Language:English
Alexandra Eala v Iga Swiatek
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Alexandra Eala (Local)
Prediction 23.68%4.22fair odd
EV +5.15%
Edge +1.16%
Kelly +1.50%
Growth +0.077%
assuming max odds 4.44
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.15%23.66%23.81%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.453.974.004.4428.99%25.20%25.00%22.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Iga Swiatek (Visit)
Prediction 76.32%1.31fair odd
EV -2.31%
Edge -1.81%
Kelly -8.27%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.28
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
74.03%76.34%76.19%78.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.181.231.241.2884.75%80.97%80.65%78.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Alexandra Eala (Local): 23.68%; Iga Swiatek (Visit): 76.32%. For Alexandra Eala (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.22. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.44, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.15%.
Sportsbook Odds (66 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.44I 22.52%NM 21.97%EV +5.15%E +1.16%K +1.50%G +0.077% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.03%EV -4.60%E -3.68%K -18.42%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-04 12:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV +4.21%E +0.956%K +1.24%G +0.052% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.71%EV -9.18%E -7.72%K -48.33%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-04 12:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV +4.21%E +0.956%K +1.24%G +0.052% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -9.95%E -8.43%K -55.26%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-04 12:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV +3.02%E +0.695%K +0.902%G +0.027% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -6.89%E -5.65%K -31.33%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-04 12:39 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV +2.55%E +0.588%K +0.765%G +0.019% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -8.42%E -7.02%K -42.10%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-04 12:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV +2.55%E +0.588%K +0.765%G +0.019% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -8.42%E -7.02%K -42.10%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-04 12:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +0.653%E +0.154%K +0.201%G +0.001% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.89%E -5.65%K -31.33%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-04 12:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -0.531%E -0.126%K -0.166%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.89%E -5.65%K -31.33%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-04 12:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -0.531%E -0.126%K -0.166%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.89%E -5.65%K -31.33%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-04 12:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -0.531%E -0.126%K -0.166%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.89%E -5.65%K -31.33%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-04 12:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -0.531%E -0.126%K -0.166%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.89%E -5.65%K -31.33%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-04 12:29 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -0.531%E -0.126%K -0.166%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.89%E -5.65%K -31.33%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-04 12:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -0.531%E -0.126%K -0.166%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.89%E -5.65%K -31.33%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-04 12:39 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -2.90%E -0.707%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -3.84%E -3.05%K -14.77%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-04 12:29 |
| ReBet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -2.90%E -0.707%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -3.84%E -3.05%K -14.77%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-04 12:29 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.90%E -0.707%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.60%E -3.68%K -18.42%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-04 12:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.90%E -0.707%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.37%E -4.33%K -22.36%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-04 12:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -2.90%E -0.707%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.89%E -5.65%K -31.33%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-04 12:40 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -2.90%E -0.707%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.89%E -5.65%K -31.33%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-04 12:32 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.06I 24.63%NM 22.81%EV -3.85%E -0.947%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.19%EV -8.42%E -7.02%K -42.10%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-04 12:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -5.27%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -3.84%E -3.05%K -14.77%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-04 12:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.27%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.60%E -3.68%K -18.42%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-04 12:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.27%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.60%E -3.68%K -18.42%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-04 12:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.27%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.60%E -3.68%K -18.42%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-04 12:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.27%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.60%E -3.68%K -18.42%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-04 12:32 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.27%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.60%E -3.68%K -18.42%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-04 12:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.27%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.60%E -3.68%K -18.42%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-04 12:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.27%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.89%E -5.65%K -31.33%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-04 12:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.27%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.89%E -5.65%K -31.33%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-04 12:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.27%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.89%E -5.65%K -31.33%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-04 12:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.27%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.89%E -5.65%K -31.33%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-04 12:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.27%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.89%E -5.65%K -31.33%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-04 12:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.27%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.89%E -5.65%K -31.33%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-04 12:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -5.27%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -8.42%E -7.02%K -42.10%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-04 12:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -5.27%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -8.42%E -7.02%K -42.10%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-04 12:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.97I 25.19%NM 23.95%EV -5.98%E -1.51%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.05%EV -4.60%E -3.68%K -18.42%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 12:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -6.45%E -1.63%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.70%EV -8.42%E -7.02%K -42.10%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-04 12:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.18%EV -7.16%E -1.83%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.82%EV -4.60%E -3.68%K -18.42%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-04 12:29 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.91I 25.58%NM 24.22%EV -7.40%E -1.89%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.78%EV -4.60%E -3.68%K -18.42%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-04 12:32 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -7.64%E -1.96%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -3.08%E -2.42%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-04 12:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -7.64%E -1.96%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.60%E -3.68%K -18.42%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-04 12:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -7.64%E -1.96%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.60%E -3.68%K -18.42%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-04 12:32 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -7.64%E -1.96%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.60%E -3.68%K -18.42%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-04 12:32 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -8.82%E -2.29%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -3.84%E -3.05%K -14.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-04 12:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -8.82%E -2.29%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.60%E -3.68%K -18.42%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-04 12:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -8.82%E -2.29%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.60%E -3.68%K -18.42%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-04 12:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -8.82%E -2.29%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.60%E -3.68%K -18.42%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-04 12:32 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -8.82%E -2.29%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.60%E -3.68%K -18.42%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-04 12:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -8.82%E -2.29%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.60%E -3.68%K -18.42%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-04 12:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -8.82%E -2.29%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.60%E -3.68%K -18.42%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-04 12:40 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -10.00%E -2.63%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.60%E -3.68%K -18.42%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-04 12:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -11.19%E -2.98%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -2.31%E -1.81%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-04 12:32 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -11.19%E -2.98%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.60%E -3.68%K -18.42%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-04 12:33 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -11.19%E -2.98%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.60%E -3.68%K -18.42%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-04 12:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -11.19%E -2.98%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -5.37%E -4.33%K -22.36%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-04 12:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -11.19%E -2.98%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -5.37%E -4.33%K -22.36%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-04 12:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -11.19%E -2.98%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -5.37%E -4.33%K -22.36%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-04 12:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -11.19%E -2.98%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -5.37%E -4.33%K -22.36%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-04 12:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -11.19%E -2.98%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -5.37%E -4.33%K -22.36%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-04 12:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -11.19%E -2.98%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -5.37%E -4.33%K -22.36%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-04 12:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.71I 26.95%NM 24.90%EV -12.14%E -3.27%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.10%EV -6.13%E -4.98%K -26.65%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-04 12:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -12.37%E -3.34%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -2.31%E -1.81%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 12:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.05%EV -13.56%E -3.71%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.95%EV -6.89%E -5.65%K -31.33%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-04 12:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -14.74%E -4.09%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.53%EV -6.13%E -4.98%K -26.65%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-04 12:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -14.74%E -4.09%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.53%EV -6.13%E -4.98%K -26.65%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-04 12:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.97%EV -18.29%E -5.30%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 74.03%EV -7.66%E -6.33%K -36.46%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-07-04 12:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.27% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.73% | 0.0% | 2026-07-04 12:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.15% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.85% | 0.3% | 2026-07-04 12:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86% | 0.6% | 2026-07-04 12:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13% | 0.6% | 2026-07-04 12:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49% | 3.8% | 2026-07-04 12:40 |
| Novig◎ | 4.26I 23.47%NM 22.26% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.74% | 5.4% | 2026-07-04 12:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.93% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.07% | 9.0% | 2026-07-04 12:40 |