Язык:Русский
Elise Mertens v Elena Rybakina
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Elise Mertens (Хозяева)
Прогноз 21.18%4.72справедливый коэффициент
EV +5.91%
Преимущество +1.18%
Kelly +1.48%
Рост +0.087%
при максимальном коэффициенте 5.00
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
19.35%21.32%21.08%24.75%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.804.394.405.0026.32%22.78%22.73%20.00%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Elena Rybakina (Гости)
Прогноз 78.82%1.27справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.690%
Преимущество -0.548%
Kelly -2.66%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.26
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
75.25%78.68%78.92%80.65%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.151.201.201.2686.96%83.23%83.33%79.37%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Elise Mertens (Хозяева): 21.18%; Elena Rybakina (Гости): 78.82%. Для исхода «Elise Mertens (Хозяева)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 4.72. 5 букмекеров предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 5.00, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +5.91%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (66 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.35%EV +5.91%E +1.18%K +1.48%G +0.087% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.65%EV -5.42%E -4.52%K -27.10%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-07-04 12:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV +3.80%E +0.775%K +0.973%G +0.037% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.33%EV -5.42%E -4.52%K -27.10%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-04 12:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.70%EV +2.74%E +0.564%K +0.711%G +0.019% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.30%EV -6.21%E -5.22%K -32.67%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-04 12:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.78I 20.92%NM 19.93%EV +1.25%E +0.262%K +0.332%G +0.004% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.07%EV -6.21%E -5.22%K -32.67%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-04 12:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV +0.618%E +0.130%K +0.165%G +0.001% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -5.42%E -4.52%K -27.10%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-04 12:04 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -0.441%E -0.094%K -0.119%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -5.42%E -4.52%K -27.10%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-04 12:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -0.441%E -0.094%K -0.119%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.21%E -5.22%K -32.67%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-04 12:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -0.441%E -0.094%K -0.119%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.21%E -5.22%K -32.67%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-04 12:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.38%EV -1.50%E -0.323%K -0.411%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.62%EV -6.21%E -5.22%K -32.67%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-04 12:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.24%EV -1.50%E -0.323%K -0.411%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.76%EV -7.00%E -5.93%K -38.87%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-04 12:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.24%EV -1.50%E -0.323%K -0.411%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.76%EV -7.00%E -5.93%K -38.87%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-04 12:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -2.56%E -0.556%K -0.711%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.42%E -4.52%K -27.10%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-04 12:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -2.56%E -0.556%K -0.711%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -7.00%E -5.93%K -38.87%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-04 09:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.54I 22.03%NM 21.04%EV -3.83%E -0.844%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.96%EV -4.63%E -3.83%K -22.05%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-04 11:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60%EV -4.68%E -1.04%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.40%EV -2.27%E -1.83%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-07-04 11:49 |
| ReBet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -4.68%E -1.04%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.84%E -3.15%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-04 11:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -4.68%E -1.04%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.84%E -3.15%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-03 10:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.68%E -1.04%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.42%E -4.52%K -27.10%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-04 12:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.68%E -1.04%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.42%E -4.52%K -27.10%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-03 19:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.68%E -1.04%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.42%E -4.52%K -27.10%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-04 12:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.68%E -1.04%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.42%E -4.52%K -27.10%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-04 12:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -4.68%E -1.04%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -6.21%E -5.22%K -32.67%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-04 12:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -4.68%E -1.04%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -6.21%E -5.22%K -32.67%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-04 12:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -4.68%E -1.04%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -6.21%E -5.22%K -32.67%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-04 12:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -4.68%E -1.04%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -6.21%E -5.22%K -32.67%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-04 12:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -4.68%E -1.04%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -6.21%E -5.22%K -32.67%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-04 12:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -4.68%E -1.04%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -6.21%E -5.22%K -32.67%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-04 12:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -4.68%E -1.04%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -6.21%E -5.22%K -32.67%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-04 12:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -4.68%E -1.04%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -6.21%E -5.22%K -32.67%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-04 12:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -4.68%E -1.04%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.78%E -6.65%K -45.79%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-04 12:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.42I 22.62%NM 21.77%EV -6.37%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.23%EV -3.05%E -2.48%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-04 11:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -6.80%E -1.54%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.63%E -3.83%K -22.