مدرسة الاحتمالات

Anastasia Gasanova v Naomi Osaka

البداية: 2026-07-01 10:10 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

63 شركة مراهنات (21 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Anastasia Gasanova (المضيف)

التنبؤ 7.60%13.15السعر العادل
EV +21.64%
الأفضلية +1.35%
Kelly +1.44%
النمو +0.312%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 16.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
5.94%7.77%7.83%10.75%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
8.8011.9911.2016.0011.36%8.34%8.93%6.25%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Naomi Osaka (الضيف)

التنبؤ 92.40%1.08السعر العادل
EV -1.13%
الأفضلية -1.06%
Kelly -16.21%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.07

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
89.25%92.23%92.17%94.06%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.011.031.031.0799.01%97.04%97.09%93.46%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (63 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
Winamax (FR)16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV +21.64%E +1.35%K +1.44%G +0.312%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -6.68%E -6.61%K -667.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 10:10
DraftKings15.40I 6.49%NM 6.33%EV +17.08%E +1.11%K +1.19%G +0.203%1.04I 96.15%NM 93.67%EV -3.91%E -3.76%K -97.67%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-01 10:10
Dabble (AU)15.00I 6.67%NM 6.48%EV +14.04%E +0.936%K +1.00%G +0.141%1.04I 96.15%NM 93.52%EV -3.91%E -3.76%K -97.67%G +0.000%2.8%2026-07-01 10:07
Betclic (FR)15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +14.04%E +0.936%K +1.00%G +0.141%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -4.83%E -4.69%K -161.02%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-01 10:09
Ladbrokes (UK)15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +14.04%E +0.936%K +1.00%G +0.141%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -4.83%E -4.69%K -161.02%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-01 10:10
Coral15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +14.04%E +0.936%K +1.00%G +0.141%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -4.83%E -4.69%K -161.02%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-01 10:10
BoyleSports15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +14.04%E +0.936%K +1.00%G +0.141%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -4.83%E -4.69%K -161.02%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-01 10:10
Winamax (DE)15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +14.04%E +0.936%K +1.00%G +0.141%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -5.75%E -5.64%K -287.73%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-01 10:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV +14.04%E +0.936%K +1.00%G +0.141%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -6.68%E -6.61%K -667.86%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 10:10
PlayUp14.00I 7.14%NM 6.91%EV +6.44%E +0.460%K +0.495%G +0.032%1.04I 96.15%NM 93.09%EV -3.91%E -3.76%K -97.67%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-01 10:06
Unibet (UK)14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV +6.44%E +0.460%K +0.495%G +0.032%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -5.75%E -5.64%K -287.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 10:10
theScore Bet14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV +6.44%E +0.460%K +0.495%G +0.032%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -5.75%E -5.64%K -287.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 10:10
BetOnline.ag13.75I 7.27%NM 6.91%EV +4.54%E +0.330%K +0.356%G +0.016%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.09%EV -5.75%E -5.64%K -287.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 10:08
Pinnacle13.04I 7.67%NM 7.45%EV -0.863%E -0.066%K -0.072%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 92.55%EV -2.98%E -2.84%K -59.65%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-01 10:10
MyBookie.ag13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -1.17%E -0.090%K -0.097%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.83%E -4.69%K -161.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-01 10:09
Neds13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -1.17%E -0.090%K -0.097%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.75%E -5.64%K -287.73%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 10:04
Ladbrokes (AU)13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -1.17%E -0.090%K -0.097%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.75%E -5.64%K -287.73%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 10:04
SportsBet12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -4.97%E -0.397%K -0.432%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -4.83%E -4.69%K -161.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-01 10:07
NordicBet12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -4.97%E -0.397%K -0.432%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -5.75%E -5.64%K -287.73%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 10:10
Betsson12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -4.97%E -0.397%K -0.432%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -5.75%E -5.64%K -287.73%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 10:10
BetMGM12.50I 8.00%NM 7.48%EV -4.97%E -0.397%K -0.432%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 92.52%EV -6.68%E -6.61%K -667.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-01 10:10
Bovada12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -8.77%E -0.731%K -0.797%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -3.91%E -3.76%K -97.67%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-01 10:02
Betway12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -8.77%E -0.731%K -0.797%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.83%E -4.69%K -161.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 10:10
FanDuel12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -8.77%E -0.731%K -0.797%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.83%E -4.69%K -161.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 10:10
William Hill12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -8.77%E -0.731%K -0.797%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.83%E -4.69%K -161.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 10:10
888sport12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -8.77%E -0.731%K -0.797%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -5.75%E -5.64%K -287.73%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-01 10:10
Caesars12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -8.77%E -0.731%K -0.797%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -5.75%E -5.64%K -287.73%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-01 10:09
Fanatics12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -8.77%E -0.731%K -0.797%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -5.75%E -5.64%K -287.73%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-01 10:09
888sport (SE)12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -8.77%E -0.731%K -0.797%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -5.75%E -5.64%K -287.73%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-01 10:10
Mr Green (SE)12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -8.77%E -0.731%K -0.797%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -5.75%E -5.64%K -287.73%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-01 10:10
