Langue:Français
Elise Mertens v Elena Rybakina
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Elise Mertens (Local)
Prévision 21.18%4.72cote équitable
EV +5.91%
Avantage +1.18%
Kelly +1.48%
Croissance +0.087%
avec la cote maximale 5.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.35%21.32%21.08%24.75%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.804.394.405.0026.32%22.78%22.73%20.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Elena Rybakina (Visiteur)
Prévision 78.82%1.27cote équitable
EV -0.690%
Avantage -0.548%
Kelly -2.66%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.26
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
75.25%78.68%78.92%80.65%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.151.201.201.2686.96%83.23%83.33%79.37%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Elise Mertens (Local) : 21.18% ; Elena Rybakina (Visiteur) : 78.82%. Pour Elise Mertens (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.72. 5 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 5.00, soit une espérance positive de +5.91%.
Cotes des opérateurs (66 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.35%EV +5.91%E +1.18%K +1.48%G +0.087% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.65%EV -5.42%E -4.52%K -27.10%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-07-04 12:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV +3.80%E +0.775%K +0.973%G +0.037% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.33%EV -5.42%E -4.52%K -27.10%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-04 12:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.70%EV +2.74%E +0.564%K +0.711%G +0.019% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.30%EV -6.21%E -5.22%K -32.67%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-04 12:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.78I 20.92%NM 19.93%EV +1.25%E +0.262%K +0.332%G +0.004% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.07%EV -6.21%E -5.22%K -32.67%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-04 12:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV +0.618%E +0.130%K +0.165%G +0.001% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -5.42%E -4.52%K -27.10%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-04 12:04 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -0.441%E -0.094%K -0.119%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -5.42%E -4.52%K -27.10%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-04 12:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -0.441%E -0.094%K -0.119%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.21%E -5.22%K -32.67%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-04 12:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -0.441%E -0.094%K -0.119%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.21%E -5.22%K -32.67%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-04 12:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.38%EV -1.50%E -0.323%K -0.411%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.62%EV -6.21%E -5.22%K -32.67%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-04 12:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.24%EV -1.50%E -0.323%K -0.411%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.76%EV -7.00%E -5.93%K -38.87%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-04 12:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.24%EV -1.50%E -0.323%K -0.411%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.76%EV -7.00%E -5.93%K -38.87%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-04 12:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -2.56%E -0.556%K -0.711%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.42%E -4.52%K -27.10%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-04 12:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -2.56%E -0.556%K -0.711%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -7.00%E -5.93%K -38.87%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-04 09:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.54I 22.03%NM 21.04%EV -3.83%E -0.844%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.96%EV -4.63%E -3.83%K -22.05%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-04 11:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60%EV -4.68%E -1.04%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.40%EV -2.27%E -1.83%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-07-04 11:49 |
| ReBet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -4.68%E -1.04%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.84%E -3.15%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-04 11:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -4.68%E -1.04%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.84%E -3.15%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-03 10:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.68%E -1.04%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.42%E -4.52%K -27.10%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-04 12:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.68%E -1.04%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.42%E -4.52%K -27.10%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-03 19:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.68%E -1.04%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.42%E -4.52%K -27.10%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-04 12:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.68%E -1.04%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.42%E -4.52%K -27.10%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-04 12:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -4.68%E -1.04%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -6.21%E -5.22%K -32.67%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-04 12:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -4.68%E -1.04%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -6.21%E -5.22%K -32.67%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-04 12:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -4.68%E -1.04%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -6.21%E -5.22%K -32.67%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-04 12:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -4.68%E -1.04%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -6.21%E -5.22%K -32.67%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-04 12:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -4.68%E -1.04%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -6.21%E -5.22%K -32.67%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-04 12:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -4.68%E -1.04%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -6.21%E -5.22%K -32.67%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-04 12:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -4.68%E -1.04%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -6.21%E -5.22%K -32.67%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-04 12:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -4.68%E -1.04%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -6.21%E -5.22%K -32.67%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-04 12:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -4.68%E -1.04%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.78%E -6.65%K -45.79%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-04 12:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.42I 22.62%NM 21.77%EV -6.37%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.23%EV -3.05%E -2.48%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-04 11:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -6.80%E -1.54%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.63%E -3.83%K -22.