StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Daria Kasatkina v Anna Kalinskaya

Spielbeginn: 2026-07-28 19:36 UTC

Endstand: Daria Kasatkina 0–2 Anna Kalinskaya

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

61 Wettanbieter (18 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Daria Kasatkina (Heim)

Prognose 35.58%2.81faire Quote
EV +2.46%
Vorteil +0.855%
Kelly +1.31%
Wachstum +0.032%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.88

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
32.87%37.00%35.66%50.00%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.832.632.652.8854.64%38.04%37.74%34.72%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Anna Kalinskaya (Auswärts)

Prognose 64.42%1.55faire Quote
EV +20.47%
Vorteil +10.95%
Kelly +23.53%
Wachstum +4.82%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.87

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
50.00%63.00%64.34%67.13%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.411.481.451.8770.92%67.72%68.97%53.48%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Daria Kasatkina (Heim): 35.58%; Anna Kalinskaya (Auswärts): 64.42%. Für Anna Kalinskaya (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 1.55. 2 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 1.87 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +20.47%.

Wettanbieterquoten (61 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -33.47%E -17.90%K -38.47%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV +20.47%E +10.95%K +23.53%G +4.82%7.0%2026-07-28 19:34
Betclic (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -34.89%E -19.07%K -42.04%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV +17.89%E +9.78%K +21.56%G +3.86%9.3%2026-07-28 19:34
Dabble (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -9.28%E -3.64%K -5.99%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -2.08%E -1.37%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-28 18:35
LowVig.ag🎯2.73I 36.63%NM 35.46%EV -2.87%E -1.05%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.54%EV -3.37%E -2.24%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-28 17:44
BetOnline.ag🎯2.73I 36.63%NM 35.46%EV -2.87%E -1.05%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.54%EV -3.37%E -2.24%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-28 17:49
Winamax (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.94%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.37%E -2.24%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-28 15:59
Bovada🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.72%E -2.16%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.37%E -2.24%K -6.73%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-28 19:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -6.43%E -2.45%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -3.37%E -2.24%K -6.73%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-28 16:00
BoyleSports🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -6.79%E -2.59%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -3.37%E -2.24%K -6.73%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-28 05:45
1xBet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -6.79%E -2.59%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -3.37%E -2.24%K -6.73%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-28 19:34
PlayUp🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -9.28%E -3.64%K -5.99%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.37%E -2.24%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-28 18:34
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -11.06%E -4.42%K -7.37%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.37%E -2.24%K -6.73%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-28 19:34
TAB🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -11.06%E -4.42%K -7.37%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.37%E -2.24%K -6.73%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-28 02:30
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -11.06%E -4.42%K -7.37%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.37%E -2.24%K -6.73%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-28 19:34
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -11.06%E -4.42%K -7.37%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.37%E -2.24%K -6.73%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-28 19:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -11.06%E -4.42%K -7.37%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.37%E -2.24%K -6.73%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-28 19:34
Pinnacle🎯2.81I 35.59%NM 34.65%EV -0.028%E -0.010%K -0.015%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.35%EV -4.01%E -2.69%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.7%2026-07-28 19:30
FanDuel🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.94%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.65%E -3.14%K -9.70%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-28 15:59
BetAnything🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.94%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.65%E -3.14%K -9.70%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-28 18:09
Unibet (UK)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.72%E -2.16%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.65%E -3.14%K -9.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 17:44
ReBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.72%E -2.16%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.65%E -3.14%K -9.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 18:14
Winamax (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.72%E -2.16%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.65%E -3.14%K -9.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 17:45
Neds🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.50%E -2.88%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.65%E -3.14%K -9.70%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-28 17:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.50%E -2.88%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.65%E -3.14%K -9.70%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-28 17:45
Bet Right🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -3.94%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.30%E -3.60%K -11.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-28 19:34
theScore Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.72%E -2.16%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.30%E -3.60%K -11.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-28 15:59
Unibet (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.72%E -2.16%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.30%E -3.60%K -11.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-28 17:44
Unibet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -3.94%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -5.94%E -4.07%K -12.92%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-28 19:35
Betr (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -5.72%E -2.16%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -5.94%E -4.07%K -12.92%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-28 19:34
BetUS🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -0.384%E -0.137%K -0.213%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -6.59%E -4.54%K -14.64%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-28 19:09
