L’École des cotes

Anastasia Gasanova v Naomi Osaka

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-01 10:10 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

63 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Anastasia Gasanova (Local)

Prévision 7.60%13.15cote équitable
EV +21.64%
Avantage +1.35%
Kelly +1.44%
Croissance +0.312%

avec la cote maximale 16.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
5.94%7.77%7.83%10.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
8.8011.9911.2016.0011.36%8.34%8.93%6.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Naomi Osaka (Visiteur)

Prévision 92.40%1.08cote équitable
EV -1.13%
Avantage -1.06%
Kelly -16.21%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.07

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
89.25%92.23%92.17%94.06%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.011.031.031.0799.01%97.04%97.09%93.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Winamax (FR)16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV +21.64%E +1.35%K +1.44%G +0.312%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -6.68%E -6.61%K -667.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 10:10
DraftKings15.40I 6.49%NM 6.33%EV +17.08%E +1.11%K +1.19%G +0.203%1.04I 96.15%NM 93.67%EV -3.91%E -3.76%K -97.67%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-01 10:10
Dabble (AU)15.00I 6.67%NM 6.48%EV +14.04%E +0.936%K +1.00%G +0.141%1.04I 96.15%NM 93.52%EV -3.91%E -3.76%K -97.67%G +0.000%2.8%2026-07-01 10:07
Betclic (FR)15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +14.04%E +0.936%K +1.00%G +0.141%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -4.83%E -4.69%K -161.02%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-01 10:09
Ladbrokes (UK)15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +14.04%E +0.936%K +1.00%G +0.141%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -4.83%E -4.69%K -161.02%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-01 10:10
Coral15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +14.04%E +0.936%K +1.00%G +0.141%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -4.83%E -4.69%K -161.02%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-01 10:10
BoyleSports15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +14.04%E +0.936%K +1.00%G +0.141%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -4.83%E -4.69%K -161.02%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-01 10:10
Winamax (DE)15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +14.04%E +0.936%K +1.00%G +0.141%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -5.75%E -5.64%K -287.73%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-01 10:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV +14.04%E +0.936%K +1.00%G +0.141%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -6.68%E -6.61%K -667.86%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 10:10
PlayUp14.00I 7.14%NM 6.91%EV +6.44%E +0.460%K +0.495%G +0.032%1.04I 96.15%NM 93.09%EV -3.91%E -3.76%K -97.67%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-01 10:06
Unibet (UK)14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV +6.44%E +0.460%K +0.495%G +0.032%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -5.75%E -5.64%K -287.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 10:10
theScore Bet14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV +6.44%E +0.460%K +0.495%G +0.032%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -5.75%E -5.64%K -287.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 10:10
BetOnline.ag13.75I 7.27%NM 6.91%EV +4.54%E +0.330%K +0.356%G +0.016%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.09%EV -5.75%E -5.64%K -287.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 10:08
Pinnacle13.04I 7.67%NM 7.45%EV -0.863%E -0.066%K -0.072%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 92.55%EV -2.98%E -2.84%K -59.65%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-01 10:10
MyBookie.ag13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -1.17%E -0.090%K -0.097%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.83%E -4.69%K -161.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-01 10:09
Neds13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -1.17%E -0.090%K -0.097%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.75%E -5.64%K -287.73%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 10:04
Ladbrokes (AU)13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -1.17%E -0.090%K -0.097%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.75%E -5.64%K -287.73%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 10:04
SportsBet12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -4.97%E -0.397%K -0.432%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -4.83%E -4.69%K -161.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-01 10:07
NordicBet12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -4.97%E -0.397%K -0.432%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -5.75%E -5.64%K -287.73%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 10:10
Betsson12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -4.97%E -0.397%K -0.432%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -5.75%E -5.64%K -287.73%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 10:10
BetMGM12.50I 8.00%NM 7.48%EV -4.97%E -0.397%K -0.432%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 92.52%EV -6.68%E -6.61%K -667.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-01 10:10
Bovada12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -8.77%E -0.731%K -0.797%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -3.91%E -3.76%K -97.67%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-01 10:02
Betway12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -8.77%E -0.731%K -0.797%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.83%E -4.69%K -161.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 10:10
FanDuel12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -8.77%E -0.731%K -0.797%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.83%E -4.69%K -161.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 10:10
William Hill12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -8.77%E -0.731%K -0.797%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.83%E -4.69%K -161.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 10:10
888sport12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -8.77%E -0.731%K -0.797%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -5.75%E -5.64%K -287.73%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-01 10:10
Caesars12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -8.77%E -0.731%K -0.797%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -5.75%E -5.64%K -287.73%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-01 10:09
Fanatics12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -8.77%E -0.731%K -0.797%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -5.75%E -5.64%K -287.73%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-01 10:09
888sport (SE)12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -8.77%E -0.731%K -0.797%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -5.75%E -5.64%K -287.73%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-01 10:10
Mr Green (SE)12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -8.77%E -0.731%K -0.797%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -5.75%E -5.64%K -287.73%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-01 10:10
