La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Elise Mertens v Elena Rybakina
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Elise Mertens (Local)
Predicción 21.18%4.72momio equitativo
EV +5.91%
Ventaja +1.18%
Kelly +1.48%
Crecimiento +0.087%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.35%21.32%21.08%24.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.804.394.405.0026.32%22.78%22.73%20.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Elena Rybakina (Visitante)
Predicción 78.82%1.27momio equitativo
EV -0.690%
Ventaja -0.548%
Kelly -2.66%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.26
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
75.25%78.68%78.92%80.65%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.151.201.201.2686.96%83.23%83.33%79.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (66 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.35%EV +5.91%E +1.18%K +1.48%G +0.087% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.65%EV -5.42%E -4.52%K -27.10%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-07-04 12:05 |
| Unibet (UK) | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV +3.80%E +0.775%K +0.973%G +0.037% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.33%EV -5.42%E -4.52%K -27.10%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-04 12:05 |
| Fanatics | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.70%EV +2.74%E +0.564%K +0.711%G +0.019% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.30%EV -6.21%E -5.22%K -32.67%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-04 12:05 |
| DraftKings | 4.78I 20.92%NM 19.93%EV +1.25%E +0.262%K +0.332%G +0.004% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.07%EV -6.21%E -5.22%K -32.67%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-04 12:05 |
| FanDuel | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV +0.618%E +0.130%K +0.165%G +0.001% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -5.42%E -4.52%K -27.10%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-04 12:04 |
| MyBookie.ag | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -0.441%E -0.094%K -0.119%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -5.42%E -4.52%K -27.10%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-04 12:04 |
| SportsBet | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -0.441%E -0.094%K -0.119%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.21%E -5.22%K -32.67%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-04 12:05 |
| Winamax (FR) | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -0.441%E -0.094%K -0.119%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.21%E -5.22%K -32.67%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-04 12:05 |
| theScore Bet | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.38%EV -1.50%E -0.323%K -0.411%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.62%EV -6.21%E -5.22%K -32.67%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-04 12:05 |
| NordicBet | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.24%EV -1.50%E -0.323%K -0.411%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.76%EV -7.00%E -5.93%K -38.87%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-04 12:05 |
| Betsson | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.24%EV -1.50%E -0.323%K -0.411%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.76%EV -7.00%E -5.93%K -38.87%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-04 12:05 |
| BetRivers | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -2.56%E -0.556%K -0.711%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.42%E -4.52%K -27.10%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-04 12:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -2.56%E -0.556%K -0.711%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -7.00%E -5.93%K -38.87%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-04 09:15 |
| 1xBet | 4.54I 22.03%NM 21.04%EV -3.83%E -0.844%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.96%EV -4.63%E -3.83%K -22.05%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-04 11:55 |
| Coolbet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60%EV -4.68%E -1.04%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.40%EV -2.27%E -1.83%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-07-04 11:49 |
| ReBet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -4.68%E -1.04%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.84%E -3.15%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-04 11:15 |
| Bovada | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -4.68%E -1.04%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.84%E -3.15%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-03 10:35 |
| Betway | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.68%E -1.04%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.42%E -4.52%K -27.10%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-04 12:05 |
| Sky Bet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.68%E -1.04%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.42%E -4.52%K -27.10%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-03 19:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.68%E -1.04%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.42%E -4.52%K -27.10%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-04 12:05 |
| BoyleSports | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.68%E -1.04%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.42%E -4.52%K -27.10%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-04 12:05 |
| Casumo | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -4.68%E -1.04%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -6.21%E -5.22%K -32.67%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-04 12:05 |
| Unibet (SE) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -4.68%E -1.04%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -6.21%E -5.22%K -32.67%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-04 12:05 |
| Unibet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -4.68%E -1.04%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -6.21%E -5.22%K -32.67%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-04 12:05 |
| Unibet (NL) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -4.68%E -1.04%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -6.21%E -5.22%K -32.67%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-04 12:05 |
| Svenska Spel | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -4.68%E -1.04%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -6.21%E -5.22%K -32.67%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-04 12:05 |
| betPARX | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -4.68%E -1.04%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -6.21%E -5.22%K -32.67%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-04 12:05 |
| ATG (SE) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -4.68%E -1.04%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -6.21%E -5.22%K -32.67%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-04 12:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -4.68%E -1.04%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -6.21%E -5.22%K -32.67%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-04 12:05 |
| Paddy Power | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -4.68%E -1.04%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.78%E -6.65%K -45.79%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-04 12:05 |
| BetOnline.ag | 4.42I 22.62%NM 21.77%EV -6.37%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.23%EV -3.05%E -2.48%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-04 11:50 |
| Unibet (FR) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -6.80%E -1.54%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.63%E -3.83%K -22.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-04 11:15 |
