Idioma:Español
Daria Kasatkina v Anna Kalinskaya
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Daria Kasatkina (Local)
Predicción 35.58%2.81momio equitativo
EV +2.46%
Ventaja +0.855%
Kelly +1.31%
Crecimiento +0.032%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.88
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.87%37.00%35.66%50.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.832.632.652.8854.64%38.04%37.74%34.72%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Anna Kalinskaya (Visitante)
Predicción 64.42%1.55momio equitativo
EV +20.47%
Ventaja +10.95%
Kelly +23.53%
Crecimiento +4.82%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.87
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.00%63.00%64.34%67.13%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.411.481.451.8770.92%67.72%68.97%53.48%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Daria Kasatkina (Local): 35.58%; Anna Kalinskaya (Visitante): 64.42%. Para Anna Kalinskaya (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 1.55. 2 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 1.87, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +20.47%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -33.47%E -17.90%K -38.47%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV +20.47%E +10.95%K +23.53%G +4.82% | 7.0% | 2026-07-28 19:34 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -34.89%E -19.07%K -42.04%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV +17.89%E +9.78%K +21.56%G +3.86% | 9.3% | 2026-07-28 19:34 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -9.28%E -3.64%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -2.08%E -1.37%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-28 18:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.46%EV -2.87%E -1.05%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.54%EV -3.37%E -2.24%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-07-28 17:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.46%EV -2.87%E -1.05%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.54%EV -3.37%E -2.24%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-07-28 17:49 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.94%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.37%E -2.24%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-28 15:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.72%E -2.16%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.37%E -2.24%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-28 19:34 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -6.43%E -2.45%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -3.37%E -2.24%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-28 16:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -6.79%E -2.59%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -3.37%E -2.24%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-28 05:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -6.79%E -2.59%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -3.37%E -2.24%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-28 19:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -9.28%E -3.64%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.37%E -2.24%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-28 18:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -11.06%E -4.42%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.37%E -2.24%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-28 19:34 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -11.06%E -4.42%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.37%E -2.24%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-28 02:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -11.06%E -4.42%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.37%E -2.24%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-28 19:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -11.06%E -4.42%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.37%E -2.24%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-28 19:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -11.06%E -4.42%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.37%E -2.24%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-28 19:34 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.81I 35.59%NM 34.65%EV -0.028%E -0.010%K -0.015%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.35%EV -4.01%E -2.69%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-07-28 19:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.94%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.65%E -3.14%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-28 15:59 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.94%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.65%E -3.14%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-28 18:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.72%E -2.16%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.65%E -3.14%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-28 17:44 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.72%E -2.16%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.65%E -3.14%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-28 18:14 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.72%E -2.16%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.65%E -3.14%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-28 17:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.50%E -2.88%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.65%E -3.14%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-28 17:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.50%E -2.88%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.65%E -3.14%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-28 17:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -3.94%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.30%E -3.60%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-28 19:34 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.72%E -2.16%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.30%E -3.60%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-28 15:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.72%E -2.16%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.30%E -3.60%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-28 17:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -3.94%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -5.94%E -4.07%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-28 19:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -5.72%E -2.16%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -5.94%E -4.07%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-28 19:34 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -0.384%E -0.137%K -0.213%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -6.59%E -4.54%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-28 19:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -2.16%E -0.786%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.59%E -4.54%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-28 18:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.94%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.59%E -4.54%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-28 19:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.94%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.59%E -4.54%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-28 19:34 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.94%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.59%E -4.54%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-28 19:34 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.94%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.59%E -4.54%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-28 19:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.94%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.59%E -4.54%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-28 19:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.94%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.59%E -4.54%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-28 19:34 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.94%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.59%E -4.54%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-28 19:34 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.94%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.59%E -4.54%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-28 19:34 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.94%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.59%E -4.54%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-28 19:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.94%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.59%E -4.54%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-28 19:34 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.94%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.59%E -4.54%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-28 19:34 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.94%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.59%E -4.54%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-28 19:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -5.72%E -2.16%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -6.59%E -4.54%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-28 19:34 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -5.72%E -2.16%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -6.59%E -4.54%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-28 19:34 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -5.72%E -2.16%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -6.59%E -4.54%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-28 17:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -7.50%E -2.88%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.59%E -4.54%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-28 19:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -7.50%E -2.88%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.59%E -4.54%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-28 19:34 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -7.50%E -2.88%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.59%E -4.54%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-28 17:44 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.16%E -0.786%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.23%E -5.02%K -16.43%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-28 17:48 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.12%EV -5.36%E -2.02%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.88%EV -7.23%E -5.02%K -16.43%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-28 16:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -6.43%E -2.45%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -7.23%E -5.02%K -16.43%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-28 15:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -6.79%E -2.59%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.23%E -5.02%K -16.43%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-28 15:58 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -6.79%E -2.59%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.23%E -5.02%K -16.43%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-28 17:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -6.79%E -2.59%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.23%E -5.02%K -16.43%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-28 17:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.50%E -2.88%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.23%E -5.02%K -16.43%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-28 19:33 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.50%E -2.88%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.23%E -5.02%K -16.43%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-28 19:34 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.22%EV -6.43%E -2.45%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.78%EV -7.88%E -5.51%K -18.31%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-28 19:34 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87%EV +2.46%E +0.855%K +1.31%G +0.032% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%EV -9.16%E -6.50%K -22.35%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-28 19:34 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.31%EV -3.94%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.69%EV -9.16%E -6.50%K -22.35%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-28 19:29 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.73%EV -5.72%E -2.16%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.27%EV -9.16%E -6.50%K -22.35%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-28 19:34 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.39% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.61% | 0.3% | 2026-07-28 19:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.39% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.61% | 0.3% | 2026-07-28 19:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.39% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.61% | 0.3% | 2026-07-28 19:35 |
| Novig◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30% | 0.8% | 2026-07-28 19:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.40% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.60% | 0.9% | 2026-07-28 19:34 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.56% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.44% | 1.9% | 2026-07-28 19:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.26% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.74% | 2.8% | 2026-07-28 19:35 |