L’École des cotes

Alexandra Eala v Iga Swiatek

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-04 12:40 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

66 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Alexandra Eala (Local)

Prévision 23.68%4.22cote équitable
EV +5.15%
Avantage +1.16%
Kelly +1.50%
Croissance +0.077%

avec la cote maximale 4.44

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.15%23.66%23.81%25.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.453.974.004.4428.99%25.20%25.00%22.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Iga Swiatek (Visiteur)

Prévision 76.32%1.31cote équitable
EV -2.31%
Avantage -1.81%
Kelly -8.27%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.28

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
74.03%76.34%76.19%78.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.181.231.241.2884.75%80.97%80.65%78.13%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (66 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle4.44I 22.52%NM 21.97%EV +5.15%E +1.16%K +1.50%G +0.077%1.25I 80.00%NM 78.03%EV -4.60%E -3.68%K -18.42%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-04 12:35
BetMGM4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV +4.21%E +0.956%K +1.24%G +0.052%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.71%EV -9.18%E -7.72%K -48.33%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-04 12:40
Coral4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV +4.21%E +0.956%K +1.24%G +0.052%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -9.95%E -8.43%K -55.26%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-04 12:40
Fanatics4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV +3.02%E +0.695%K +0.902%G +0.027%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -6.89%E -5.65%K -31.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-04 12:39
Bet Victor4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV +2.55%E +0.588%K +0.765%G +0.019%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -8.42%E -7.02%K -42.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-04 12:39
Mr Green (SE)4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV +2.55%E +0.588%K +0.765%G +0.019%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -8.42%E -7.02%K -42.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-04 12:40
Hard Rock Bet4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +0.653%E +0.154%K +0.201%G +0.001%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.89%E -5.65%K -31.33%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-04 12:40
Casumo4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -0.531%E -0.126%K -0.166%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.89%E -5.65%K -31.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-04 12:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -0.531%E -0.126%K -0.166%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.89%E -5.65%K -31.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-04 12:40
TAB4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -0.531%E -0.126%K -0.166%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.89%E -5.65%K -31.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-04 12:40
Everygame4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -0.531%E -0.126%K -0.166%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.89%E -5.65%K -31.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-04 12:29
ATG (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -0.531%E -0.126%K -0.166%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.89%E -5.65%K -31.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-04 12:40
betPARX4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -0.531%E -0.126%K -0.166%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.89%E -5.65%K -31.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-04 12:39
Unibet (FR)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -2.90%E -0.707%K -0.935%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -3.84%E -3.05%K -14.77%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-04 12:29
ReBet4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -2.90%E -0.707%K -0.935%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -3.84%E -3.05%K -14.77%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-04 12:29
BetAnything4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.90%E -0.707%K -0.935%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.60%E -3.68%K -18.42%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-04 12:34
SportsBet4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.90%E -0.707%K -0.935%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.37%E -4.33%K -22.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-04 12:35
LeoVegas4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -2.90%E -0.707%K -0.935%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.89%E -5.65%K -31.33%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-04 12:40
NetBet (FR)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -2.90%E -0.707%K -0.935%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.89%E -5.65%K -31.33%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-04 12:32
Betsson4.06I 24.63%NM 22.81%EV -3.85%E -0.947%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.19%EV -8.42%E -7.02%K -42.10%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-04 12:40
BetOnline.ag4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -5.27%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -3.84%E -3.05%K -14.77%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-04 12:35
Betway4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.27%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.60%E -3.68%K -18.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-04 12:35
FanDuel4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.27%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.60%E -3.68%K -18.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-04 12:40
William Hill4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.27%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.60%E -3.68%K -18.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-04 12:35
Bovada4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.27%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.60%E -3.68%K -18.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-04 12:32
BoyleSports4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.27%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.60%E -3.68%K -18.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-04 12:35
BetUS4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.27%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.60%E -3.68%K -18.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-04 12:35
PointsBet (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.27%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.89%E -5.65%K -31.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-04 12:40
888sport4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.27%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.89%E -5.65%K -31.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-04 12:40
Tipico (DE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.27%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.89%E -5.65%K -31.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-04 12:40
Ladbrokes (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.27%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.89%E -5.65%K -31.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-04 12:40
Caesars4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.27%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.89%E -5.65%K -31.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-04 12:40