NetBet (FR)11.50I 8.70%NM 8.15%EV -12.57%E -1.09%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 91.85%EV -5.75%E -5.64%K -287.73%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-01 10:03
BetAnything11.20I 8.93%NM 8.50%EV -14.85%E -1.33%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.50%EV -3.91%E -3.76%K -97.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-01 10:04
ReBet11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -16.37%E -1.49%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -2.98%E -2.84%K -59.65%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-01 09:59
Casumo11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -16.37%E -1.49%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.91%E -3.76%K -97.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 10:10
Unibet (NL)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -16.37%E -1.49%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.91%E -3.76%K -97.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 10:10
Unibet11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -16.37%E -1.49%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.91%E -3.76%K -97.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 10:10
Unibet (SE)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -16.37%E -1.49%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.91%E -3.76%K -97.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 10:10
betPARX11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -16.37%E -1.49%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.91%E -3.76%K -97.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 10:10
Svenska Spel11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -16.37%E -1.49%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.91%E -3.76%K -97.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 10:10
ATG (SE)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -16.37%E -1.49%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.91%E -3.76%K -97.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 10:10
Hard Rock Bet11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -16.37%E -1.49%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.91%E -3.76%K -97.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 10:10
PointsBet (AU)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -16.37%E -1.49%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -4.83%E -4.69%K -161.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-01 10:10
Everygame11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -16.37%E -1.49%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -4.83%E -4.69%K -161.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-01 09:59
Paddy Power11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -16.37%E -1.49%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -5.75%E -5.64%K -287.73%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-01 10:10
TABtouch11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -16.37%E -1.49%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -5.75%E -5.64%K -287.73%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-01 10:10
LiveScore Bet11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -16.37%E -1.49%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -5.75%E -5.64%K -287.73%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-01 10:10
Virgin Bet11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -16.37%E -1.49%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -5.75%E -5.64%K -287.73%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-01 10:10
Grosvenor11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -16.37%E -1.49%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -5.75%E -5.64%K -287.73%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-01 10:10
Tipico (DE)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -16.37%E -1.49%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -5.75%E -5.64%K -287.73%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-01 10:10
TAB11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -16.37%E -1.49%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -5.75%E -5.64%K -287.73%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-01 10:09
Bally Bet11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -16.37%E -1.49%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -5.75%E -5.64%K -287.73%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-01 10:09
LeoVegas11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -16.37%E -1.49%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 91.59%EV -6.68%E -6.61%K -667.86%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-01 10:10
GTbets10.90I 9.17%NM 8.94%EV -17.13%E -1.57%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 91.06%EV -1.13%E -1.06%K -16.21%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-01 10:03
Fliff10.90I 9.17%NM 8.63%EV -17.13%E -1.57%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.37%EV -4.83%E -4.69%K -161.02%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-01 10:02
Unibet (FR)10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -20.17%E -1.92%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -2.98%E -2.84%K -59.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-01 10:09
Sky Bet10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -20.17%E -1.92%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -4.83%E -4.69%K -161.02%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-01 10:10
1xBet10.40I 9.62%NM 9.17%EV -20.93%E -2.01%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.83%EV -2.98%E -2.84%K -59.65%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-01 09:59
Betr (AU)10.25I 9.76%NM 9.21%EV -22.07%E -2.15%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.79%EV -3.91%E -3.76%K -97.67%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-01 10:03
betfred_uk10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -23.97%E -2.40%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -3.91%E -3.76%K -97.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-01 10:00
BetRivers9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -27.78%E -2.92%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -2.06%E -1.94%K -34.31%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-01 10:01
Bet Victor9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -27.78%E -2.92%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -3.91%E -3.76%K -97.67%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-01 10:09
LeoVegas (SE)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.18%EV -31.58%E -3.51%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 89.82%EV -5.75%E -5.64%K -287.73%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-01 10:08
Marathon Bet8.80I 11.36%NM 10.75%EV -33.10%E -3.76%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.25%EV -2.06%E -1.94%K -34.31%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 09:59
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (7)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)18.50I 5.41%NM 5.37%1.05I 95.24%NM 94.63%0.6%2026-07-01 10:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)18.50I 5.41%NM 5.37%1.05I 95.24%NM 94.63%0.6%2026-07-01 10:10
Smarkets18.48I 5.41%NM 5.38%1.05I 95.24%NM 94.62%0.6%2026-07-01 10:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26%1.08I 92.59%NM 91.74%0.9%2026-07-01 10:10
ProphetX16.50I 6.06%NM 5.98%1.05I 95.24%NM 94.02%1.3%2026-07-01 10:10
Matchbook15.50I 6.45%NM 6.34%1.05I 95.24%NM 93.66%1.7%2026-07-01 10:10
Novig11.76I 8.50%NM 7.98%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.02%6.5%2026-07-01 10:10