Language:English
Anastasia Gasanova v Naomi Osaka
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Anastasia Gasanova (Local)
Prediction 7.60%13.15fair odd
EV +21.64%
Edge +1.35%
Kelly +1.44%
Growth +0.312%
assuming max odds 16.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
5.94%7.77%7.83%10.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
8.8011.9911.2016.0011.36%8.34%8.93%6.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Naomi Osaka (Visit)
Prediction 92.40%1.08fair odd
EV -1.13%
Edge -1.06%
Kelly -16.21%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.07
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
89.25%92.23%92.17%94.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.011.031.031.0799.01%97.04%97.09%93.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Anastasia Gasanova (Local): 7.60%; Naomi Osaka (Visit): 92.40%. For Anastasia Gasanova (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 13.15. 13 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 16.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +21.64%.
Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV +21.64%E +1.35%K +1.44%G +0.312% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -6.68%E -6.61%K -667.86%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 15.40I 6.49%NM 6.33%EV +17.08%E +1.11%K +1.19%G +0.203% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 93.67%EV -3.91%E -3.76%K -97.67%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.48%EV +14.04%E +0.936%K +1.00%G +0.141% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 93.52%EV -3.91%E -3.76%K -97.67%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-07-01 10:07 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +14.04%E +0.936%K +1.00%G +0.141% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -4.83%E -4.69%K -161.02%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-01 10:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +14.04%E +0.936%K +1.00%G +0.141% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -4.83%E -4.69%K -161.02%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +14.04%E +0.936%K +1.00%G +0.141% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -4.83%E -4.69%K -161.02%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +14.04%E +0.936%K +1.00%G +0.141% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -4.83%E -4.69%K -161.02%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +14.04%E +0.936%K +1.00%G +0.141% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -5.75%E -5.64%K -287.73%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV +14.04%E +0.936%K +1.00%G +0.141% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -6.68%E -6.61%K -667.86%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.91%EV +6.44%E +0.460%K +0.495%G +0.032% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 93.09%EV -3.91%E -3.76%K -97.67%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-07-01 10:06 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV +6.44%E +0.460%K +0.495%G +0.032% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -5.75%E -5.64%K -287.73%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV +6.44%E +0.460%K +0.495%G +0.032% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -5.75%E -5.64%K -287.73%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 13.75I 7.27%NM 6.91%EV +4.54%E +0.330%K +0.356%G +0.016% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.09%EV -5.75%E -5.64%K -287.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-01 10:08 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 13.04I 7.67%NM 7.45%EV -0.863%E -0.066%K -0.072%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 92.55%EV -2.98%E -2.84%K -59.65%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -1.17%E -0.090%K -0.097%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.83%E -4.69%K -161.02%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-01 10:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -1.17%E -0.090%K -0.097%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.75%E -5.64%K -287.73%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-01 10:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -1.17%E -0.090%K -0.097%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.75%E -5.64%K -287.73%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-01 10:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -4.97%E -0.397%K -0.432%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -4.83%E -4.69%K -161.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-01 10:07 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -4.97%E -0.397%K -0.432%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -5.75%E -5.64%K -287.73%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -4.97%E -0.397%K -0.432%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -5.75%E -5.64%K -287.73%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.48%EV -4.97%E -0.397%K -0.432%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.52%EV -6.68%E -6.61%K -667.86%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -8.77%E -0.731%K -0.797%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -3.91%E -3.76%K -97.67%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-01 10:02 |
| Betway🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -8.77%E -0.731%K -0.797%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.83%E -4.69%K -161.02%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -8.77%E -0.731%K -0.797%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.83%E -4.69%K -161.02%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -8.77%E -0.731%K -0.797%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.83%E -4.69%K -161.02%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -8.77%E -0.731%K -0.797%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -5.75%E -5.64%K -287.73%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -8.77%E -0.731%K -0.797%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -5.75%E -5.64%K -287.73%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-01 10:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -8.77%E -0.731%K -0.797%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -5.75%E -5.64%K -287.73%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-01 10:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -8.77%E -0.731%K -0.797%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -5.75%E -5.64%K -287.73%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -8.77%E -0.731%K -0.797%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -5.75%E -5.64%K -287.73%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.15%EV -12.57%E -1.09%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.85%EV -5.75%E -5.64%K -287.73%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-01 10:03 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 11.20I 8.93%NM 8.50%EV -14.85%E -1.33%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.50%EV -3.91%E -3.76%K -97.67%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-01 10:04 |
