La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Alexandra Eala v Iga Swiatek
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Alexandra Eala (Local)
Predicción 23.68%4.22momio equitativo
EV +5.15%
Ventaja +1.16%
Kelly +1.50%
Crecimiento +0.077%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.44
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.15%23.66%23.81%25.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.453.974.004.4428.99%25.20%25.00%22.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Iga Swiatek (Visitante)
Predicción 76.32%1.31momio equitativo
EV -2.31%
Ventaja -1.81%
Kelly -8.27%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.28
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
74.03%76.34%76.19%78.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.181.231.241.2884.75%80.97%80.65%78.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (66 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 4.44I 22.52%NM 21.97%EV +5.15%E +1.16%K +1.50%G +0.077% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.03%EV -4.60%E -3.68%K -18.42%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-04 12:35 |
| BetMGM | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV +4.21%E +0.956%K +1.24%G +0.052% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.71%EV -9.18%E -7.72%K -48.33%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-04 12:40 |
| Coral | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV +4.21%E +0.956%K +1.24%G +0.052% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -9.95%E -8.43%K -55.26%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-04 12:40 |
| Fanatics | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV +3.02%E +0.695%K +0.902%G +0.027% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -6.89%E -5.65%K -31.33%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-04 12:39 |
| Bet Victor | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV +2.55%E +0.588%K +0.765%G +0.019% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -8.42%E -7.02%K -42.10%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-04 12:39 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV +2.55%E +0.588%K +0.765%G +0.019% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -8.42%E -7.02%K -42.10%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-04 12:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +0.653%E +0.154%K +0.201%G +0.001% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.89%E -5.65%K -31.33%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-04 12:40 |
| Casumo | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -0.531%E -0.126%K -0.166%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.89%E -5.65%K -31.33%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-04 12:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -0.531%E -0.126%K -0.166%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.89%E -5.65%K -31.33%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-04 12:40 |
| TAB | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -0.531%E -0.126%K -0.166%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.89%E -5.65%K -31.33%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-04 12:40 |
| Everygame | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -0.531%E -0.126%K -0.166%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.89%E -5.65%K -31.33%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-04 12:29 |
| ATG (SE) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -0.531%E -0.126%K -0.166%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.89%E -5.65%K -31.33%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-04 12:40 |
| betPARX | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -0.531%E -0.126%K -0.166%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.89%E -5.65%K -31.33%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-04 12:39 |
| Unibet (FR) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -2.90%E -0.707%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -3.84%E -3.05%K -14.77%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-04 12:29 |
| ReBet | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -2.90%E -0.707%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -3.84%E -3.05%K -14.77%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-04 12:29 |
| BetAnything | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.90%E -0.707%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.60%E -3.68%K -18.42%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-04 12:34 |
| SportsBet | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.90%E -0.707%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.37%E -4.33%K -22.36%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-04 12:35 |
| LeoVegas | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -2.90%E -0.707%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.89%E -5.65%K -31.33%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-04 12:40 |
| NetBet (FR) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -2.90%E -0.707%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.89%E -5.65%K -31.33%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-04 12:32 |
| Betsson | 4.06I 24.63%NM 22.81%EV -3.85%E -0.947%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.19%EV -8.42%E -7.02%K -42.10%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-04 12:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -5.27%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -3.84%E -3.05%K -14.77%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-04 12:35 |
| Betway | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.27%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.60%E -3.68%K -18.42%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-04 12:35 |
| FanDuel | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.27%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.60%E -3.68%K -18.42%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-04 12:40 |
| William Hill | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.27%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.60%E -3.68%K -18.42%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-04 12:35 |
| Bovada | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.27%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.60%E -3.68%K -18.42%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-04 12:32 |
| BoyleSports | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.27%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.60%E -3.68%K -18.42%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-04 12:35 |
| BetUS | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.27%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.60%E -3.68%K -18.42%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-04 12:35 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.27%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.89%E -5.65%K -31.33%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-04 12:40 |
| 888sport | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.27%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.89%E -5.65%K -31.33%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-04 12:40 |
| Tipico (DE) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.27%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.89%E -5.65%K -31.33%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-04 12:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.27%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.89%E -5.65%K -31.33%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-04 12:40 |
| Caesars | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.27%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.89%E -5.65%K -31.33%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-04 12:40 |
