Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Alexandra Eala v Iga Swiatek

Inizio: 2026-07-04 12:40 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

66 bookmaker (22 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Alexandra Eala (Casa)

Previsione 23.68%4.22quota equa
EV +5.15%
Vantaggio +1.16%
Kelly +1.50%
Crescita +0.077%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.44

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
21.15%23.66%23.81%25.97%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.453.974.004.4428.99%25.20%25.00%22.52%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Iga Swiatek (Trasferta)

Previsione 76.32%1.31quota equa
EV -2.31%
Vantaggio -1.81%
Kelly -8.27%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.28

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
74.03%76.34%76.19%78.85%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.181.231.241.2884.75%80.97%80.65%78.13%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Alexandra Eala (Casa): 23.68%; Iga Swiatek (Trasferta): 76.32%. Per Alexandra Eala (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 4.22. 7 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 4.44, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +5.15%.

Quote dei bookmaker (66 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle🎯4.44I 22.52%NM 21.97%EV +5.15%E +1.16%K +1.50%G +0.077%1.25I 80.00%NM 78.03%EV -4.60%E -3.68%K -18.42%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-04 12:35
BetMGM🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV +4.21%E +0.956%K +1.24%G +0.052%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.71%EV -9.18%E -7.72%K -48.33%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-04 12:40
Coral🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV +4.21%E +0.956%K +1.24%G +0.052%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -9.95%E -8.43%K -55.26%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-04 12:40
Fanatics🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV +3.02%E +0.695%K +0.902%G +0.027%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -6.89%E -5.65%K -31.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-04 12:39
Bet Victor🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV +2.55%E +0.588%K +0.765%G +0.019%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -8.42%E -7.02%K -42.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-04 12:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV +2.55%E +0.588%K +0.765%G +0.019%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -8.42%E -7.02%K -42.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-04 12:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +0.653%E +0.154%K +0.201%G +0.001%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.89%E -5.65%K -31.33%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-04 12:40
Casumo🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -0.531%E -0.126%K -0.166%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.89%E -5.65%K -31.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-04 12:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -0.531%E -0.126%K -0.166%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.89%E -5.65%K -31.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-04 12:40
TAB🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -0.531%E -0.126%K -0.166%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.89%E -5.65%K -31.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-04 12:40
Everygame🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -0.531%E -0.126%K -0.166%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.89%E -5.65%K -31.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-04 12:29
ATG (SE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -0.531%E -0.126%K -0.166%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.89%E -5.65%K -31.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-04 12:40
betPARX🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -0.531%E -0.126%K -0.166%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.89%E -5.65%K -31.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-04 12:39
Unibet (FR)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -2.90%E -0.707%K -0.935%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -3.84%E -3.05%K -14.77%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-04 12:29
ReBet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -2.90%E -0.707%K -0.935%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -3.84%E -3.05%K -14.77%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-04 12:29
BetAnything🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.90%E -0.707%K -0.935%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.60%E -3.68%K -18.42%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-04 12:34
SportsBet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.90%E -0.707%K -0.935%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.37%E -4.33%K -22.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-04 12:35
LeoVegas🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -2.90%E -0.707%K -0.935%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.89%E -5.65%K -31.33%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-04 12:40
NetBet (FR)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -2.90%E -0.707%K -0.935%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.89%E -5.65%K -31.33%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-04 12:32
Betsson🎯4.06I 24.63%NM 22.81%EV -3.85%E -0.947%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.19%EV -8.42%E -7.02%K -42.10%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-04 12:40
BetOnline.ag🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -5.27%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -3.84%E -3.05%K -14.77%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-04 12:35
Betway🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.27%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.60%E -3.68%K -18.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-04 12:35
FanDuel🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.27%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.60%E -3.68%K -18.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-04 12:40
William Hill🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.27%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.60%E -3.68%K -18.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-04 12:35
Bovada🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.27%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.60%E -3.68%K -18.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-04 12:32
BoyleSports🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.27%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.60%E -3.68%K -18.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-04 12:35
BetUS🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.27%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.60%E -3.68%K -18.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-04 12:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.27%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.89%E -5.65%K -31.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-04 12:40
888sport🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.27%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.89%E -5.65%K -31.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-04 12:40
Tipico (DE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.27%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.89%E -5.65%K -31.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-04 12:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.27%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.89%E -5.65%K -31.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-04 12:40
