默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Alexandra Eala v Iga Swiatek

开赛时间: 2026-07-04 12:40 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

66 家博彩公司 (22 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Alexandra Eala (主队)

预测 23.68%4.22公平赔率
EV +5.15%
优势 +1.16%
Kelly +1.50%
增长率 +0.077%

假设最高赔率为 4.44

博彩公司预测分布
21.15%23.66%23.81%25.97%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.453.974.004.4428.99%25.20%25.00%22.52%最小值均值中位数最大值

Iga Swiatek (客队)

预测 76.32%1.31公平赔率
EV -2.31%
优势 -1.81%
Kelly -8.27%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.28

博彩公司预测分布
74.03%76.34%76.19%78.85%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.181.231.241.2884.75%80.97%80.65%78.13%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Alexandra Eala (主队):23.68%;Iga Swiatek (客队):76.32%。 对于“Alexandra Eala (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.22。 当时有7家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为4.44,对应+5.15%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (66 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
Pinnacle🎯4.44I 22.52%NM 21.97%EV +5.15%E +1.16%K +1.50%G +0.077%1.25I 80.00%NM 78.03%EV -4.60%E -3.68%K -18.42%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-04 12:35
BetMGM🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV +4.21%E +0.956%K +1.24%G +0.052%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.71%EV -9.18%E -7.72%K -48.33%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-04 12:40
Coral🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV +4.21%E +0.956%K +1.24%G +0.052%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -9.95%E -8.43%K -55.26%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-04 12:40
Fanatics🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV +3.02%E +0.695%K +0.902%G +0.027%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -6.89%E -5.65%K -31.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-04 12:39
Bet Victor🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV +2.55%E +0.588%K +0.765%G +0.019%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -8.42%E -7.02%K -42.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-04 12:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV +2.55%E +0.588%K +0.765%G +0.019%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -8.42%E -7.02%K -42.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-04 12:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +0.653%E +0.154%K +0.201%G +0.001%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.89%E -5.65%K -31.33%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-04 12:40
Casumo🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -0.531%E -0.126%K -0.166%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.89%E -5.65%K -31.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-04 12:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -0.531%E -0.126%K -0.166%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.89%E -5.65%K -31.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-04 12:40
TAB🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -0.531%E -0.126%K -0.166%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.89%E -5.65%K -31.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-04 12:40
Everygame🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -0.531%E -0.126%K -0.166%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.89%E -5.65%K -31.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-04 12:29
ATG (SE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -0.531%E -0.126%K -0.166%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.89%E -5.65%K -31.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-04 12:40
betPARX🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -0.531%E -0.126%K -0.166%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.89%E -5.65%K -31.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-04 12:39
Unibet (FR)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -2.90%E -0.707%K -0.935%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -3.84%E -3.05%K -14.77%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-04 12:29
ReBet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -2.90%E -0.707%K -0.935%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -3.84%E -3.05%K -14.77%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-04 12:29
BetAnything🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.90%E -0.707%K -0.935%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.60%E -3.68%K -18.42%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-04 12:34
SportsBet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.90%E -0.707%K -0.935%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.37%E -4.33%K -22.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-04 12:35
LeoVegas🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -2.90%E -0.707%K -0.935%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.89%E -5.65%K -31.33%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-04 12:40
NetBet (FR)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -2.90%E -0.707%K -0.935%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.89%E -5.65%K -31.33%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-04 12:32
Betsson🎯4.06I 24.63%NM 22.81%EV -3.85%E -0.947%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.19%EV -8.42%E -7.02%K -42.10%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-04 12:40
BetOnline.ag🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -5.27%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -3.84%E -3.05%K -14.77%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-04 12:35
Betway🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.27%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.60%E -3.68%K -18.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-04 12:35
FanDuel🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.27%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.60%E -3.68%K -18.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-04 12:40
William Hill🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.27%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.60%E -3.68%K -18.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-04 12:35
Bovada🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.27%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.60%E -3.68%K -18.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-04 12:32
BoyleSports🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.27%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.60%E -3.68%K -18.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-04 12:35
BetUS🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.27%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.60%E -3.68%K -18.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-04 12:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.27%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.89%E -5.65%K -31.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-04 12:40
888sport🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.27%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.89%E -5.65%K -31.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-04 12:40
Tipico (DE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.27%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.89%E -5.65%K -31.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-04 12:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.27%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.89%E -5.65%K -31.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-04 12:40
Caesars🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.27%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.89%E -5.65%K -31.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-04 12:40