| 888sport (SE) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.27%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.89%E -5.65%K -31.33%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-04 12:40 |
| Sky Bet | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -5.27%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -8.42%E -7.02%K -42.10%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-04 12:40 |
| Paddy Power | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -5.27%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -8.42%E -7.02%K -42.10%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-04 12:40 |
| DraftKings | 3.97I 25.19%NM 23.95%EV -5.98%E -1.51%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.05%EV -4.60%E -3.68%K -18.42%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 12:40 |
| Fliff | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -6.45%E -1.63%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.70%EV -8.42%E -7.02%K -42.10%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-04 12:40 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.18%EV -7.16%E -1.83%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.82%EV -4.60%E -3.68%K -18.42%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-04 12:29 |
| GTbets | 3.91I 25.58%NM 24.22%EV -7.40%E -1.89%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.78%EV -4.60%E -3.68%K -18.42%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-04 12:32 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -7.64%E -1.96%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -3.08%E -2.42%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-04 12:40 |
| Coolbet | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -7.64%E -1.96%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.60%E -3.68%K -18.42%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-04 12:40 |
| Neds | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -7.64%E -1.96%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.60%E -3.68%K -18.42%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-04 12:32 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -7.64%E -1.96%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.60%E -3.68%K -18.42%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-04 12:32 |
| Dabble (AU) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -8.82%E -2.29%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -3.84%E -3.05%K -14.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-04 12:35 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -8.82%E -2.29%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.60%E -3.68%K -18.42%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-04 12:40 |
| Unibet | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -8.82%E -2.29%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.60%E -3.68%K -18.42%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-04 12:40 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -8.82%E -2.29%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.60%E -3.68%K -18.42%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-04 12:32 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -8.82%E -2.29%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.60%E -3.68%K -18.42%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-04 12:40 |
| PlayUp | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -8.82%E -2.29%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.60%E -3.68%K -18.42%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-04 12:35 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -8.82%E -2.29%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.60%E -3.68%K -18.42%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-04 12:40 |
| MyBookie.ag | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -10.00%E -2.63%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.60%E -3.68%K -18.42%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-04 12:35 |
| 1xBet | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -11.19%E -2.98%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -2.31%E -1.81%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-04 12:32 |
| betfred_uk | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -11.19%E -2.98%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.60%E -3.68%K -18.42%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-04 12:33 |
| theScore Bet | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -11.19%E -2.98%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.60%E -3.68%K -18.42%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-04 12:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -11.19%E -2.98%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -5.37%E -4.33%K -22.36%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-04 12:40 |
| Grosvenor | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -11.19%E -2.98%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -5.37%E -4.33%K -22.36%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-04 12:40 |
| TABtouch | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -11.19%E -2.98%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -5.37%E -4.33%K -22.36%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-04 12:40 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -11.19%E -2.98%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -5.37%E -4.33%K -22.36%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-04 12:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -11.19%E -2.98%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -5.37%E -4.33%K -22.36%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-04 12:40 |
| Bally Bet | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -11.19%E -2.98%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -5.37%E -4.33%K -22.36%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-04 12:40 |
| NordicBet | 3.71I 26.95%NM 24.90%EV -12.14%E -3.27%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.10%EV -6.13%E -4.98%K -26.65%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-04 12:40 |
| BetRivers | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -12.37%E -3.34%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -2.31%E -1.81%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 12:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.05%EV -13.56%E -3.71%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.95%EV -6.89%E -5.65%K -31.33%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-04 12:40 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -14.74%E -4.09%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.53%EV -6.13%E -4.98%K -26.65%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-04 12:40 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -14.74%E -4.09%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.53%EV -6.13%E -4.98%K -26.65%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-04 12:39 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.97%EV -18.29%E -5.30%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 74.03%EV -7.66%E -6.33%K -36.46%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-07-04 12:40 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.27% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.73% | 0.0% | 2026-07-04 12:40 |
| Matchbook | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.15% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.85% | 0.3% | 2026-07-04 12:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86% | 0.6% | 2026-07-04 12:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13% | 0.6% | 2026-07-04 12:40 |
| ProphetX | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49% | 3.8% | 2026-07-04 12:40 |
| Novig | 4.26I 23.47%NM 22.26% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.74% | 5.4% | 2026-07-04 12:40 |
| Smarkets | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.93% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.07% | 9.0% | 2026-07-04 12:40 |