Language:English
Daria Kasatkina v Anna Kalinskaya
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Daria Kasatkina (Local)
Prediction 35.58%2.81fair odd
EV +2.46%
Edge +0.855%
Kelly +1.31%
Growth +0.032%
assuming max odds 2.88
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.87%37.00%35.66%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.832.632.652.8854.64%38.04%37.74%34.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Anna Kalinskaya (Visit)
Prediction 64.42%1.55fair odd
EV +20.47%
Edge +10.95%
Kelly +23.53%
Growth +4.82%
assuming max odds 1.87
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%63.00%64.34%67.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.411.481.451.8770.92%67.72%68.97%53.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Daria Kasatkina (Local): 35.58%; Anna Kalinskaya (Visit): 64.42%. For Anna Kalinskaya (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.55. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.87, corresponding to a positive expected value of +20.47%.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -33.47%E -17.90%K -38.47%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV +20.47%E +10.95%K +23.53%G +4.82% | 7.0% | 2026-07-28 19:34 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -34.89%E -19.07%K -42.04%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV +17.89%E +9.78%K +21.56%G +3.86% | 9.3% | 2026-07-28 19:34 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -9.28%E -3.64%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -2.08%E -1.37%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-28 18:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.46%EV -2.87%E -1.05%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.54%EV -3.37%E -2.24%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-07-28 17:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.46%EV -2.87%E -1.05%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.54%EV -3.37%E -2.24%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-07-28 17:49 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.94%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.37%E -2.24%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-28 15:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.72%E -2.16%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.37%E -2.24%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-28 19:34 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -6.43%E -2.45%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -3.37%E -2.24%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-28 16:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -6.79%E -2.59%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -3.37%E -2.24%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-28 05:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -6.79%E -2.59%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -3.37%E -2.24%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-28 19:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -9.28%E -3.64%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.37%E -2.24%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-28 18:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -11.06%E -4.42%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.37%E -2.24%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-28 19:34 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -11.06%E -4.42%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.37%E -2.24%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-28 02:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -11.06%E -4.42%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.37%E -2.24%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-28 19:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -11.06%E -4.42%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.37%E -2.24%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-28 19:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -11.06%E -4.42%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.37%E -2.24%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-28 19:34 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.81I 35.59%NM 34.65%EV -0.028%E -0.010%K -0.015%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.35%EV -4.01%E -2.69%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-07-28 19:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.94%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.65%E -3.14%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-28 15:59 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.94%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.65%E -3.14%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-28 18:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.72%E -2.16%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.65%E -3.14%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-28 17:44 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.72%E -2.16%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.65%E -3.14%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-28 18:14 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.72%E -2.16%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.65%E -3.14%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-28 17:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.50%E -2.88%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.65%E -3.14%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-28 17:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.50%E -2.88%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.65%E -3.14%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-28 17:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -3.94%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.30%E -3.60%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-28 19:34 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.72%E -2.16%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.30%E -3.60%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-28 15:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.72%E -2.16%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.30%E -3.60%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-28 17:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -3.94%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -5.94%E -4.07%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-28 19:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -5.72%E -2.16%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -5.94%E -4.07%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-28 19:34 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -0.384%E -0.137%K -0.213%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -6.59%E -4.54%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-28 19:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -2.16%E -0.786%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.59%E -4.54%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-28 18:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.94%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.59%E -4.54%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-28 19:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.94%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.59%E -4.54%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-28 19:34 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.94%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.59%E -4.54%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-28 19:34 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.94%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.59%E -4.54%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-28 19:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.94%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.59%E -4.54%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-28 19:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.94%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.59%E -4.54%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-28 19:34 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.94%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.59%E -4.54%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-28 19:34 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.94%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.59%E -4.54%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-28 19:34 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.94%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.59%E -4.54%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-28 19:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.94%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.59%E -4.54%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-28 19:34 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.94%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.59%E -4.54%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-28 19:34 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.94%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.59%E -4.54%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-28 19:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -5.72%E -2.16%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -6.59%E -4.54%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-28 19:34 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -5.72%E -2.16%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -6.59%E -4.54%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-28 19:34 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -5.72%E -2.16%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -6.59%E -4.54%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-28 17:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -7.50%E -2.88%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.59%E -4.54%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-28 19:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -7.50%E -2.88%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.59%E -4.54%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-28 19:34 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -7.50%E -2.88%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.59%E -4.54%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-28 17:44 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.16%E -0.786%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.23%E -5.02%K -16.43%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-28 17:48 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.12%EV -5.36%E -2.02%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.88%EV -7.23%E -5.02%K -16.43%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-28 16:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -6.43%E -2.45%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -7.23%E -5.02%K -16.43%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-28 15:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -6.79%E -2.59%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.23%E -5.02%K -16.43%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-28 15:58 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -6.79%E -2.59%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.23%E -5.02%K -16.43%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-28 17:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -6.79%E -2.59%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.23%E -5.02%K -16.43%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-28 17:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.50%E -2.88%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.23%E -5.02%K -16.43%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-28 19:33 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.50%E -2.88%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.23%E -5.02%K -16.43%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-28 19:34 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.22%EV -6.43%E -2.45%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.78%EV -7.88%E -5.51%K -18.31%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-28 19:34 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87%EV +2.46%E +0.855%K +1.31%G +0.032% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%EV -9.16%E -6.50%K -22.35%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-28 19:34 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.31%EV -3.94%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.69%EV -9.16%E -6.50%K -22.35%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-28 19:29 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.73%EV -5.72%E -2.16%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.27%EV -9.16%E -6.50%K -22.35%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-28 19:34 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.39% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.61% | 0.3% | 2026-07-28 19:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.39% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.61% | 0.3% | 2026-07-28 19:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.39% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.61% | 0.3% | 2026-07-28 19:35 |
| Novig◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30% | 0.8% | 2026-07-28 19:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.40% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.60% | 0.9% | 2026-07-28 19:34 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.56% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.44% | 1.9% | 2026-07-28 19:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.26% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.74% | 2.8% | 2026-07-28 19:35 |
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