La escuela de los momios

Anastasia Gasanova v Naomi Osaka

Inicio: 2026-07-01 10:10 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

63 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Anastasia Gasanova (Local)

Predicción 7.60%13.15momio equitativo
EV +21.64%
Ventaja +1.35%
Kelly +1.44%
Crecimiento +0.312%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 16.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
5.94%7.77%7.83%10.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
8.8011.9911.2016.0011.36%8.34%8.93%6.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Naomi Osaka (Visitante)

Predicción 92.40%1.08momio equitativo
EV -1.13%
Ventaja -1.06%
Kelly -16.21%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.07

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
89.25%92.23%92.17%94.06%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.011.031.031.0799.01%97.04%97.09%93.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Winamax (FR)16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV +21.64%E +1.35%K +1.44%G +0.312%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -6.68%E -6.61%K -667.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 10:10
DraftKings15.40I 6.49%NM 6.33%EV +17.08%E +1.11%K +1.19%G +0.203%1.04I 96.15%NM 93.67%EV -3.91%E -3.76%K -97.67%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-01 10:10
Dabble (AU)15.00I 6.67%NM 6.48%EV +14.04%E +0.936%K +1.00%G +0.141%1.04I 96.15%NM 93.52%EV -3.91%E -3.76%K -97.67%G +0.000%2.8%2026-07-01 10:07
Betclic (FR)15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +14.04%E +0.936%K +1.00%G +0.141%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -4.83%E -4.69%K -161.02%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-01 10:09
Ladbrokes (UK)15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +14.04%E +0.936%K +1.00%G +0.141%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -4.83%E -4.69%K -161.02%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-01 10:10
Coral15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +14.04%E +0.936%K +1.00%G +0.141%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -4.83%E -4.69%K -161.02%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-01 10:10
BoyleSports15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +14.04%E +0.936%K +1.00%G +0.141%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -4.83%E -4.69%K -161.02%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-01 10:10
Winamax (DE)15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +14.04%E +0.936%K +1.00%G +0.141%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -5.75%E -5.64%K -287.73%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-01 10:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV +14.04%E +0.936%K +1.00%G +0.141%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -6.68%E -6.61%K -667.86%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 10:10
PlayUp14.00I 7.14%NM 6.91%EV +6.44%E +0.460%K +0.495%G +0.032%1.04I 96.15%NM 93.09%EV -3.91%E -3.76%K -97.67%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-01 10:06
Unibet (UK)14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV +6.44%E +0.460%K +0.495%G +0.032%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -5.75%E -5.64%K -287.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 10:10
theScore Bet14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV +6.44%E +0.460%K +0.495%G +0.032%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -5.75%E -5.64%K -287.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 10:10
BetOnline.ag13.75I 7.27%NM 6.91%EV +4.54%E +0.330%K +0.356%G +0.016%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.09%EV -5.75%E -5.64%K -287.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 10:08
Pinnacle13.04I 7.67%NM 7.45%EV -0.863%E -0.066%K -0.072%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 92.55%EV -2.98%E -2.84%K -59.65%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-01 10:10
MyBookie.ag13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -1.17%E -0.090%K -0.097%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.83%E -4.69%K -161.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-01 10:09
Neds13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -1.17%E -0.090%K -0.097%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.75%E -5.64%K -287.73%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 10:04
Ladbrokes (AU)13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -1.17%E -0.090%K -0.097%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.75%E -5.64%K -287.73%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 10:04
SportsBet12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -4.97%E -0.397%K -0.432%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -4.83%E -4.69%K -161.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-01 10:07
NordicBet12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -4.97%E -0.397%K -0.432%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -5.75%E -5.64%K -287.73%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 10:10
Betsson12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -4.97%E -0.397%K -0.432%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -5.75%E -5.64%K -287.73%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 10:10
BetMGM12.50I 8.00%NM 7.48%EV -4.97%E -0.397%K -0.432%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 92.52%EV -6.68%E -6.61%K -667.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-01 10:10
Bovada12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -8.77%E -0.731%K -0.797%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -3.91%E -3.76%K -97.67%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-01 10:02
Betway12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -8.77%E -0.731%K -0.797%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.83%E -4.69%K -161.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 10:10
FanDuel12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -8.77%E -0.731%K -0.797%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.83%E -4.69%K -161.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 10:10
William Hill12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -8.77%E -0.731%K -0.797%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.83%E -4.69%K -161.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 10:10
888sport12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -8.77%E -0.731%K -0.797%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -5.75%E -5.64%K -287.73%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-01 10:10
Caesars12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -8.77%E -0.731%K -0.797%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -5.75%E -5.64%K -287.73%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-01 10:09
Fanatics12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -8.77%E -0.731%K -0.797%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -5.75%E -5.64%K -287.73%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-01 10:09
888sport (SE)12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -8.77%E -0.731%K -0.797%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -5.75%E -5.64%K -287.73%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-01 10:10
Mr Green (SE)12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -8.77%E -0.731%K -0.797%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -5.75%E -5.64%K -287.73%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-01 10:10