888sport (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.27%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.89%E -5.65%K -31.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-04 12:40
Sky Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -5.27%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -8.42%E -7.02%K -42.10%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-04 12:40
Paddy Power🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -5.27%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -8.42%E -7.02%K -42.10%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-04 12:40
DraftKings🎯3.97I 25.19%NM 23.95%EV -5.98%E -1.51%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.05%EV -4.60%E -3.68%K -18.42%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 12:40
Fliff🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -6.45%E -1.63%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.70%EV -8.42%E -7.02%K -42.10%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-04 12:40
Marathon Bet🎯3.92I 25.51%NM 24.18%EV -7.16%E -1.83%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.82%EV -4.60%E -3.68%K -18.42%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-04 12:29
GTbets🎯3.91I 25.58%NM 24.22%EV -7.40%E -1.89%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.78%EV -4.60%E -3.68%K -18.42%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 12:32
Unibet (UK)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -7.64%E -1.96%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -3.08%E -2.42%K -11.40%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-04 12:40
Coolbet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -7.64%E -1.96%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.60%E -3.68%K -18.42%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 12:40
Neds🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -7.64%E -1.96%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.60%E -3.68%K -18.42%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 12:32
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -7.64%E -1.96%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.60%E -3.68%K -18.42%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 12:32
Dabble (AU)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -8.82%E -2.29%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -3.84%E -3.05%K -14.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-04 12:35
Unibet (SE)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -8.82%E -2.29%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.60%E -3.68%K -18.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-04 12:40
Unibet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -8.82%E -2.29%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.60%E -3.68%K -18.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-04 12:40
Betr (AU)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -8.82%E -2.29%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.60%E -3.68%K -18.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-04 12:32
Unibet (NL)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -8.82%E -2.29%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.60%E -3.68%K -18.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-04 12:40
PlayUp🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -8.82%E -2.29%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.60%E -3.68%K -18.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-04 12:35
Svenska Spel🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -8.82%E -2.29%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.60%E -3.68%K -18.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-04 12:40
MyBookie.ag🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -10.00%E -2.63%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.60%E -3.68%K -18.42%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-04 12:35
1xBet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -11.19%E -2.98%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -2.31%E -1.81%K -8.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-04 12:32
betfred_uk🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -11.19%E -2.98%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.60%E -3.68%K -18.42%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-04 12:33
theScore Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -11.19%E -2.98%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.60%E -3.68%K -18.42%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-04 12:40
Virgin Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -11.19%E -2.98%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -5.37%E -4.33%K -22.36%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-04 12:40
Grosvenor🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -11.19%E -2.98%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -5.37%E -4.33%K -22.36%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-04 12:40
TABtouch🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -11.19%E -2.98%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -5.37%E -4.33%K -22.36%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-04 12:40
PMU (FR)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -11.19%E -2.98%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -5.37%E -4.33%K -22.36%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-04 12:40
LiveScore Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -11.19%E -2.98%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -5.37%E -4.33%K -22.36%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-04 12:40
Bally Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -11.19%E -2.98%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -5.37%E -4.33%K -22.36%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-04 12:40
NordicBet🎯3.71I 26.95%NM 24.90%EV -12.14%E -3.27%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 75.10%EV -6.13%E -4.98%K -26.65%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-04 12:40
BetRivers🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -12.37%E -3.34%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -2.31%E -1.81%K -8.27%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 12:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.05%EV -13.56%E -3.71%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 74.95%EV -6.89%E -5.65%K -31.33%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-04 12:40
Winamax (DE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -14.74%E -4.09%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 74.53%EV -6.13%E -4.98%K -26.65%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-04 12:40
Betclic (FR)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -14.74%E -4.09%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 74.53%EV -6.13%E -4.98%K -26.65%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-04 12:39
Winamax (FR)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 25.97%EV -18.29%E -5.30%K -7.47%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 74.03%EV -7.66%E -6.33%K -36.46%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-04 12:40
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (7)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.70I 21.28%NM 21.27%1.27I 78.74%NM 78.73%0.0%2026-07-04 12:40
Matchbook4.50I 22.22%NM 22.15%1.28I 78.13%NM 77.85%0.3%2026-07-04 12:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%0.6%2026-07-04 12:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13%0.6%2026-07-04 12:40
ProphetX4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%3.8%2026-07-04 12:40
Novig4.26I 23.47%NM 22.26%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.74%5.4%2026-07-04 12:40
Smarkets4.00I 25.00%NM 22.93%1.19I 84.03%NM 77.07%9.0%2026-07-04 12:40