| ReBet🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -16.37%E -1.49%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -2.98%E -2.84%K -59.65%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-01 09:59 |
| Casumo🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -16.37%E -1.49%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.91%E -3.76%K -97.67%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -16.37%E -1.49%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.91%E -3.76%K -97.67%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -16.37%E -1.49%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.91%E -3.76%K -97.67%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -16.37%E -1.49%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.91%E -3.76%K -97.67%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -16.37%E -1.49%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.91%E -3.76%K -97.67%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -16.37%E -1.49%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.91%E -3.76%K -97.67%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -16.37%E -1.49%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.91%E -3.76%K -97.67%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -16.37%E -1.49%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.91%E -3.76%K -97.67%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -16.37%E -1.49%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -4.83%E -4.69%K -161.02%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -16.37%E -1.49%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -4.83%E -4.69%K -161.02%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-01 09:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -16.37%E -1.49%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -5.75%E -5.64%K -287.73%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -16.37%E -1.49%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -5.75%E -5.64%K -287.73%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -16.37%E -1.49%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -5.75%E -5.64%K -287.73%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -16.37%E -1.49%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -5.75%E -5.64%K -287.73%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -16.37%E -1.49%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -5.75%E -5.64%K -287.73%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -16.37%E -1.49%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -5.75%E -5.64%K -287.73%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -16.37%E -1.49%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -5.75%E -5.64%K -287.73%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-01 10:09 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -16.37%E -1.49%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -5.75%E -5.64%K -287.73%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-01 10:09 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -16.37%E -1.49%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 91.59%EV -6.68%E -6.61%K -667.86%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 10.90I 9.17%NM 8.94%EV -17.13%E -1.57%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 91.06%EV -1.13%E -1.06%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-07-01 10:03 |
| Fliff🎯 | 10.90I 9.17%NM 8.63%EV -17.13%E -1.57%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.37%EV -4.83%E -4.69%K -161.02%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-01 10:02 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -20.17%E -1.92%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -2.98%E -2.84%K -59.65%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-01 10:09 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -20.17%E -1.92%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -4.83%E -4.69%K -161.02%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 10.40I 9.62%NM 9.17%EV -20.93%E -2.01%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.83%EV -2.98%E -2.84%K -59.65%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-01 09:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 10.25I 9.76%NM 9.21%EV -22.07%E -2.15%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.79%EV -3.91%E -3.76%K -97.67%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-01 10:03 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -23.97%E -2.40%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -3.91%E -3.76%K -97.67%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-01 10:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -27.78%E -2.92%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -2.06%E -1.94%K -34.31%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-01 10:01 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -27.78%E -2.92%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -3.91%E -3.76%K -97.67%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-01 10:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.18%EV -31.58%E -3.51%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 89.82%EV -5.75%E -5.64%K -287.73%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-01 10:08 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 8.80I 11.36%NM 10.75%EV -33.10%E -3.76%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.25%EV -2.06%E -1.94%K -34.31%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-01 09:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 18.50I 5.41%NM 5.37% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 94.63% | 0.6% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 18.50I 5.41%NM 5.37% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 94.63% | 0.6% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 18.48I 5.41%NM 5.38% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 94.62% | 0.6% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 91.74% | 0.9% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 16.50I 6.06%NM 5.98% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 94.02% | 1.3% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 15.50I 6.45%NM 6.34% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 93.66% | 1.7% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| Novig◎ | 11.76I 8.50%NM 7.98% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.02% | 6.5% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |