La scuola delle quote

Anastasia Gasanova v Naomi Osaka

Inizio: 2026-07-01 10:10 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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63 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Anastasia Gasanova (Casa)

Previsione 7.60%13.15quota equa
EV +21.64%
Vantaggio +1.35%
Kelly +1.44%
Crescita +0.312%

ipotizzando la quota massima 16.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
5.94%7.77%7.83%10.75%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
8.8011.9911.2016.0011.36%8.34%8.93%6.25%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Naomi Osaka (Trasferta)

Previsione 92.40%1.08quota equa
EV -1.13%
Vantaggio -1.06%
Kelly -16.21%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.07

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
89.25%92.23%92.17%94.06%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.011.031.031.0799.01%97.04%97.09%93.46%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (63 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Winamax (FR)16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV +21.64%E +1.35%K +1.44%G +0.312%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -6.68%E -6.61%K -667.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 10:10
DraftKings15.40I 6.49%NM 6.33%EV +17.08%E +1.11%K +1.19%G +0.203%1.04I 96.15%NM 93.67%EV -3.91%E -3.76%K -97.67%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-01 10:10
Dabble (AU)15.00I 6.67%NM 6.48%EV +14.04%E +0.936%K +1.00%G +0.141%1.04I 96.15%NM 93.52%EV -3.91%E -3.76%K -97.67%G +0.000%2.8%2026-07-01 10:07
Betclic (FR)15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +14.04%E +0.936%K +1.00%G +0.141%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -4.83%E -4.69%K -161.02%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-01 10:09
Ladbrokes (UK)15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +14.04%E +0.936%K +1.00%G +0.141%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -4.83%E -4.69%K -161.02%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-01 10:10
Coral15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +14.04%E +0.936%K +1.00%G +0.141%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -4.83%E -4.69%K -161.02%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-01 10:10
BoyleSports15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +14.04%E +0.936%K +1.00%G +0.141%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -4.83%E -4.69%K -161.02%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-01 10:10
Winamax (DE)15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +14.04%E +0.936%K +1.00%G +0.141%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -5.75%E -5.64%K -287.73%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-01 10:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV +14.04%E +0.936%K +1.00%G +0.141%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -6.68%E -6.61%K -667.86%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 10:10
PlayUp14.00I 7.14%NM 6.91%EV +6.44%E +0.460%K +0.495%G +0.032%1.04I 96.15%NM 93.09%EV -3.91%E -3.76%K -97.67%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-01 10:06
Unibet (UK)14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV +6.44%E +0.460%K +0.495%G +0.032%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -5.75%E -5.64%K -287.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 10:10
theScore Bet14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV +6.44%E +0.460%K +0.495%G +0.032%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -5.75%E -5.64%K -287.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 10:10
BetOnline.ag13.75I 7.27%NM 6.91%EV +4.54%E +0.330%K +0.356%G +0.016%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.09%EV -5.75%E -5.64%K -287.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 10:08
Pinnacle13.04I 7.67%NM 7.45%EV -0.863%E -0.066%K -0.072%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 92.55%EV -2.98%E -2.84%K -59.65%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-01 10:10
MyBookie.ag13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -1.17%E -0.090%K -0.097%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.83%E -4.69%K -161.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-01 10:09
Neds13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -1.17%E -0.090%K -0.097%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.75%E -5.64%K -287.73%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 10:04
Ladbrokes (AU)13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -1.17%E -0.090%K -0.097%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.75%E -5.64%K -287.73%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 10:04
SportsBet12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -4.97%E -0.397%K -0.432%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -4.83%E -4.69%K -161.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-01 10:07
NordicBet12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -4.97%E -0.397%K -0.432%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -5.75%E -5.64%K -287.73%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 10:10
Betsson12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -4.97%E -0.397%K -0.432%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -5.75%E -5.64%K -287.73%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 10:10
BetMGM12.50I 8.00%NM 7.48%EV -4.97%E -0.397%K -0.432%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 92.52%EV -6.68%E -6.61%K -667.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-01 10:10
Bovada12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -8.77%E -0.731%K -0.797%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -3.91%E -3.76%K -97.67%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-01 10:02
Betway12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -8.77%E -0.731%K -0.797%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.83%E -4.69%K -161.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 10:10
FanDuel12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -8.77%E -0.731%K -0.797%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.83%E -4.69%K -161.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 10:10
William Hill12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -8.77%E -0.731%K -0.797%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.83%E -4.69%K -161.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 10:10
888sport12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -8.77%E -0.731%K -0.797%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -5.75%E -5.64%K -287.73%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-01 10:10
Caesars12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -8.77%E -0.731%K -0.797%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -5.75%E -5.64%K -287.73%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-01 10:09
Fanatics12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -8.77%E -0.731%K -0.797%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -5.75%E -5.64%K -287.73%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-01 10:09
888sport (SE)12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -8.77%E -0.731%K -0.797%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -5.75%E -5.64%K -287.73%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-01 10:10
Mr Green (SE)12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -8.77%E -0.731%K -0.797%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -5.75%E -5.64%K -287.73%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-01 10:10
NetBet (FR)11.50I 8.70%NM 8.15%EV -12.57%E -1.09%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 91.85%EV -5.75%E -5.64%K -287.73%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-01 10:03
BetAnything11.20I 8.93%NM 8.50%EV -14.85%E -1.33%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.50%EV -3.91%E -3.76%K -97.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-01 10:04
ReBet11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -16.37%E -1.49%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -2.98%E -2.84%K -59.65%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-01 09:59
Casumo11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -16.37%E -1.49%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.91%E -3.76%K -97.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 10:10
Unibet (NL)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -16.37%E -1.49%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.91%E -3.76%K -97.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 10:10
Unibet11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -16.37%E -1.49%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.91%E -3.76%K -97.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 10:10
Unibet (SE)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -16.37%E -1.49%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.91%E -3.76%K -97.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 10:10
betPARX11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -16.37%E -1.49%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.91%E -3.76%K -97.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 10:10
Svenska Spel11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -16.37%E -1.49%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.91%E -3.76%K -97.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 10:10
ATG (SE)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -16.37%E -1.49%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.91%E -3.76%K -97.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 10:10
Hard Rock Bet11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -16.37%E -1.49%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.91%E -3.76%K -97.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 10:10
PointsBet (AU)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -16.37%E -1.49%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -4.83%E -4.69%K -161.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-01 10:10
Everygame11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -16.37%E -1.49%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -4.83%E -4.69%K -161.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-01 09:59
Paddy Power11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -16.37%E -1.49%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -5.75%E -5.64%K -287.73%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-01 10:10
TABtouch11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -16.37%E -1.49%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -5.75%E -5.64%K -287.73%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-01 10:10
LiveScore Bet11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -16.37%E -1.49%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -5.75%E -5.64%K -287.73%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-01 10:10
Virgin Bet11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -16.37%E -1.49%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -5.75%E -5.64%K -287.73%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-01 10:10
Grosvenor11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -16.37%E -1.49%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -5.75%E -5.64%K -287.73%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-01 10:10
Tipico (DE)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -16.37%E -1.49%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -5.75%E -5.64%K -287.73%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-01 10:10
TAB11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -16.37%E -1.49%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -5.75%E -5.64%K -287.73%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-01 10:09
Bally Bet11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -16.37%E -1.49%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -5.75%E -5.64%K -287.73%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-01 10:09
LeoVegas11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -16.37%E -1.49%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 91.59%EV -6.68%E -6.61%K -667.86%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-01 10:10
GTbets10.90I 9.17%NM 8.94%EV -17.13%E -1.57%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 91.06%EV -1.13%E -1.06%K -16.21%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-01 10:03
Fliff10.90I 9.17%NM 8.63%EV -17.13%E -1.57%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.37%EV -4.83%E -4.69%K -161.02%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-01 10:02
Unibet (FR)10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -20.17%E -1.92%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -2.98%E -2.84%K -59.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-01 10:09
Sky Bet10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -20.17%E -1.92%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -4.83%E -4.69%K -161.02%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-01 10:10
1xBet10.40I 9.62%NM 9.17%EV -20.93%E -2.01%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.83%EV -2.98%E -2.84%K -59.65%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-01 09:59
Betr (AU)10.25I 9.76%NM 9.21%EV -22.07%E -2.15%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.79%EV -3.91%E -3.76%K -97.67%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-01 10:03
betfred_uk10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -23.97%E -2.40%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -3.91%E -3.76%K -97.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-01 10:00
BetRivers9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -27.78%E -2.92%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -2.06%E -1.94%K -34.31%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-01 10:01
Bet Victor9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -27.78%E -2.92%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -3.91%E -3.76%K -97.67%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-01 10:09
LeoVegas (SE)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.18%EV -31.58%E -3.51%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 89.82%EV -5.75%E -5.64%K -287.73%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-01 10:08
Marathon Bet8.80I 11.36%NM 10.75%EV -33.10%E -3.76%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.25%EV -2.06%E -1.94%K -34.31%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 09:59
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)18.50I 5.41%NM 5.37%1.05I 95.24%NM 94.63%0.6%2026-07-01 10:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)18.50I 5.41%NM 5.37%1.05I 95.24%NM 94.63%0.6%2026-07-01 10:10
Smarkets18.48I 5.41%NM 5.38%1.05I 95.24%NM 94.62%0.6%2026-07-01 10:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26%1.08I 92.59%NM 91.74%0.9%2026-07-01 10:10
ProphetX16.50I 6.06%NM 5.98%1.05I 95.24%NM 94.02%1.3%2026-07-01 10:10
Matchbook15.50I 6.45%NM 6.34%1.05I 95.24%NM 93.66%1.7%2026-07-01 10:10
Novig11.76I 8.50%NM 7.98%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.02%6.5%2026-07-01 10:10