La scuola delle quote

Elise Mertens v Elena Rybakina

Inizio: 2026-07-04 12:10 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

66 bookmaker (22 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Elise Mertens (Casa)

Previsione 21.18%4.72quota equa
EV +5.91%
Vantaggio +1.18%
Kelly +1.48%
Crescita +0.087%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
19.35%21.32%21.08%24.75%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.804.394.405.0026.32%22.78%22.73%20.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Elena Rybakina (Trasferta)

Previsione 78.82%1.27quota equa
EV -0.690%
Vantaggio -0.548%
Kelly -2.66%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.26

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
75.25%78.68%78.92%80.65%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.151.201.201.2686.96%83.23%83.33%79.37%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (66 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Winamax (DE)5.00I 20.00%NM 19.35%EV +5.91%E +1.18%K +1.48%G +0.087%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.65%EV -5.42%E -4.52%K -27.10%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-04 12:05
Unibet (UK)4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV +3.80%E +0.775%K +0.973%G +0.037%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.33%EV -5.42%E -4.52%K -27.10%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-04 12:05
Fanatics4.85I 20.62%NM 19.70%EV +2.74%E +0.564%K +0.711%G +0.019%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.30%EV -6.21%E -5.22%K -32.67%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-04 12:05
DraftKings4.78I 20.92%NM 19.93%EV +1.25%E +0.262%K +0.332%G +0.004%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.07%EV -6.21%E -5.22%K -32.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-04 12:05
FanDuel4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV +0.618%E +0.130%K +0.165%G +0.001%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -5.42%E -4.52%K -27.10%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-04 12:04
MyBookie.ag4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -0.441%E -0.094%K -0.119%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -5.42%E -4.52%K -27.10%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-04 12:04
SportsBet4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -0.441%E -0.094%K -0.119%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.21%E -5.22%K -32.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-04 12:05
Winamax (FR)4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -0.441%E -0.094%K -0.119%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.21%E -5.22%K -32.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-04 12:05
theScore Bet4.65I 21.51%NM 20.38%EV -1.50%E -0.323%K -0.411%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.62%EV -6.21%E -5.22%K -32.67%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-04 12:05
NordicBet4.65I 21.51%NM 20.24%EV -1.50%E -0.323%K -0.411%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.76%EV -7.00%E -5.93%K -38.87%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-04 12:05
Betsson4.65I 21.51%NM 20.24%EV -1.50%E -0.323%K -0.411%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.76%EV -7.00%E -5.93%K -38.87%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-04 12:05
BetRivers4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -2.56%E -0.556%K -0.711%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.42%E -4.52%K -27.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-04 12:00
Tipico (DE)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -2.56%E -0.556%K -0.711%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -7.00%E -5.93%K -38.87%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-04 09:15
1xBet4.54I 22.03%NM 21.04%EV -3.83%E -0.844%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.96%EV -4.63%E -3.83%K -22.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-04 11:55
Coolbet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60%EV -4.68%E -1.04%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 78.40%EV -2.27%E -1.83%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-04 11:49
ReBet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -4.68%E -1.04%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.84%E -3.15%K -17.47%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-04 11:15
Bovada4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -4.68%E -1.04%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.84%E -3.15%K -17.47%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-03 10:35
Betway4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.68%E -1.04%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.42%E -4.52%K -27.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 12:05
Sky Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.68%E -1.04%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.42%E -4.52%K -27.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-03 19:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.68%E -1.04%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.42%E -4.52%K -27.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 12:05
BoyleSports4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.68%E -1.04%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.42%E -4.52%K -27.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 12:05
Casumo4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -4.68%E -1.04%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -6.21%E -5.22%K -32.67%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-04 12:05
Unibet (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -4.68%E -1.04%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -6.21%E -5.22%K -32.67%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-04 12:05
Unibet4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -4.68%E -1.04%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -6.21%E -5.22%K -32.67%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-04 12:05
Unibet (NL)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -4.68%E -1.04%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -6.21%E -5.22%K -32.67%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-04 12:05
Svenska Spel4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -4.68%E -1.04%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -6.21%E -5.22%K -32.67%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-04 12:05
betPARX4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -4.68%E -1.04%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -6.21%E -5.22%K -32.67%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-04 12:05
ATG (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -4.68%E -1.04%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -6.21%E -5.22%K -32.67%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-04 12:05
Hard Rock Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -4.68%E -1.04%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -6.21%E -5.22%K -32.67%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-04 12:05
Paddy Power4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -4.68%E -1.04%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.78%E -6.65%K -45.79%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-04 12:05
BetOnline.ag4.42I 22.62%NM 21.77%EV -6.37%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 78.23%EV -3.05%E -2.48%K -13.28%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-04 11:50
Unibet (FR)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -6.80%E -1.54%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.63%E -3.83%K -22.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 11:15