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-04 11:15 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -6.80%E -1.54%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.42%E -4.52%K -27.10%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-04 11:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -6.80%E -1.54%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -7.00%E -5.93%K -38.87%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-04 12:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -6.80%E -1.54%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -7.00%E -5.93%K -38.87%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-04 12:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -6.80%E -1.54%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -7.00%E -5.93%K -38.87%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-04 12:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.38I 22.83%NM 22.34%EV -7.22%E -1.65%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 77.66%EV -0.690%E -0.548%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-07-04 12:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.20%EV -7.85%E -1.81%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.80%EV -7.78%E -6.65%K -45.79%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-04 12:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.20%EV -7.85%E -1.81%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.80%EV -7.78%E -6.65%K -45.79%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-04 12:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.20%EV -7.85%E -1.81%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.80%EV -7.78%E -6.65%K -45.79%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-04 12:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.20%EV -7.85%E -1.81%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.80%EV -7.78%E -6.65%K -45.79%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-04 12:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.34I 23.04%NM 21.23%EV -8.07%E -1.86%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.77%EV -7.78%E -6.65%K -45.79%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-03 09:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -8.28%E -1.91%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.42%E -4.52%K -27.10%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-04 00:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -8.91%E -2.07%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -3.84%E -3.15%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 11:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -8.91%E -2.07%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -4.63%E -3.83%K -22.05%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-04 10:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.10%EV -8.91%E -2.07%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 78.90%EV -9.36%E -8.14%K -62.40%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-07-04 12:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -9.97%E -2.35%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -3.84%E -3.15%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-04 06:20 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -9.97%E -2.35%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -3.84%E -3.15%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-04 11:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -9.97%E -2.35%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -3.84%E -3.15%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-04 12:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -9.97%E -2.35%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -3.84%E -3.15%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-03 13:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -9.97%E -2.35%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -4.63%E -3.83%K -22.05%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-04 12:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.73%EV -9.97%E -2.35%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.27%EV -7.00%E -5.93%K -38.87%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-04 12:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.44%EV -9.97%E -2.35%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 78.56%EV -8.57%E -7.39%K -53.58%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-04 12:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -11.03%E -2.63%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.84%E -3.15%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-03 11:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -11.03%E -2.63%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.42%E -4.52%K -27.10%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-04 12:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -13.15%E -3.21%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -4.63%E -3.83%K -22.05%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-04 12:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -15.27%E -3.82%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -2.27%E -1.83%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-03 19:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -15.27%E -3.82%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -2.27%E -1.83%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-03 19:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -15.27%E -3.82%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -3.84%E -3.15%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-04 12:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -15.27%E -3.82%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -3.84%E -3.15%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-04 12:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -15.27%E -3.82%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -3.84%E -3.15%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-03 19:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -15.27%E -3.82%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -3.84%E -3.15%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-04 12:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -15.27%E -3.82%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -3.84%E -3.15%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-04 12:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -15.27%E -3.82%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -3.84%E -3.15%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-03 09:27 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -19.51%E -5.13%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -1.48%E -1.18%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-04 12:05 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -19.51%E -5.13%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -1.48%E -1.18%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-04 11:55 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (7)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.79% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 79.21% | 0.2% | 2026-07-04 12:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.33% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.67% | 0.4% | 2026-07-04 12:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13% | 0.6% | 2026-07-04 12:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34% | 0.8% | 2026-07-04 11:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 79.80% | 1.1% | 2026-07-04 12:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.27% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.73% | 2.8% | 2026-07-04 12:05 |
| Novig◎ | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.14% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.86% | 3.9% | 2026-07-04 12:05 |