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-04 11:15 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -6.80%E -1.54%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.42%E -4.52%K -27.10%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-04 11:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -6.80%E -1.54%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -7.00%E -5.93%K -38.87%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-04 12:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -6.80%E -1.54%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -7.00%E -5.93%K -38.87%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-04 12:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -6.80%E -1.54%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -7.00%E -5.93%K -38.87%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-04 12:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.38I 22.83%NM 22.34%EV -7.22%E -1.65%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 77.66%EV -0.690%E -0.548%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-07-04 12:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.20%EV -7.85%E -1.81%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.80%EV -7.78%E -6.65%K -45.79%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-04 12:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.20%EV -7.85%E -1.81%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.80%EV -7.78%E -6.65%K -45.79%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-04 12:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.20%EV -7.85%E -1.81%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.80%EV -7.78%E -6.65%K -45.79%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-04 12:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.20%EV -7.85%E -1.81%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.80%EV -7.78%E -6.65%K -45.79%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-04 12:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.34I 23.04%NM 21.23%EV -8.07%E -1.86%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.77%EV -7.78%E -6.65%K -45.79%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-03 09:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -8.28%E -1.91%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.42%E -4.52%K -27.10%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-04 00:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -8.91%E -2.07%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -3.84%E -3.15%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 11:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -8.91%E -2.07%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -4.63%E -3.83%K -22.05%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-04 10:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.10%EV -8.91%E -2.07%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 78.90%EV -9.36%E -8.14%K -62.40%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-07-04 12:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -9.97%E -2.35%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -3.84%E -3.15%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-04 06:20 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -9.97%E -2.35%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -3.84%E -3.15%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-04 11:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -9.97%E -2.35%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -3.84%E -3.15%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-04 12:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -9.97%E -2.35%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -3.84%E -3.15%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-03 13:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -9.97%E -2.35%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -4.63%E -3.83%K -22.05%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-04 12:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.73%EV -9.97%E -2.35%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.27%EV -7.00%E -5.93%K -38.87%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-04 12:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.44%EV -9.97%E -2.35%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 78.56%EV -8.57%E -7.39%K -53.58%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-04 12:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -11.03%E -2.63%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.84%E -3.15%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-03 11:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -11.03%E -2.63%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.42%E -4.52%K -27.10%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-04 12:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -13.15%E -3.21%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -4.63%E -3.83%K -22.05%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-04 12:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -15.27%E -3.82%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -2.27%E -1.83%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-03 19:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -15.27%E -3.82%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -2.27%E -1.83%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-03 19:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -15.27%E -3.82%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -3.84%E -3.15%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-04 12:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -15.27%E -3.82%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -3.84%E -3.15%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-04 12:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -15.27%E -3.82%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -3.84%E -3.15%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-03 19:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -15.27%E -3.82%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -3.84%E -3.15%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-04 12:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -15.27%E -3.82%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -3.84%E -3.15%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-04 12:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -15.27%E -3.82%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -3.84%E -3.15%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-03 09:27 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -19.51%E -5.13%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -1.48%E -1.18%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-04 12:05 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -19.51%E -5.13%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -1.48%E -1.18%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-04 11:55 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (7)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.79% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 79.21% | 0.2% | 2026-07-04 12:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.33% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.67% | 0.4% | 2026-07-04 12:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13% | 0.6% | 2026-07-04 12:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34% | 0.8% | 2026-07-04 11:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 79.80% | 1.1% | 2026-07-04 12:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.27% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.73% | 2.8% | 2026-07-04 12:05 |
| Novig◎ | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.14% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.86% | 3.9% | 2026-07-04 12:05 |