Fanatics🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -2.16%E -0.786%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.59%E -4.54%K -14.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 18:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.94%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.59%E -4.54%K -14.64%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-28 19:35
Casumo🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.94%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.59%E -4.54%K -14.64%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-28 19:34
Grosvenor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.94%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.59%E -4.54%K -14.64%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-28 19:34
Unibet (NL)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.94%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.59%E -4.54%K -14.64%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-28 19:35
BetRivers🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.94%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.59%E -4.54%K -14.64%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-28 19:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.94%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.59%E -4.54%K -14.64%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-28 19:34
TABtouch🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.94%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.59%E -4.54%K -14.64%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-28 19:34
Bally Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.94%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.59%E -4.54%K -14.64%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-28 19:34
Svenska Spel🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.94%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.59%E -4.54%K -14.64%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-28 19:35
ATG (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.94%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.59%E -4.54%K -14.64%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-28 19:34
betPARX🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.94%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.59%E -4.54%K -14.64%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-28 19:34
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.94%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.59%E -4.54%K -14.64%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-28 19:35
Virgin Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -5.72%E -2.16%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -6.59%E -4.54%K -14.64%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-28 19:34
LiveScore Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -5.72%E -2.16%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -6.59%E -4.54%K -14.64%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-28 19:34
Caesars🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -5.72%E -2.16%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -6.59%E -4.54%K -14.64%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-28 17:50
Betsson🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -7.50%E -2.88%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.59%E -4.54%K -14.64%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-28 19:35
NordicBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -7.50%E -2.88%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.59%E -4.54%K -14.64%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-28 19:34
Betway🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -7.50%E -2.88%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.59%E -4.54%K -14.64%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-28 17:44
betfred_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.16%E -0.786%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.23%E -5.02%K -16.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-28 17:48
SportsBet🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 35.12%EV -5.36%E -2.02%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.88%EV -7.23%E -5.02%K -16.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-28 16:00
Sky Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -6.43%E -2.45%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -7.23%E -5.02%K -16.43%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-28 15:59
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -6.79%E -2.59%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.23%E -5.02%K -16.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-28 15:58
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -6.79%E -2.59%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.23%E -5.02%K -16.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-28 17:45
Coral🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -6.79%E -2.59%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.23%E -5.02%K -16.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-28 17:45
Bet Victor🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.50%E -2.88%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.23%E -5.02%K -16.43%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-28 19:33
betano_uk🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.50%E -2.88%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.23%E -5.02%K -16.43%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-28 19:34
PMU (FR)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.22%EV -6.43%E -2.45%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.78%EV -7.88%E -5.51%K -18.31%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-28 19:34
DraftKings🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87%EV +2.46%E +0.855%K +1.31%G +0.032%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%EV -9.16%E -6.50%K -22.35%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-28 19:34
NetBet (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.31%EV -3.94%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 65.69%EV -9.16%E -6.50%K -22.35%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-28 19:29
Fliff🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.73%EV -5.72%E -2.16%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 65.27%EV -9.16%E -6.50%K -22.35%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-28 19:34
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (7)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.90I 34.48%NM 34.39%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.61%0.3%2026-07-28 19:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 34.39%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.61%0.3%2026-07-28 19:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 34.39%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.61%0.3%2026-07-28 19:35
Novig2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%0.8%2026-07-28 19:30
Matchbook2.88I 34.72%NM 34.40%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.60%0.9%2026-07-28 19:34
ProphetX2.84I 35.21%NM 34.56%1.50I 66.67%NM 65.44%1.9%2026-07-28 19:30
Smarkets2.84I 35.21%NM 34.26%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.74%2.8%2026-07-28 19:35