NetBet (FR)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -6.80%E -1.54%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.42%E -4.52%K -27.10%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-04 11:15
TABtouch4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -6.80%E -1.54%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -7.00%E -5.93%K -38.87%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-04 12:05
PMU (FR)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -6.80%E -1.54%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -7.00%E -5.93%K -38.87%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-04 12:05
Grosvenor4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -6.80%E -1.54%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -7.00%E -5.93%K -38.87%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-04 12:05
Pinnacle4.38I 22.83%NM 22.34%EV -7.22%E -1.65%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 77.66%EV -0.690%E -0.548%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-04 12:00
LiveScore Bet4.35I 22.99%NM 21.20%EV -7.85%E -1.81%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 78.80%EV -7.78%E -6.65%K -45.79%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-04 12:05
Virgin Bet4.35I 22.99%NM 21.20%EV -7.85%E -1.81%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 78.80%EV -7.78%E -6.65%K -45.79%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-04 12:05
Bally Bet4.35I 22.99%NM 21.20%EV -7.85%E -1.81%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 78.80%EV -7.78%E -6.65%K -45.79%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-04 12:05
Fliff4.35I 22.99%NM 21.20%EV -7.85%E -1.81%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 78.80%EV -7.78%E -6.65%K -45.79%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-04 12:05
GTbets4.34I 23.04%NM 21.23%EV -8.07%E -1.86%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 78.77%EV -7.78%E -6.65%K -45.79%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-03 09:40
betfred_uk4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -8.28%E -1.91%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.42%E -4.52%K -27.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-04 00:30
BetAnything4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -8.91%E -2.07%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -3.84%E -3.15%K -17.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 11:55
Betr (AU)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -8.91%E -2.07%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -4.63%E -3.83%K -22.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-04 10:45
Betclic (FR)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.10%EV -8.91%E -2.07%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 78.90%EV -9.36%E -8.14%K -62.40%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-04 12:05
Marathon Bet4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -9.97%E -2.35%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -3.84%E -3.15%K -17.47%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-04 06:20
Dabble (AU)4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -9.97%E -2.35%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -3.84%E -3.15%K -17.47%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-04 11:50
PlayUp4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -9.97%E -2.35%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -3.84%E -3.15%K -17.47%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-04 12:05
BetUS4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -9.97%E -2.35%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -3.84%E -3.15%K -17.47%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-03 13:20
PointsBet (AU)4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -9.97%E -2.35%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -4.63%E -3.83%K -22.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-04 12:00
LeoVegas4.25I 23.53%NM 21.73%EV -9.97%E -2.35%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.27%EV -7.00%E -5.93%K -38.87%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-04 12:05
LeoVegas (SE)4.25I 23.53%NM 21.44%EV -9.97%E -2.35%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 78.56%EV -8.57%E -7.39%K -53.58%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-04 12:05
William Hill4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -11.03%E -2.63%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.84%E -3.15%K -17.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-03 11:05
Coral4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -11.03%E -2.63%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.42%E -4.52%K -27.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-04 12:05
BetMGM4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -13.15%E -3.21%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -4.63%E -3.83%K -22.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-04 12:05
Neds4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -15.27%E -3.82%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -2.27%E -1.83%K -9.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-03 19:20
Ladbrokes (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -15.27%E -3.82%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -2.27%E -1.83%K -9.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-03 19:19
888sport4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -15.27%E -3.82%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -3.84%E -3.15%K -17.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-04 12:05
Bet Victor4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -15.27%E -3.82%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -3.84%E -3.15%K -17.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-04 12:05
Ladbrokes (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -15.27%E -3.82%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -3.84%E -3.15%K -17.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-03 19:25
888sport (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -15.27%E -3.82%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -3.84%E -3.15%K -17.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-04 12:05
Mr Green (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -15.27%E -3.82%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -3.84%E -3.15%K -17.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-04 12:05
Caesars4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -15.27%E -3.82%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -3.84%E -3.15%K -17.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-03 09:27
TAB3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -19.51%E -5.13%K -6.97%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -1.48%E -1.18%K -5.91%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-04 12:05
Everygame3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -19.51%E -5.13%K -6.97%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -1.48%E -1.18%K -5.91%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-04 11:55
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
ProphetX4.80I 20.83%NM 20.79%1.26I 79.37%NM 79.21%0.2%2026-07-04 12:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.90I 20.41%NM 20.33%1.25I 80.00%NM 79.67%0.4%2026-07-04 12:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13%0.6%2026-07-04 12:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66%1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34%0.8%2026-07-04 11:15
Matchbook4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20%1.24I 80.65%NM 79.80%1.1%2026-07-04 12:05
Smarkets4.80I 20.83%NM 20.27%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.73%2.8%2026-07-04 12:05
Novig4.55I 21.98%NM 21.14%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.86%3.9%2026-07-04 12:05