| NetBet (FR) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -6.80%E -1.54%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.42%E -4.52%K -27.10%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-04 11:15 |
| TABtouch | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -6.80%E -1.54%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -7.00%E -5.93%K -38.87%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-04 12:05 |
| PMU (FR) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -6.80%E -1.54%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -7.00%E -5.93%K -38.87%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-04 12:05 |
| Grosvenor | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -6.80%E -1.54%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -7.00%E -5.93%K -38.87%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-04 12:05 |
| Pinnacle | 4.38I 22.83%NM 22.34%EV -7.22%E -1.65%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 77.66%EV -0.690%E -0.548%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-07-04 12:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.20%EV -7.85%E -1.81%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.80%EV -7.78%E -6.65%K -45.79%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-04 12:05 |
| Virgin Bet | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.20%EV -7.85%E -1.81%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.80%EV -7.78%E -6.65%K -45.79%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-04 12:05 |
| Bally Bet | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.20%EV -7.85%E -1.81%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.80%EV -7.78%E -6.65%K -45.79%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-04 12:05 |
| Fliff | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.20%EV -7.85%E -1.81%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.80%EV -7.78%E -6.65%K -45.79%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-04 12:05 |
| GTbets | 4.34I 23.04%NM 21.23%EV -8.07%E -1.86%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.77%EV -7.78%E -6.65%K -45.79%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-03 09:40 |
| betfred_uk | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -8.28%E -1.91%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.42%E -4.52%K -27.10%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-04 00:30 |
| BetAnything | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -8.91%E -2.07%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -3.84%E -3.15%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 11:55 |
| Betr (AU) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -8.91%E -2.07%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -4.63%E -3.83%K -22.05%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-04 10:45 |
| Betclic (FR) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.10%EV -8.91%E -2.07%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 78.90%EV -9.36%E -8.14%K -62.40%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-07-04 12:05 |
| Marathon Bet | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -9.97%E -2.35%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -3.84%E -3.15%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-04 06:20 |
| Dabble (AU) | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -9.97%E -2.35%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -3.84%E -3.15%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-04 11:50 |
| PlayUp | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -9.97%E -2.35%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -3.84%E -3.15%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-04 12:05 |
| BetUS | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -9.97%E -2.35%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -3.84%E -3.15%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-03 13:20 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -9.97%E -2.35%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -4.63%E -3.83%K -22.05%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-04 12:00 |
| LeoVegas | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.73%EV -9.97%E -2.35%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.27%EV -7.00%E -5.93%K -38.87%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-04 12:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.44%EV -9.97%E -2.35%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 78.56%EV -8.57%E -7.39%K -53.58%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-04 12:05 |
| William Hill | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -11.03%E -2.63%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.84%E -3.15%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-03 11:05 |
| Coral | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -11.03%E -2.63%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.42%E -4.52%K -27.10%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-04 12:05 |
| BetMGM | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -13.15%E -3.21%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -4.63%E -3.83%K -22.05%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-04 12:05 |
| Neds | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -15.27%E -3.82%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -2.27%E -1.83%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-03 19:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -15.27%E -3.82%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -2.27%E -1.83%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-03 19:19 |
| 888sport | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -15.27%E -3.82%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -3.84%E -3.15%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-04 12:05 |
| Bet Victor | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -15.27%E -3.82%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -3.84%E -3.15%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-04 12:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -15.27%E -3.82%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -3.84%E -3.15%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-03 19:25 |
| 888sport (SE) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -15.27%E -3.82%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -3.84%E -3.15%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-04 12:05 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -15.27%E -3.82%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -3.84%E -3.15%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-04 12:05 |
| Caesars | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -15.27%E -3.82%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -3.84%E -3.15%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-03 09:27 |
| TAB | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -19.51%E -5.13%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -1.48%E -1.18%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-04 12:05 |
| Everygame | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -19.51%E -5.13%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -1.48%E -1.18%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-04 11:55 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.79% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 79.21% | 0.2% | 2026-07-04 12:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.33% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.67% | 0.4% | 2026-07-04 12:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13% | 0.6% | 2026-07-04 12:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34% | 0.8% | 2026-07-04 11:15 |
| Matchbook | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 79.80% | 1.1% | 2026-07-04 12:05 |
| Smarkets | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.27% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.73% | 2.8% | 2026-07-04 12:05 |
| Novig | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.14% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.86% | 3.9% | 2026-07-04 12:05 |