Caesars🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.27%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.89%E -5.65%K -31.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-04 12:40
888sport (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.27%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.89%E -5.65%K -31.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-04 12:40
Sky Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -5.27%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -8.42%E -7.02%K -42.10%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-04 12:40
Paddy Power🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -5.27%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -8.42%E -7.02%K -42.10%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-04 12:40
DraftKings🎯3.97I 25.19%NM 23.95%EV -5.98%E -1.51%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.05%EV -4.60%E -3.68%K -18.42%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 12:40
Fliff🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -6.45%E -1.63%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.70%EV -8.42%E -7.02%K -42.10%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-04 12:40
Marathon Bet🎯3.92I 25.51%NM 24.18%EV -7.16%E -1.83%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.82%EV -4.60%E -3.68%K -18.42%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-04 12:29
GTbets🎯3.91I 25.58%NM 24.22%EV -7.40%E -1.89%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.78%EV -4.60%E -3.68%K -18.42%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 12:32
Unibet (UK)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -7.64%E -1.96%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -3.08%E -2.42%K -11.40%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-04 12:40
Coolbet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -7.64%E -1.96%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.60%E -3.68%K -18.42%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 12:40
Neds🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -7.64%E -1.96%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.60%E -3.68%K -18.42%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 12:32
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -7.64%E -1.96%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.60%E -3.68%K -18.42%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 12:32
Dabble (AU)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -8.82%E -2.29%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -3.84%E -3.05%K -14.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-04 12:35
Unibet (SE)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -8.82%E -2.29%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.60%E -3.68%K -18.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-04 12:40
Unibet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -8.82%E -2.29%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.60%E -3.68%K -18.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-04 12:40
Betr (AU)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -8.82%E -2.29%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.60%E -3.68%K -18.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-04 12:32
Unibet (NL)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -8.82%E -2.29%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.60%E -3.68%K -18.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-04 12:40
PlayUp🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -8.82%E -2.29%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.60%E -3.68%K -18.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-04 12:35
Svenska Spel🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -8.82%E -2.29%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.60%E -3.68%K -18.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-04 12:40
MyBookie.ag🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -10.00%E -2.63%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.60%E -3.68%K -18.42%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-04 12:35
1xBet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -11.19%E -2.98%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -2.31%E -1.81%K -8.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-04 12:32
betfred_uk🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -11.19%E -2.98%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.60%E -3.68%K -18.42%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-04 12:33
theScore Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -11.19%E -2.98%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.60%E -3.68%K -18.42%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-04 12:40
Virgin Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -11.19%E -2.98%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -5.37%E -4.33%K -22.36%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-04 12:40
Grosvenor🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -11.19%E -2.98%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -5.37%E -4.33%K -22.36%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-04 12:40
TABtouch🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -11.19%E -2.98%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -5.37%E -4.33%K -22.36%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-04 12:40
PMU (FR)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -11.19%E -2.98%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -5.37%E -4.33%K -22.36%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-04 12:40
LiveScore Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -11.19%E -2.98%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -5.37%E -4.33%K -22.36%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-04 12:40
Bally Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -11.19%E -2.98%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -5.37%E -4.33%K -22.36%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-04 12:40
NordicBet🎯3.71I 26.95%NM 24.90%EV -12.14%E -3.27%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 75.10%EV -6.13%E -4.98%K -26.65%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-04 12:40
BetRivers🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -12.37%E -3.34%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -2.31%E -1.81%K -8.27%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 12:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.05%EV -13.56%E -3.71%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 74.95%EV -6.89%E -5.65%K -31.33%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-04 12:40
Winamax (DE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -14.74%E -4.09%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 74.53%EV -6.13%E -4.98%K -26.65%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-04 12:40
Betclic (FR)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -14.74%E -4.09%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 74.53%EV -6.13%E -4.98%K -26.65%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-04 12:39
Winamax (FR)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 25.97%EV -18.29%E -5.30%K -7.47%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 74.03%EV -7.66%E -6.33%K -36.46%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-04 12:40
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.70I 21.28%NM 21.27%1.27I 78.74%NM 78.73%0.0%2026-07-04 12:40
Matchbook4.50I 22.22%NM 22.15%1.28I 78.13%NM 77.85%0.3%2026-07-04 12:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%0.6%2026-07-04 12:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13%0.6%2026-07-04 12:40
ProphetX4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%3.8%2026-07-04 12:40
Novig4.26I 23.47%NM 22.26%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.74%5.4%2026-07-04 12:40
Smarkets4.00I 25.00%NM 22.93%1.19I 84.03%NM 77.07%9.0%2026-07-04 12:40