La scuola delle quoteQuote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
ipotizzando la quota massima 4.44
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.28
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| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 4.44I 22.52%NM 21.97%EV +5.15%E +1.16%K +1.50%G +0.077% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.03%EV -4.60%E -3.68%K -18.42%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-04 12:35 |
| BetMGM | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV +4.21%E +0.956%K +1.24%G +0.052% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.71%EV -9.18%E -7.72%K -48.33%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-04 12:40 |
| Coral | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV +4.21%E +0.956%K +1.24%G +0.052% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -9.95%E -8.43%K -55.26%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-04 12:40 |
| Fanatics | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV +3.02%E +0.695%K +0.902%G +0.027% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -6.89%E -5.65%K -31.33%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-04 12:39 |
| Bet Victor | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV +2.55%E +0.588%K +0.765%G +0.019% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -8.42%E -7.02%K -42.10%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-04 12:39 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV +2.55%E +0.588%K +0.765%G +0.019% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -8.42%E -7.02%K -42.10%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-04 12:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +0.653%E +0.154%K +0.201%G +0.001% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.89%E -5.65%K -31.33%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-04 12:40 |
| Casumo | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -0.531%E -0.126%K -0.166%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.89%E -5.65%K -31.33%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-04 12:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -0.531%E -0.126%K -0.166%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.89%E -5.65%K -31.33%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-04 12:40 |
| TAB | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -0.531%E -0.126%K -0.166%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.89%E -5.65%K -31.33%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-04 12:40 |
| Everygame | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -0.531%E -0.126%K -0.166%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.89%E -5.65%K -31.33%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-04 12:29 |
| ATG (SE) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -0.531%E -0.126%K -0.166%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.89%E -5.65%K -31.33%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-04 12:40 |
| betPARX | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -0.531%E -0.126%K -0.166%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.89%E -5.65%K -31.33%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-04 12:39 |
| Unibet (FR) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -2.90%E -0.707%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -3.84%E -3.05%K -14.77%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-04 12:29 |
| ReBet | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -2.90%E -0.707%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -3.84%E -3.05%K -14.77%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-04 12:29 |
| BetAnything | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.90%E -0.707%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.60%E -3.68%K -18.42%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-04 12:34 |
| SportsBet | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.90%E -0.707%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.37%E -4.33%K -22.36%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-04 12:35 |
| LeoVegas | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -2.90%E -0.707%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.89%E -5.65%K -31.33%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-04 12:40 |
| NetBet (FR) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -2.90%E -0.707%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.89%E -5.65%K -31.33%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-04 12:32 |
| Betsson | 4.06I 24.63%NM 22.81%EV -3.85%E -0.947%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.19%EV -8.42%E -7.02%K -42.10%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-04 12:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -5.27%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -3.84%E -3.05%K -14.77%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-04 12:35 |
| Betway | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.27%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.60%E -3.68%K -18.42%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-04 12:35 |
| FanDuel | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.27%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.60%E -3.68%K -18.42%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-04 12:40 |
| William Hill | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.27%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.60%E -3.68%K -18.42%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-04 12:35 |
| Bovada | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.27%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.60%E -3.68%K -18.42%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-04 12:32 |
| BoyleSports | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.27%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.60%E -3.68%K -18.42%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-04 12:35 |
| BetUS | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.27%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.60%E -3.68%K -18.42%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-04 12:35 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.27%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.89%E -5.65%K -31.33%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-04 12:40 |
| 888sport | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.27%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.89%E -5.65%K -31.33%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-04 12:40 |
| Tipico (DE) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.27%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.89%E -5.65%K -31.33%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-04 12:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.27%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.89%E -5.65%K -31.33%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-04 12:40 |
| Caesars | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.27%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.89%E -5.65%K -31.33%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-04 12:40 |
| 888sport (SE) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.27%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.89%E -5.65%K -31.33%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-04 12:40 |
| Sky Bet | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -5.27%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -8.42%E -7.02%K -42.10%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-04 12:40 |
