37%NM 79.21%0.2%2026-07-04 12:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.90I 20.41%NM 20.33%1.25I 80.00%NM 79.67%0.4%2026-07-04 12:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13%0.6%2026-07-04 12:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66%1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34%0.8%2026-07-04 11:15
Matchbook4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20%1.24I 80.65%NM 79.80%1.1%2026-07-04 12:05
Smarkets4.80I 20.83%NM 20.27%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.73%2.8%2026-07-04 12:05
Novig4.55I 21.98%NM 21.14%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.86%3.9%2026-07-04 12:05