NetBet (FR)11.50I 8.70%NM 8.15%EV -12.57%E -1.09%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 91.85%EV -5.75%E -5.64%K -287.73%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-01 10:03
BetAnything11.20I 8.93%NM 8.50%EV -14.85%E -1.33%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.50%EV -3.91%E -3.76%K -97.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-01 10:04
ReBet11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -16.37%E -1.49%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -2.98%E -2.84%K -59.65%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-01 09:59
Casumo11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -16.37%E -1.49%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.91%E -3.76%K -97.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 10:10
Unibet (NL)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -16.37%E -1.49%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.91%E -3.76%K -97.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 10:10
Unibet11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -16.37%E -1.49%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.91%E -3.76%K -97.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 10:10
Unibet (SE)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -16.37%E -1.49%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.91%E -3.76%K -97.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 10:10
betPARX11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -16.37%E -1.49%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.91%E -3.76%K -97.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 10:10
Svenska Spel11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -16.37%E -1.49%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.91%E -3.76%K -97.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 10:10
ATG (SE)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -16.37%E -1.49%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.91%E -3.76%K -97.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 10:10
Hard Rock Bet11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -16.37%E -1.49%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.91%E -3.76%K -97.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 10:10
PointsBet (AU)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -16.37%E -1.49%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -4.83%E -4.69%K -161.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-01 10:10
Everygame11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -16.37%E -1.49%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -4.83%E -4.69%K -161.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-01 09:59
Paddy Power11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -16.37%E -1.49%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -5.75%E -5.64%K -287.73%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-01 10:10
TABtouch11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -16.37%E -1.49%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -5.75%E -5.64%K -287.73%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-01 10:10
LiveScore Bet11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -16.37%E -1.49%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -5.75%E -5.64%K -287.73%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-01 10:10
Virgin Bet11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -16.37%E -1.49%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -5.75%E -5.64%K -287.73%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-01 10:10
Grosvenor11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -16.37%E -1.49%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -5.75%E -5.64%K -287.73%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-01 10:10
Tipico (DE)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -16.37%E -1.49%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -5.75%E -5.64%K -287.73%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-01 10:10
TAB11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -16.37%E -1.49%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -5.75%E -5.64%K -287.73%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-01 10:09
Bally Bet11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -16.37%E -1.49%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -5.75%E -5.64%K -287.73%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-01 10:09
LeoVegas11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -16.37%E -1.49%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 91.59%EV -6.68%E -6.61%K -667.86%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-01 10:10
GTbets10.90I 9.17%NM 8.94%EV -17.13%E -1.57%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 91.06%EV -1.13%E -1.06%K -16.21%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-01 10:03
Fliff10.90I 9.17%NM 8.63%EV -17.13%E -1.57%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.37%EV -4.83%E -4.69%K -161.02%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-01 10:02
Unibet (FR)10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -20.17%E -1.92%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -2.98%E -2.84%K -59.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-01 10:09
Sky Bet10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -20.17%E -1.92%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -4.83%E -4.69%K -161.02%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-01 10:10
1xBet10.40I 9.62%NM 9.17%EV -20.93%E -2.01%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.83%EV -2.98%E -2.84%K -59.65%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-01 09:59
Betr (AU)10.25I 9.76%NM 9.21%EV -22.07%E -2.15%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.79%EV -3.91%E -3.76%K -97.67%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-01 10:03
betfred_uk10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -23.97%E -2.40%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -3.91%E -3.76%K -97.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-01 10:00
BetRivers9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -27.78%E -2.92%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -2.06%E -1.94%K -34.31%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-01 10:01
Bet Victor9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -27.78%E -2.92%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -3.91%E -3.76%K -97.67%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-01 10:09
LeoVegas (SE)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.18%EV -31.58%E -3.51%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 89.82%EV -5.75%E -5.64%K -287.73%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-01 10:08
Marathon Bet8.80I 11.36%NM 10.75%EV -33.10%E -3.76%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.25%EV -2.06%E -1.94%K -34.31%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 09:59
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)18.50I 5.41%NM 5.37%1.05I 95.24%NM 94.63%0.6%2026-07-01 10:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)18.50I 5.41%NM 5.37%1.05I 95.24%NM 94.63%0.6%2026-07-01 10:10
Smarkets18.48I 5.41%NM 5.38%1.05I 95.24%NM 94.62%0.6%2026-07-01 10:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26%1.08I 92.59%NM 91.74%0.9%2026-07-01 10:10
ProphetX16.50I 6.06%NM 5.98%1.05I 95.24%NM 94.02%1.3%2026-07-01 10:10
Matchbook15.50I 6.45%NM 6.34%1.05I 95.24%NM 93.66%1.7%2026-07-01 10:10
Novig11.76I 8.50%NM 7.98%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.02%6.5%2026-07-01 10:10