| Paddy Power | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -5.27%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -8.42%E -7.02%K -42.10%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-04 12:40 |
| DraftKings | 3.97I 25.19%NM 23.95%EV -5.98%E -1.51%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.05%EV -4.60%E -3.68%K -18.42%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 12:40 |
| Fliff | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -6.45%E -1.63%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.70%EV -8.42%E -7.02%K -42.10%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-04 12:40 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.18%EV -7.16%E -1.83%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.82%EV -4.60%E -3.68%K -18.42%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-04 12:29 |
| GTbets | 3.91I 25.58%NM 24.22%EV -7.40%E -1.89%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.78%EV -4.60%E -3.68%K -18.42%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-04 12:32 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -7.64%E -1.96%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -3.08%E -2.42%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-04 12:40 |
| Coolbet | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -7.64%E -1.96%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.60%E -3.68%K -18.42%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-04 12:40 |
| Neds | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -7.64%E -1.96%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.60%E -3.68%K -18.42%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-04 12:32 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -7.64%E -1.96%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.60%E -3.68%K -18.42%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-04 12:32 |
| Dabble (AU) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -8.82%E -2.29%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -3.84%E -3.05%K -14.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-04 12:35 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -8.82%E -2.29%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.60%E -3.68%K -18.42%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-04 12:40 |
| Unibet | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -8.82%E -2.29%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.60%E -3.68%K -18.42%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-04 12:40 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -8.82%E -2.29%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.60%E -3.68%K -18.42%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-04 12:32 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -8.82%E -2.29%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.60%E -3.68%K -18.42%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-04 12:40 |
| PlayUp | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -8.82%E -2.29%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.60%E -3.68%K -18.42%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-04 12:35 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -8.82%E -2.29%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.60%E -3.68%K -18.42%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-04 12:40 |
| MyBookie.ag | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -10.00%E -2.63%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.60%E -3.68%K -18.42%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-04 12:35 |
| 1xBet | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -11.19%E -2.98%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -2.31%E -1.81%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-04 12:32 |
| betfred_uk | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -11.19%E -2.98%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.60%E -3.68%K -18.42%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-04 12:33 |
| theScore Bet | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -11.19%E -2.98%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.60%E -3.68%K -18.42%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-04 12:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -11.19%E -2.98%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -5.37%E -4.33%K -22.36%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-04 12:40 |
| Grosvenor | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -11.19%E -2.98%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -5.37%E -4.33%K -22.36%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-04 12:40 |
| TABtouch | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -11.19%E -2.98%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -5.37%E -4.33%K -22.36%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-04 12:40 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -11.19%E -2.98%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -5.37%E -4.33%K -22.36%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-04 12:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -11.19%E -2.98%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -5.37%E -4.33%K -22.36%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-04 12:40 |
| Bally Bet | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -11.19%E -2.98%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -5.37%E -4.33%K -22.36%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-04 12:40 |
| NordicBet | 3.71I 26.95%NM 24.90%EV -12.14%E -3.27%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.10%EV -6.13%E -4.98%K -26.65%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-04 12:40 |
| BetRivers | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -12.37%E -3.34%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -2.31%E -1.81%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 12:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.05%EV -13.56%E -3.71%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.95%EV -6.89%E -5.65%K -31.33%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-04 12:40 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -14.74%E -4.09%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.53%EV -6.13%E -4.98%K -26.65%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-04 12:40 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -14.74%E -4.09%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.53%EV -6.13%E -4.98%K -26.65%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-04 12:39 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.97%EV -18.29%E -5.30%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 74.03%EV -7.66%E -6.33%K -36.46%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-07-04 12:40 |
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.27% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.73% | 0.0% | 2026-07-04 12:40 |
| Matchbook | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.15% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.85% | 0.3% | 2026-07-04 12:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86% | 0.6% | 2026-07-04 12:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13% | 0.6% | 2026-07-04 12:40 |
| ProphetX | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49% | 3.8% | 2026-07-04 12:40 |
| Novig | 4.26I 23.47%NM 22.26% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.74% | 5.4% | 2026-07-04 12:40 |
| Smarkets | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.93% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.07% | 9.0% | 2026-07-04 12:40 |