La escuela de los momios

Daria Kasatkina v Anna Kalinskaya

2026-07-28 15:00 UTC — WTA Washington Open

Resultado del partido

48 corredores (14 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Daria Kasatkina (Local)

Predicción 38.79%2.58momio equitativo
EV +0.843%
Ventaja +0.324%
Kelly +0.527%
Crecimiento +0.004%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.27%38.89%38.78%41.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.252.392.382.6044.44%41.90%42.02%38.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Anna Kalinskaya (Visitante)

Predicción 61.21%1.63momio equitativo
EV -1.45%
Ventaja -0.898%
Kelly -2.37%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.61

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.76%61.11%61.22%63.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.421.551.561.6170.42%64.51%64.31%62.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Winamax (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV +0.843%E +0.324%K +0.527%G +0.004%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -9.40%E -6.35%K -19.59%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-27 09:40
FanDuel2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV -2.26%E -0.897%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -5.73%E -3.72%K -10.61%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-27 09:31
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.04%E -1.21%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -5.12%E -3.30%K -9.31%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-27 13:55
PlayUp2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -3.04%E -1.21%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -6.95%E -4.58%K -13.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-27 13:50
Sky Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.04%E -1.21%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.18%E -5.45%K -16.36%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-27 09:05
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.04%E -1.21%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.18%E -5.45%K -16.36%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-27 09:01
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -3.04%E -1.21%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -9.40%E -6.35%K -19.59%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-27 12:30
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -3.04%E -1.21%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -9.40%E -6.35%K -19.59%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-27 12:30
Betsson2.47I 40.49%NM 38.25%EV -4.20%E -1.70%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.75%EV -6.34%E -4.15%K -11.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-27 09:45
NordicBet2.47I 40.49%NM 38.25%EV -4.20%E -1.70%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.75%EV -6.34%E -4.15%K -11.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-27 09:45
SportsBet2.47I 40.49%NM 37.78%EV -4.20%E -1.70%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -8.18%E -5.45%K -16.36%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-27 09:25
Fanatics2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.97%E -2.03%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.51%E -2.89%K -8.05%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-27 13:55
Unibet (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -4.97%E -2.03%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -6.95%E -4.58%K -13.37%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-27 09:25
Neds2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -4.97%E -2.03%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -6.95%E -4.58%K -13.37%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-27 12:30
Ladbrokes (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -4.97%E -2.03%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -6.95%E -4.58%K -13.37%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-27 12:25
DraftKings2.44I 40.98%NM 39.15%EV -5.36%E -2.20%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.85%EV -3.89%E -2.48%K -6.83%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-27 09:04
1xBet2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -5.36%E -2.20%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -4.51%E -2.89%K -8.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 12:55
Bet Right2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -6.14%E -2.54%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -4.51%E -2.89%K -8.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 13:55
Betr (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.91%E -2.88%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.12%E -3.30%K -9.31%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-27 13:55
PointsBet (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.91%E -2.88%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.12%E -3.30%K -9.31%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-27 13:55
TAB2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -6.91%E -2.88%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -6.95%E -4.58%K -13.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-27 12:50
Winamax (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -6.91%E -2.88%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 62.83%EV -13.08%E -9.21%K -31.13%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-27 09:35
888sport2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.69%E -3.23%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.89%E -2.48%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-27 09:04
William Hill2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.69%E -3.23%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.89%E -2.48%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-27 09:05
betfred_uk2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.69%E -3.23%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.89%E -2.48%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-27 09:10
Bet Victor2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.69%E -3.23%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.34%E -4.15%K -11.97%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-27 09:03
betano_uk2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.69%E -3.23%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.34%E -4.15%K -11.97%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-27 09:15
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -7.69%E -3.23%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.34%EV -8.18%E -5.45%K -16.36%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-27 12:20
theScore Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -8.85%E -3.77%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -4.51%E -2.89%K -8.05%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-27 13:55
ReBet2.35I 42.55%NM 38.64%EV -8.85%E -3.77%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.36%EV -9.40%E -6.35%K -19.59%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-27 09:31
Betclic (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.64%EV -8.85%E -3.77%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.36%EV -9.40%E -6.35%K -19.59%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-27 09:35
Unibet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -10.79%E -4.69%K -8.30%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -1.45%E -0.898%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-27 09:05
Unibet (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -10.79%E -4.69%K -8.30%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -1.45%E -0.898%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-27 09:04
Casumo2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -10.79%E -4.69%K -8.30%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -1.45%E -0.898%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-27 09:05
Grosvenor2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -10.79%E -4.69%K -8.30%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -1.45%E -0.898%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-27 09:05
Unibet (NL)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -10.79%E -4.69%K -8.30%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -1.45%E -0.898%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-27 09:05
BetRivers2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -10.79%E -4.69%K -8.30%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -1.45%E -0.898%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-27 09:05
LeoVegas (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -10.79%E -4.69%K -8.30%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -1.45%E -0.898%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-27 09:05
TABtouch2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -10.79%E -4.69%K -8.30%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -1.45%E -0.898%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-27 09:05
Bally Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -10.79%E -4.69%K -8.30%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -1.45%E -0.898%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-27 09:04
Svenska Spel2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -10.79%E -4.69%K -8.30%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -1.45%E -0.898%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-27 09:05
ATG (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -10.79%E -4.69%K -8.30%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -1.45%E -0.898%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-27 09:05
betPARX2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -10.79%E -4.69%K -8.30%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -1.45%E -0.898%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-27 09:05
Hard Rock Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -10.79%E -4.69%K -8.30%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -1.45%E -0.898%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-27 09:05
Unibet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.83%EV -10.79%E -4.69%K -8.30%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 61.17%EV -10.63%E -7.28%K -23.10%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-27 09:25
Virgin Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -11.57%E -5.07%K -9.04%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -2.06%E -1.29%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-27 09:04
LiveScore Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -11.57%E -5.07%K -9.04%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -2.06%E -1.29%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-27 09:04
PMU (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -12.73%E -5.66%K -10.19%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -3.89%E -2.48%K -6.83%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-27 09:05
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Smarkets2.28I 43.86%NM 39.20%1.47I 68.03%NM 60.80%11.9%2026-07-27 12:40
Matchbook2.30I 43.48%NM 38.17%1.42I 70.42%NM 61.83%13.9%2026-07-27 13:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.50I 66.67%NM 48.63%1.42I 70.42%NM 51.37%37.1%2026-07-27 14:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 48.63%1.42I 70.42%NM 51.37%37.1%2026-07-27 14:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 48.63%1.42I 70.42%NM 51.37%37.1%2026-07-27 13:35