NetBet (FR)11.50I 8.70%NM 8.15%EV -12.57%E -1.09%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 91.85%EV -5.75%E -5.64%K -287.73%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-01 10:03
BetAnything11.20I 8.93%NM 8.50%EV -14.85%E -1.33%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.50%EV -3.91%E -3.76%K -97.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-01 10:04
ReBet11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -16.37%E -1.49%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -2.98%E -2.84%K -59.65%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-01 09:59
Casumo11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -16.37%E -1.49%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.91%E -3.76%K -97.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 10:10
Unibet (NL)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -16.37%E -1.49%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.91%E -3.76%K -97.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 10:10
Unibet11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -16.37%E -1.49%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.91%E -3.76%K -97.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 10:10
Unibet (SE)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -16.37%E -1.49%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.91%E -3.76%K -97.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 10:10
betPARX11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -16.37%E -1.49%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.91%E -3.76%K -97.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 10:10
Svenska Spel11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -16.37%E -1.49%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.91%E -3.76%K -97.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 10:10
ATG (SE)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -16.37%E -1.49%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.91%E -3.76%K -97.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 10:10
Hard Rock Bet11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -16.37%E -1.49%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.91%E -3.76%K -97.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 10:10
PointsBet (AU)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -16.37%E -1.49%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -4.83%E -4.69%K -161.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-01 10:10
Everygame11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -16.37%E -1.49%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -4.83%E -4.69%K -161.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-01 09:59
Paddy Power11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -16.37%E -1.49%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -5.75%E -5.64%K -287.73%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-01 10:10
TABtouch11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -16.37%E -1.49%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -5.75%E -5.64%K -287.73%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-01 10:10
LiveScore Bet11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -16.37%E -1.49%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -5.75%E -5.64%K -287.73%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-01 10:10
Virgin Bet11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -16.37%E -1.49%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -5.75%E -5.64%K -287.73%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-01 10:10
Grosvenor11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -16.37%E -1.49%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -5.75%E -5.64%K -287.73%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-01 10:10
Tipico (DE)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -16.37%E -1.49%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -5.75%E -5.64%K -287.73%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-01 10:10
TAB11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -16.37%E -1.49%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -5.75%E -5.64%K -287.73%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-01 10:09
Bally Bet11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -16.37%E -1.49%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -5.75%E -5.64%K -287.73%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-01 10:09
LeoVegas11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -16.37%E -1.49%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 91.59%EV -6.68%E -6.61%K -667.86%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-01 10:10
GTbets10.90I 9.17%NM 8.94%EV -17.13%E -1.57%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 91.06%EV -1.13%E -1.06%K -16.21%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-01 10:03
Fliff10.90I 9.17%NM 8.63%EV -17.13%E -1.57%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.37%EV -4.83%E -4.69%K -161.02%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-01 10:02
Unibet (FR)10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -20.17%E -1.92%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -2.98%E -2.84%K -59.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-01 10:09
Sky Bet10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -20.17%E -1.92%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -4.83%E -4.69%K -161.02%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-01 10:10
1xBet10.40I 9.62%NM 9.17%EV -20.93%E -2.01%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.83%EV -2.98%E -2.84%K -59.65%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-01 09:59
Betr (AU)10.25I 9.76%NM 9.21%EV -22.07%E -2.15%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.79%EV -3.91%E -3.76%K -97.67%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-01 10:03
betfred_uk10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -23.97%E -2.40%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -3.91%E -3.76%K -97.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-01 10:00
BetRivers9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -27.78%E -2.92%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -2.06%E -1.94%K -34.31%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-01 10:01
Bet Victor9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -27.78%E -2.92%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -3.91%E -3.76%K -97.67%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-01 10:09
LeoVegas (SE)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.18%EV -31.58%E -3.51%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 89.82%EV -5.75%E -5.64%K -287.73%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-01 10:08
Marathon Bet8.80I 11.36%NM 10.75%EV -33.10%E -3.76%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.25%EV -2.06%E -1.94%K -34.31%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 09:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)18.50I 5.41%NM 5.37%1.05I 95.24%NM 94.63%0.6%2026-07-01 10:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)18.50I 5.41%NM 5.37%1.05I 95.24%NM 94.63%0.6%2026-07-01 10:10
Smarkets18.48I 5.41%NM 5.38%1.05I 95.24%NM 94.62%0.6%2026-07-01 10:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26%1.08I 92.59%NM 91.74%0.9%2026-07-01 10:10
ProphetX16.50I 6.06%NM 5.98%1.05I 95.24%NM 94.02%1.3%2026-07-01 10:10
Matchbook15.50I 6.45%NM 6.34%1.05I 95.24%NM 93.66%1.7%2026-07-01 10:10
Novig11.76I 8.50%NM 7.98%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.02%6.5%2026-07-01 10:10