888sport (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.27%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.89%E -5.65%K -31.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-04 12:40
Sky Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -5.27%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -8.42%E -7.02%K -42.10%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-04 12:40
Paddy Power4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -5.27%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -8.42%E -7.02%K -42.10%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-04 12:40
DraftKings3.97I 25.19%NM 23.95%EV -5.98%E -1.51%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.05%EV -4.60%E -3.68%K -18.42%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 12:40
Fliff3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -6.45%E -1.63%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.70%EV -8.42%E -7.02%K -42.10%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-04 12:40
Marathon Bet3.92I 25.51%NM 24.18%EV -7.16%E -1.83%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.82%EV -4.60%E -3.68%K -18.42%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-04 12:29
GTbets3.91I 25.58%NM 24.22%EV -7.40%E -1.89%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.78%EV -4.60%E -3.68%K -18.42%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 12:32
Unibet (UK)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -7.64%E -1.96%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -3.08%E -2.42%K -11.40%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-04 12:40
Coolbet3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -7.64%E -1.96%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.60%E -3.68%K -18.42%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 12:40
Neds3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -7.64%E -1.96%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.60%E -3.68%K -18.42%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 12:32
Ladbrokes (AU)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -7.64%E -1.96%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.60%E -3.68%K -18.42%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 12:32
Dabble (AU)3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -8.82%E -2.29%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -3.84%E -3.05%K -14.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-04 12:35
Unibet (SE)3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -8.82%E -2.29%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.60%E -3.68%K -18.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-04 12:40
Unibet3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -8.82%E -2.29%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.60%E -3.68%K -18.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-04 12:40
Betr (AU)3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -8.82%E -2.29%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.60%E -3.68%K -18.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-04 12:32
Unibet (NL)3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -8.82%E -2.29%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.60%E -3.68%K -18.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-04 12:40
PlayUp3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -8.82%E -2.29%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.60%E -3.68%K -18.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-04 12:35
Svenska Spel3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -8.82%E -2.29%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.60%E -3.68%K -18.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-04 12:40
MyBookie.ag3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -10.00%E -2.63%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.60%E -3.68%K -18.42%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-04 12:35
1xBet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -11.19%E -2.98%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -2.31%E -1.81%K -8.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-04 12:32
betfred_uk3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -11.19%E -2.98%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.60%E -3.68%K -18.42%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-04 12:33
theScore Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -11.19%E -2.98%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.60%E -3.68%K -18.42%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-04 12:40
Virgin Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -11.19%E -2.98%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -5.37%E -4.33%K -22.36%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-04 12:40
Grosvenor3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -11.19%E -2.98%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -5.37%E -4.33%K -22.36%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-04 12:40
TABtouch3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -11.19%E -2.98%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -5.37%E -4.33%K -22.36%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-04 12:40
PMU (FR)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -11.19%E -2.98%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -5.37%E -4.33%K -22.36%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-04 12:40
LiveScore Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -11.19%E -2.98%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -5.37%E -4.33%K -22.36%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-04 12:40
Bally Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -11.19%E -2.98%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -5.37%E -4.33%K -22.36%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-04 12:40
NordicBet3.71I 26.95%NM 24.90%EV -12.14%E -3.27%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 75.10%EV -6.13%E -4.98%K -26.65%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-04 12:40
BetRivers3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -12.37%E -3.34%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -2.31%E -1.81%K -8.27%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 12:30
LeoVegas (SE)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.05%EV -13.56%E -3.71%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 74.95%EV -6.89%E -5.65%K -31.33%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-04 12:40
Winamax (DE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -14.74%E -4.09%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 74.53%EV -6.13%E -4.98%K -26.65%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-04 12:40
Betclic (FR)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -14.74%E -4.09%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 74.53%EV -6.13%E -4.98%K -26.65%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-04 12:39
Winamax (FR)3.45I 28.99%NM 25.97%EV -18.29%E -5.30%K -7.47%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 74.03%EV -7.66%E -6.33%K -36.46%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-04 12:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.70I 21.28%NM 21.27%1.27I 78.74%NM 78.73%0.0%2026-07-04 12:40
Matchbook4.50I 22.22%NM 22.15%1.28I 78.13%NM 77.85%0.3%2026-07-04 12:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%0.6%2026-07-04 12:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13%0.6%2026-07-04 12:40
ProphetX4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%3.8%2026-07-04 12:40
Novig4.26I 23.47%NM 22.26%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.74%5.4%2026-07-04 12:40
Smarkets4.00I 25.00%NM 22.93%1.19I 84.03%NM 77.07%9.0%2026-07-04 12:40